Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

256

lifetime

Volume

$110.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$430

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 06-08 11:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

42% 100% +$0

Other

40% 100% +$3

Crypto

18% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	88	$42.6K	21,154	21,559	-405	open	—	02-01 14:43
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	46	$27.2K	13,162	14,300	-1,138	open	—	02-02 03:52
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	18	$13.6K	6,800	6,800	+0	open	—	01-30 12:30
bitcoin above 86k on february 1	15	$7.1K	3,424	3,686	-262	open	—	02-01 08:05
bitcoin above 84k on february 1	3	$6.8K	3,400	3,400	+0	open	—	02-01 14:19
bitcoin above 82k on february 1	11	$3.8K	1,895	1,895	+0	open	—	02-01 14:57
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	4	$3.5K	3,490	0	+3,490	open	—	02-02 04:06
ethereum above 1700 on march 10	1	$210	210	0	+210	open	—	03-10 15:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$210	210	0	+210	open	—	03-06 10:26
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	4	$209	210	0	+210	open	—	03-13 08:07
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$209	210	0	+210	open	—	03-16 12:46
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$208	210	0	+210	open	—	03-14 14:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$202	202	0	+202	open	—	03-01 11:49
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	2	$200	101	100	+0	open	—	02-19 11:09
Sentient FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	2	$200	103	103	+0	open	—	01-23 03:13
Espresso FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	02-13 08:06
bitcoin above 86k on february 2	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	02-02 07:36
ethereum above 2600 on february 4	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	02-04 13:26
ethereum above 1600 on february 11	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	02-11 12:55
Over $7M committed to the Bitway public sale?	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	01-26 05:31
bitcoin above 58k on february 23	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	02-23 08:55
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	02-06 02:57
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winner	3	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	05-22 14:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	05-09 03:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	05-23 02:37
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$118	118	0	+118	Yes	+$0	04-16 07:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$115	115	0	+115	open	—	04-23 06:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$114	115	0	+115	open	—	05-13 04:54
bitcoin above 60k on february 26	1	$110	110	0	+110	open	—	02-26 05:58
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$110	110	0	+110	open	—	04-14 05:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 11:15:49	lol al blg 2026 06 08	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xea362c…
06-07 09:15:58	lol kt dk 2026 06 07	Dplus KIA	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xbf0e1d…
05-23 02:37:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x7b871e…
05-22 14:48:41	LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winner	JD Gaming	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xeb4a6e…
05-22 14:35:30	LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winner	JD Gaming	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86f5c3…
05-22 14:29:23	LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winner	JD Gaming	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xef60e8…
05-13 04:55:24	LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Anyone's Legend	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x47b998…
05-13 04:54:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0xd25fc9…
05-09 03:02:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xd8df05…
05-06 11:03:26	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	110	98¢	$107	0x2722ba…
04-29 07:35:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x5b9a33…
04-29 07:35:28	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfaec76…
04-23 06:29:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x83146c…
04-16 07:14:22	Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x215c8f…
04-14 05:00:09	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x15f1e2…
04-05 05:05:25	lol tes al 2026 04 05	Anyone's Legend	BUY	128	82¢	$105	0x4ddc67…
03-30 12:44:50	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0xeeca4d…
03-24 15:31:03	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x469bfd…
03-21 06:42:39	lol gen g2 2026 03 21	Gen.G	BUY	107	97¢	$103	0x8eef82…
03-16 12:46:19	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0x0fcc99…
03-14 14:01:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	210	99¢	$208	0xde6026…
03-13 08:07:29	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x0cc200…
03-13 08:05:33	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xca5043…
03-13 07:39:45	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb3c2c8…
03-13 07:05:09	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x6a5107…
03-10 15:59:25	ethereum above 1700 on march 10	Yes	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x47600c…
03-06 10:26:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x0a8f94…
03-06 06:11:39	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd0d52c…
03-01 11:49:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x6cf0ba…
02-26 05:58:06	bitcoin above 60k on february 26	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x5c2228…
02-26 05:57:50	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xfda655…
