Constant-Generator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$46

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$183

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$93

1 position

First seen

2026-04-04

last 05-29 15:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

80% 100% +$0

Politics

20% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		-94	$-48	100¢	$-93	$-46	05-29 15:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$48	0	94	-94	open	—	05-29 15:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	05-25 19:50
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	2	$15	14	13	+0	open	—	04-13 23:43
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$15	55	55	+0	open	—	04-15 04:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$13	73	73	+0	Yes	+$1	04-30 05:57
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$13	26	26	+0	open	—	04-15 04:51
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-06 20:28
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	2	$9	14	14	+0	open	—	04-04 20:08
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$8	19	19	+0	open	—	04-08 13:17
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	04-15 23:15
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	2	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 16:20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	05-01 21:58
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-04 17:17
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?	2	$5	17	17	+0	open	—	04-16 18:14
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	1	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	04-08 20:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 15:17:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	94	51¢	$48	0x06380b…
05-25 19:50:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0xb77284…
05-08 16:20:02	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4e14aa…
05-01 22:10:04	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x7efce7…
05-01 21:58:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe61876…
04-30 05:57:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	10¢	$7	0xe69d3a…
04-16 18:14:18	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xbec966…
04-15 23:15:22	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	27¢	$4	0xc50dc1…
04-15 23:15:06	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0x40d18f…
04-15 23:03:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb686d2…
04-15 04:51:26	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	26	28¢	$7	0x8fa569…
04-15 04:28:04	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	55	16¢	$9	0x30c2b5…
04-13 23:43:21	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	No	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0x1ae150…
04-08 20:28:09	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xeda899…
04-08 13:17:09	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0x64eedc…
04-06 20:28:27	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	55	11¢	$6	0x87d46b…
04-06 20:28:11	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0xe41e68…
04-06 18:59:09	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	26	21¢	$5	0xedf33c…
04-06 18:47:51	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0xdbd6e1…
04-04 20:19:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	8¢	$6	0xcafd05…
04-04 20:18:23	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x81d2e6…
04-04 20:09:55	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xf702bc…
04-04 20:08:17	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0xd8ee78…
04-04 17:17:33	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb473ca…
04-04 17:17:13	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6ba312…
04-04 16:09:15	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x1c17dd…