Selfish-Disco — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.8%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

378

20,818 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$4.84K

$614.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 07:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 288 days

Categories

Other

58% 83% +$2,070

Crypto

41% 83% +$201

Politics

1% 95% +$66

Sports

0% 67% +$2

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on July 29?	6	$4.2K	2,100	2,100	+0	Yes	+$11	07-29 08:16
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	39	$3.5K	1,761	1,761	+0	No	+$14	07-03 08:25
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on August 2?	23	$3.1K	1,591	1,591	+0	Yes	+$49	08-02 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 29?	16	$2.6K	1,298	1,298	+0	No	+$16	07-29 07:07
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 9?	4	$2.4K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$11	08-09 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 29?	45	$2.2K	1,125	1,125	+0	No	+$6	06-29 09:57
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 4?	6	$2.1K	1,057	1,057	+0	No	+$10	08-04 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?	5	$2.0K	1,026	1,026	+0	No	+$3	07-06 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 7?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$3	07-07 05:07
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 6?	5	$1.8K	904	904	+0	No	+$3	07-06 06:07
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 20?	4	$1.7K	859	859	+0	No	+$8	08-20 06:07
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 3?	15	$1.7K	848	848	+0	No	+$6	07-03 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 31?	10	$1.6K	820	820	+0	No	+$15	07-31 07:34
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 5?	6	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$2	07-05 06:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 7?	4	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$2	07-07 04:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on August 14?	10	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$2	08-14 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	14	$1.4K	721	721	+0	No	+$3	07-05 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 30?	18	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$4	06-30 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 1?	16	$1.4K	687	687	+0	Yes	+$10	09-01 09:21
ethereum up or down on january 10	31	$1.4K	659	709	-50	Down	+$7	01-10 16:56
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 17?	31	$1.4K	681	681	+0	No	+$9	08-16 17:38
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on August 29?	6	$1.3K	665	665	+0	No	+$5	08-29 18:56
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 4?	8	$1.3K	649	649	+0	No	+$2	07-04 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 16?	7	$1.3K	644	644	+0	No	+$5	07-16 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 25?	26	$1.3K	638	638	+0	Yes	+$11	08-25 11:06
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 6?	14	$1.2K	630	630	+0	No	+$1	07-06 08:06
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 1?	13	$1.2K	610	610	+0	Yes	+$2	07-01 11:10
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 10?	3	$1.2K	610	610	+0	No	+$22	08-10 06:02
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 7?	3	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$5	08-07 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4?	3	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$5	08-04 08:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x9e1493…
10-27 06:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xfcd588…
10-27 06:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0x1b6369…
10-27 06:45:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x3f288c…
10-27 06:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x205d41…
10-27 06:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x0229d1…
10-27 06:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$12	0x95846f…
10-27 06:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	36	49¢	$18	0xcedd5f…
10-27 05:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x090acd…
10-27 05:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xaaab70…
10-27 05:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xf7a2c9…
10-27 05:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	No	SELL	47	11¢	$5	0x6e4659…
10-27 05:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x78720f…
10-27 04:55:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x68f505…
10-27 04:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x8db480…
10-27 04:39:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xd73f75…
10-27 04:37:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0xef51ab…
10-27 04:37:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	27	68¢	$19	0x582163…
10-27 04:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0xed4620…
10-27 04:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xb84ddf…
10-27 04:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x67e9c1…
10-27 04:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x179b79…
10-27 04:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1debc6…
10-27 04:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xa5e254…
10-27 04:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xa6da79…
10-27 04:12:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0xeed918…
10-27 04:12:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x06b2a9…
10-27 04:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc09fdc…
10-27 04:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xde657f…
10-27 04:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf0f905…
10-27 04:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x15bbc6…
10-26 07:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	No	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x8d8278…
10-26 06:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x0e8d3f…
10-26 06:56:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x0af861…
10-26 06:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xc32854…
10-26 06:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x4398b3…
10-26 06:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xda9a74…
10-26 06:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0xa3c77e…
10-26 06:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x99258b…
10-26 06:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x88dcc4…
10-26 06:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	No	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x3428c5…
10-26 06:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xd5dbb9…
10-26 06:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x08f511…
10-26 06:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xbe7e29…
10-26 06:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xb8d2c7…
10-26 06:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x3e5e2d…
10-26 06:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x04e313…
10-26 06:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xf5545a…
10-26 06:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0xd9fb50…
10-26 06:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xcf5242…
10-26 05:59:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	No	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0x4280c1…
10-26 05:51:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xe578fc…
10-26 05:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xe369c0…
10-26 05:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc952f5…
10-25 08:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x151f36…
10-25 08:07:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0xfe9f91…
10-25 07:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	49	4¢	$2	0x978a0d…
10-25 07:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0xc07bf9…
10-25 07:56:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or higher on October 25?	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0xe7484d…
10-25 07:56:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or higher on October 25?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x16a6a3…
10-25 07:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or higher on October 25?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xace4a1…
10-25 07:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x330b9a…
10-25 07:37:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x406e66…
10-25 07:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	No	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0xba1320…
10-25 07:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	No	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xa333cf…
10-25 07:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	No	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x15e992…
10-25 07:04:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 25?	No	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x7b23ab…
10-25 07:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	No	SELL	27	50¢	$14	0x766ff1…
10-25 07:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 25?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x87f616…
10-25 06:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xf4b518…
10-25 06:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 25?	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x3d735d…
10-25 06:25:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	No	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x87a826…
10-25 06:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	No	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0xe35a73…
10-25 06:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x8650a3…
10-25 06:20:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0x38ee8f…
10-25 06:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x5729bb…
10-25 06:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	13	64¢	$9	0x867d05…
10-25 06:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x62fcbf…
10-25 06:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x00c4cd…
10-25 06:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x6ac01d…
10-25 06:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x1c4a38…
10-25 06:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 25?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x85ea3e…
10-25 06:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0xd5fe44…
10-25 06:11:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	40	69¢	$28	0xe81167…
10-25 06:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x41e677…
10-25 06:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	29	9¢	$3	0xdce0ef…
10-25 06:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 25?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xb7654e…
10-25 06:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xfb9b14…
10-25 06:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9d7cc5…
10-25 06:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 25?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xdb12ac…
10-25 05:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xdb171d…
10-25 05:58:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	111	92¢	$102	0x6e0b1a…
10-25 05:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 25?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x8b61f7…
10-25 05:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 25?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2f45b9…
10-25 05:55:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or higher on October 25?	Yes	BUY	166	0¢	$1	0x76a788…
10-25 05:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 25?	No	SELL	26	90¢	$23	0x62d664…
10-25 05:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0x9e02e0…
10-25 05:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 25?	No	SELL	4	86¢	$4	0x09d56e…
10-25 05:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0x200d10…
10-25 05:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	23	27¢	$6	0x48e0ae…