Turbulent-Pillar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.6%

Resolved

Trades

129

lifetime

Volume

$194

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-12 16:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 68% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	3	$15	12	7	+5	Up	+$0	05-09 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	4	$10	8	6	+2	Down	+$0	05-09 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	5	$10	10	4	+6	Up	$-4	05-09 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	3	$9	8	3	+5	Up	+$0	05-09 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	3	$7	7	2	+5	Down	+$1	05-09 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	7	$7	6	5	+1	Down	+$0	05-09 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$7	8	2	+6	Up	+$1	05-09 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	3	$7	9	4	+5	Up	+$0	05-09 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	4	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-08 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	5	$5	6	5	+1	Up	+$0	05-09 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	5	$5	4	3	+1	Down	+$0	05-09 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	5	$5	5	1	+4	Up	+$1	05-09 09:39
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$4	8	3	+5	Down	$-2	05-09 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 23:33
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	$-0	05-09 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$4	3	2	+1	Up	+$1	05-09 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	3	$3	5	4	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 07:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 18:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 16:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcca787…
05-11 19:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x05188e…
05-11 18:58:31	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x167a8f…
05-11 18:57:44	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe2f807…
05-11 18:57:30	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xadcb5d…
05-11 18:57:19	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xedd320…
05-11 18:56:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x505b50…
05-11 18:56:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd6c9a6…
05-11 18:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x08f850…
05-11 18:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3c3e9e…
05-11 18:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf5f8ac…
05-11 18:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x76d95d…
05-09 11:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc52c42…
05-09 11:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa5af5b…
05-09 11:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8557b2…
05-09 09:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbf9c21…
05-09 09:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe25f44…
05-09 09:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xbfed0c…
05-09 09:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xce3454…
05-09 09:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4635b3…
05-09 09:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2c4f20…
05-09 09:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xff1eb3…
05-09 09:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x2f315c…
05-09 09:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x37f09d…
05-09 09:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x17c0f4…
05-09 09:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa0712e…
05-09 09:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0xfd38d7…
05-09 09:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x977937…
05-09 09:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x924f1d…
05-09 09:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xbbe75d…
05-09 09:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2d2856…
05-09 09:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x81b7ac…
05-09 09:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xc95cf4…
05-09 09:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf9c05c…
05-09 09:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x25d077…
05-09 09:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2f6539…
05-09 09:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xa051e5…
05-09 09:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb8de76…
05-09 09:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x291a4e…
05-09 09:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x71ccbc…
05-09 09:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xe277ba…
05-09 09:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2a852f…
05-09 08:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xff5a54…
05-09 08:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb11b6c…
05-09 08:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa5ac7f…
05-09 08:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xa6364e…
05-09 08:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4ae5ce…
05-09 08:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x070995…
05-09 08:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xac7843…
05-09 08:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5570fc…
05-09 08:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1af9d7…
05-09 08:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc199c8…
05-09 08:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x4fcf10…
05-09 08:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcf8da9…
05-09 08:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xcdb9f3…
05-09 08:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x063942…
05-09 08:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0xb5313e…
05-09 08:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x30ce76…
05-09 08:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x6e64f6…
05-09 08:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x913a79…
05-09 07:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4e57b3…
05-09 07:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x721673…
05-09 07:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7cc188…
05-09 07:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x43f577…
05-09 07:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3230a9…
05-09 07:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xd1e644…
05-09 07:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0xa7c84a…
05-09 07:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xde2d1b…
05-09 07:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x594480…
05-09 07:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd3e0fd…
05-09 07:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcf660c…
05-09 07:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x5f3025…
05-09 07:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xcbbede…
05-09 07:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xb51c1a…
05-09 07:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc16d31…
05-09 07:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x942ec9…
05-09 07:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf477a1…
05-09 07:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6f3c9f…
05-09 01:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc381fd…
05-09 01:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcecd68…
05-09 01:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x885098…
05-09 01:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb7710c…
05-09 01:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x957e30…
05-09 01:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x35d21b…
05-09 00:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xecea1a…
05-09 00:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x759cb9…
05-09 00:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0b929d…
05-09 00:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf7dd03…
05-09 00:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x5e60dc…
05-09 00:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x12ef3c…
05-09 00:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9db9de…
05-09 00:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x15f1c0…
05-09 00:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xb5bf8b…
05-09 00:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd81df4…
05-09 00:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xebab5c…
05-09 00:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x460745…
05-09 00:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xeaf0b9…
05-09 00:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xb8d256…
05-09 00:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x56d68c…
05-09 00:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x569909…