Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$194

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.2%

Resolved

Trades

356

lifetime

Volume

$289.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$813

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-05 08:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

94% 50% $-194

Other

6% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	28	$169.6K	189,609	189,609	+0	open	—	03-02 21:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	33	$31.5K	22,612	22,612	+0	open	—	04-22 13:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	40	$10.6K	6,792	7,812	-1,020	open	—	05-04 03:25
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	15	$9.9K	6,531	6,531	+0	open	—	03-11 06:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$9.6K	30,073	30,073	+0	open	—	01-13 08:36
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	2	$6.7K	34,067	34,067	+0	open	—	01-05 21:09
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	12	$5.7K	3,529	3,529	+0	open	—	04-16 15:50
will uae strike iran by march 31	15	$3.8K	4,375	4,375	+0	open	—	03-11 12:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	9	$3.6K	4,628	0	+4,628	open	—	04-24 11:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	7	$3.4K	6,031	6,031	+0	No	$-753	05-05 08:02
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	21	$3.2K	20,327	20,327	+0	open	—	01-13 13:41
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	7	$3.0K	11,794	0	+11,794	open	—	01-14 16:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	4	$2.9K	1,762	1,762	+0	No	+$559	05-04 04:09
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	20	$2.7K	7,612	7,612	+0	open	—	02-22 12:06
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	12	$2.6K	7,713	7,713	+0	open	—	01-19 09:11
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	7	$2.5K	5,740	5,740	+0	open	—	04-08 17:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	3	$2.2K	1,220	1,220	+0	open	—	04-28 19:45
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	12	$2.2K	12,929	0	+12,929	open	—	01-14 21:11
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	11	$1.7K	3,721	3,721	+0	open	—	01-15 08:55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	8	$1.7K	1,730	1,730	+0	open	—	05-04 03:43
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	14	$1.5K	1,643	1,643	+0	open	—	04-23 17:46
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	9	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-03 10:07
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$1.2K	1,593	1,593	+0	open	—	02-19 22:33
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	5	$908	6,044	0	+6,044	open	—	01-17 22:33
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$817	1,894	1,894	+0	open	—	01-20 06:58
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	14	$751	6,545	6,545	+0	open	—	01-13 20:19
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$676	427	427	+0	open	—	04-24 11:15
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	4	$624	7,510	0	+7,510	open	—	01-12 12:19
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?	2	$507	300	300	+0	open	—	04-16 15:50
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	2	$480	521	521	+0	open	—	03-04 11:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 08:02:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	6,031	22¢	$1,327	0xc9ae88…
05-04 21:55:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	276	29¢	$80	0x0072d6…
05-04 20:18:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0xd069a1…
05-04 17:50:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,944	36¢	$700	0x81dc43…
05-04 17:49:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	853	35¢	$300	0xd879f6…
05-04 17:37:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	572	35¢	$200	0x9ba0b5…
05-04 17:37:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	2,001	35¢	$700	0xa47579…
05-04 04:09:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	1,762	99¢	$1,744	0x5aab18…
05-04 03:43:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,730	63¢	$1,091	0xed4bde…
05-04 03:25:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	7,812	78¢	$6,093	0xaa9e94…
05-03 08:36:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	604	39¢	$234	0x859f33…
05-03 03:45:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	53	43¢	$23	0xb89b01…
05-03 03:45:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x268a68…
05-03 03:45:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	68	42¢	$29	0x1ec498…
05-02 20:29:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	300	35¢	$105	0xdcf418…
05-02 20:27:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xda6622…
05-02 20:27:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xae2d45…
05-02 20:27:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	45	34¢	$15	0x5823e8…
05-01 14:12:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	258	76¢	$196	0x300a98…
05-01 14:11:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	300	77¢	$231	0xe5a30b…
05-01 14:11:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x74efc5…
04-28 19:45:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,220	98¢	$1,193	0xb838d5…
04-27 16:13:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	802	66¢	$530	0x337b3b…
04-27 15:12:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	712	66¢	$470	0xe144ca…
04-27 12:09:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	247	75¢	$185	0xfe3f60…
04-27 10:52:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	478	62¢	$296	0x460137…
04-27 10:51:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	22	62¢	$14	0x8796aa…
04-27 05:19:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	800	63¢	$504	0xe13eb4…
04-26 18:15:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	220	84¢	$185	0x09f7b0…
