Phony-Combine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 12:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 100% +$0

Other

20% — —

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 96k on january 4	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	01-04 11:05
ethereum above 3500 on january 6	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	01-06 06:38
bitcoin above 84k on january 1	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	01-01 13:20
ethereum above 1500 on march 16	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	03-14 11:41
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 9	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	03-08 07:58
bitcoin above 76k on march 11	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	03-11 08:05
bitcoin above 92k on january 18	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-18 13:44
ethereum above 1800 on march 4	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	03-04 11:09
will the us next strike iran on january 25 2026 et 395	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-26 08:42
ethereum above 2800 on january 9	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-09 07:13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-27 08:34
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 0 39	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-19 08:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	05-13 10:56
ethereum above 3600 on january 16	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-16 08:09
will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 17	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-17 02:32
highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 14c	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-24 08:24
ethereum above 3100 on january 15	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-15 09:31
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 9	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	02-09 08:03
ethereum above 3000 on january 14	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-14 08:10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?	1	$96	96	+96	No	+$0	05-07 12:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 1	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	03-01 12:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	05-19 08:51
ethereum above 3100 on february 3	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	02-02 11:33
elon musk of tweets january 2026 560 579	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-07 06:15
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2700 on april 16	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-15 12:56
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	1	$96	96	+96	Yes	+$0	05-05 07:22
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 19	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-18 09:55
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-31 07:21
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-17 09:13
highest temperature in london on april 11 2026 22c	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-11 06:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 12:16:36	bitcoin above 72k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xe11fb4…
06-08 12:11:09	ethereum above 1500 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	454	0¢	$2	0x89b48a…
05-23 09:26:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	900	0¢	$1	0x5a5c5c…
05-19 08:51:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xea1665…
05-13 10:56:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xd223a7…
05-07 12:56:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x22cbed…
05-05 07:22:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xed1e56…
04-27 08:34:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xb9fe30…
04-24 08:24:12	highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 14c	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x6375ff…
04-18 09:55:36	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 19	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x6581ea…
04-15 12:56:08	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2700 on april 16	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x71675c…
04-11 06:37:03	highest temperature in london on april 11 2026 22c	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xa91603…
04-05 07:25:19	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on april 6	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x5f5b02…
03-31 07:21:27	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x4c05b4…
03-27 06:42:49	highest temperature in london on march 27 2026 9c	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x070e9d…
03-23 08:49:37	will mrbeasts next video get 59 million or more views on day 2	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xc79263…
03-20 09:33:59	ethereum above 1900 on march 20	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x767553…
03-17 09:13:55	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x902c87…
03-17 09:13:39	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 17	Yes	BUY	980	0¢	$2	0xaca9fc…
03-14 11:41:45	ethereum above 1500 on march 16	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x0f61bc…
03-11 08:05:13	bitcoin above 76k on march 11	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x91b259…
03-08 07:58:03	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 9	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xb7974d…
03-04 11:09:31	ethereum above 1800 on march 4	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x4edd14…
03-01 12:30:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 1	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xf9fc81…
02-09 08:03:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 9	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xc5ad3f…
02-02 11:33:44	ethereum above 3100 on february 3	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x1f8a01…
01-26 08:42:45	will the us next strike iran on january 25 2026 et 395	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xf6ec7e…
01-19 08:03:56	elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 0 39	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x51baed…
01-18 13:44:24	bitcoin above 92k on january 18	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x6f8848…
01-18 13:43:58	ethereum above 3500 on january 18	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x36e636…
01-17 02:32:42	will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 17	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x08d93b…
01-16 08:09:38	ethereum above 3600 on january 16	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x62b72c…
01-15 09:31:26	ethereum above 3100 on january 15	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xef2600…
01-14 08:10:24	ethereum above 3000 on january 14	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x6175e2…
01-09 07:13:06	ethereum above 2800 on january 9	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x158e70…
01-07 06:15:03	elon musk of tweets january 2026 560 579	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x8fc352…
01-07 06:14:37	bitcoin above 86k on january 7	No	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0x224a24…
01-06 06:38:45	ethereum above 3500 on january 6	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xd3cd0a…
01-04 11:05:57	bitcoin above 96k on january 4	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x44764e…
01-01 13:20:15	bitcoin above 84k on january 1	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xdefd75…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	23	$2.94K	1,580	04-15 16:51
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	23	$1.57K	754	06-07 20:14
Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5	20	$27.7K	207	06-07 22:13
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	19	$57.8K	619	06-08 12:11
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	17	$41.0K	728	06-07 08:58
Needy-Revenge 0x7d17…d6e0	17	$1.41K	17	06-08 12:03
Front-Convention 0x12e9…b2c3	16	$1.36K	16	06-08 12:23
(anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394	15	$32.3K	703	04-27 06:04