02-23 08:55:04	bitcoin above 58k on february 23	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x3630fd…
02-23 08:37:22	will there be less than 8 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c628e…
02-19 11:09:32	bitcoin above 58k on february 19	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4b7d99…
02-19 11:09:06	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x537525…
02-18 08:29:14	will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa13e47…
02-18 08:29:08	will italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x74910d…
02-18 08:28:08	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe20aaa…
02-18 08:27:52	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x94ce34…
02-13 08:06:45	Espresso FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x277f91…
02-11 12:56:35	us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4b66c0…
02-11 12:55:47	ethereum above 1600 on february 11	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x2c797f…
02-06 02:57:05	us strikes iran by february 5 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xbf98e6…
02-06 02:56:49	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x11d3cd…
02-06 02:56:43	will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfe3cc0…
02-06 02:56:29	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x81ded7…
02-04 13:28:28	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x185891…
02-04 13:28:20	Tria FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcdb248…
02-04 13:26:30	ethereum above 2600 on february 4	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x09c71a…
02-02 07:38:18	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x506fb4…
02-02 07:36:24	bitcoin above 86k on february 2	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xf88c49…
02-02 04:06:50	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	No	BUY	1,594	100¢	$1,591	0x694fda…
02-02 04:03:20	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	No	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,497	0xbb161c…
02-02 04:00:34	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x75adac…
02-02 03:57:16	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	No	BUY	395	100¢	$394	0x55c1ea…
02-02 03:52:46	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,641	99¢	$2,610	0xc4cb46…
02-02 03:35:14	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x37d8a2…
02-02 03:35:14	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0fb127…
02-02 03:34:34	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x86a9ae…
02-02 03:34:06	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x5d4caa…
02-02 03:30:40	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xa79350…
02-02 03:26:58	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$987	0xd55d6e…
02-02 03:20:12	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x192b26…
02-02 03:20:00	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc90d0a…
02-02 03:18:04	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc7b47e…
02-02 03:17:16	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x52628a…
02-02 03:17:00	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x771cba…
02-02 03:16:34	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x692c08…
02-02 03:15:36	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xac6689…
02-02 03:14:40	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x78ace7…
02-02 03:13:34	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0xe83b58…
02-02 03:13:30	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc54326…
02-02 03:12:00	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x540bd0…
02-02 03:11:56	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xedb2a7…
02-02 03:09:58	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	287	99¢	$284	0x293665…
02-02 03:09:14	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd9a21c…
02-02 03:07:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	287	99¢	$283	0x83e915…
02-02 03:05:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	99¢	$988	0x2d3c56…
02-02 03:00:54	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,487	99¢	$1,468	0x00497d…
02-02 02:57:34	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x53bb2b…
02-02 02:57:04	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4ea97e…
02-02 02:56:38	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaacd36…
02-02 02:56:32	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe23b45…
02-02 02:56:32	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbd8e45…
02-02 02:56:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x541874…
02-02 02:56:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x05d166…
02-02 02:56:24	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xebea2d…
02-02 02:56:24	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa102d5…
02-02 02:56:22	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x95aee4…
02-02 02:56:14	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5a55f1…
02-02 02:55:14	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x800d59…
02-02 02:39:42	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,589	99¢	$1,570	0xc553c4…
02-02 02:39:18	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,811	99¢	$1,789	0x32f952…
02-01 22:20:36	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,792	98¢	$2,742	0xe59e6e…
02-01 22:20:26	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	608	98¢	$597	0xb9a831…
02-01 14:57:42	bitcoin above 82k on february 1	No	SELL	334	100¢	$332	0x69ff66…
02-01 14:57:22	bitcoin above 82k on february 1	No	SELL	53	100¢	$52	0xab91d0…
02-01 14:57:12	bitcoin above 82k on february 1	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaaf438…
02-01 14:54:06	bitcoin above 82k on february 1	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x38e1ac…
02-01 14:45:38	bitcoin above 82k on february 1	No	BUY	395	99¢	$391	0x58b445…