04-26 18:14:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0xf3bea1…
04-26 18:08:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xbca783…
04-26 17:46:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc5b655…
04-26 17:26:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	135	66¢	$89	0x5fdb23…
04-26 17:22:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	147	66¢	$97	0x0ec9ff…
04-26 17:14:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	59	66¢	$39	0xddbd12…
04-26 17:00:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x5229d2…
04-26 16:45:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	25	66¢	$17	0xe30a55…
04-26 16:31:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	146	66¢	$97	0x3be7a8…
04-26 16:30:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x372bf0…
04-26 16:27:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	300	66¢	$198	0xc94cf5…
04-26 16:10:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x896c3f…
04-26 16:06:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0x740470…
04-26 16:02:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x10b784…
04-26 16:00:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xc57b84…
04-26 15:54:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xdc6c32…
04-26 15:04:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	104	66¢	$69	0x31ad2b…
04-26 14:49:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xa50953…
04-26 14:46:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9f18f6…
04-26 14:37:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	73	66¢	$48	0x5eb57d…
04-26 14:29:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	88	66¢	$58	0x87b908…
04-26 14:26:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xbe0b9c…
04-26 14:25:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x698b7e…
04-26 14:24:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x3fed7a…
04-26 14:18:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xa04eef…
04-26 14:06:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc8d1f5…
04-26 14:01:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xefe42c…
04-26 13:48:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	44	66¢	$29	0x4ebdbf…
04-26 13:41:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa8616a…
04-26 13:24:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2,394	66¢	$1,580	0x747032…
04-26 13:11:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x68c96d…
04-26 13:08:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x8e4b80…
04-26 12:57:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x198306…
04-26 10:55:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	861	65¢	$560	0xc148b5…
04-24 11:57:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x885f34…
04-24 11:57:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xe2e66e…
04-24 11:53:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	169	81¢	$137	0x3c8a1a…
04-24 11:16:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	473	42¢	$200	0x76f090…
04-24 11:15:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	427	88¢	$376	0x9d4d51…
04-24 07:11:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	400	86¢	$344	0xdfdd3f…
04-24 06:36:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0xde552b…
04-23 19:06:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x3c2c09…
04-23 17:46:10	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	1,643	38¢	$625	0x39b3bd…
04-23 17:32:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	526	30¢	$158	0x36502f…
04-23 17:29:24	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	44	49¢	$22	0xa43773…
04-23 17:29:00	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	58	48¢	$28	0x4a11ed…
04-23 17:29:00	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0x3d210c…
04-23 17:28:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x1db077…
04-23 17:28:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	30¢	$12	0xb9024b…
04-23 17:28:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	222	30¢	$67	0x038911…
04-23 17:27:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	74¢	$740	0xc387d6…
04-23 14:24:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	282	71¢	$200	0x4a76be…
04-23 14:23:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0x702a39…
04-23 13:29:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	209	48¢	$100	0xd39876…
04-23 13:13:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0x540472…
04-23 11:32:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0x4b63c5…
04-23 11:23:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xf99a01…
04-23 10:18:34	Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,772	5¢	$84	0x83158f…
04-23 10:17:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0xee6417…
04-23 10:17:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	959	73¢	$700	0x8d01ef…
04-22 22:04:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	297	57¢	$169	0x67f93d…
04-22 22:00:56	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	189	57¢	$108	0xadbfc0…
04-22 21:56:56	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x185331…
04-22 21:55:32	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xeaff5c…
04-22 21:50:24	Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	Yes	BUY	123	8¢	$10	0xc5a750…
04-22 21:49:58	Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	Yes	BUY	694	9¢	$60	0xef8e35…
04-22 21:49:46	Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	Yes	BUY	600	8¢	$50	0x6d5f1a…
04-22 21:49:18	Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	Yes	BUY	355	8¢	$30	0x6edda9…
04-22 21:47:00	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	500	58¢	$290	0x99de33…
04-22 21:46:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x8b65a1…
04-22 21:46:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x4e94c8…