Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$168

Open exposure

$127

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-29 07:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

90% 50% $-34

Sports

7% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-474	$-85	18¢	$-85	$-0	06-29 07:33
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes		+146	$40	29¢	$42	+$2	06-18 12:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will gta 6 cost 100	2	$2.0K	1,020	1,020	+0	open	—	01-21 19:59
ucl bay usg1 2026 01 21 total 2pt5	7	$1.3K	1,766	0	+1,766	open	—	01-21 20:10
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$596	315	315	+0	Yes	+$3	04-14 14:36
nhl cbj col 2026 01 10	4	$364	503	0	+503	open	—	01-10 20:44
will hyperliquid dip to 20 in february 415	1	$278	296	0	+296	open	—	02-04 13:59
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	5	$102	140	0	+140	open	—	05-14 13:10
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$85	0	474	-474	open	—	06-29 07:33
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$40	146	0	+146	open	—	06-18 12:15
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$38	444	0	+444	Up	$-38	05-06 13:35
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$36	100	0	+100	open	—	01-11 01:18
btc updown 5m 1776177300	1	$20	44	0	+44	open	—	04-14 14:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 07:33:14	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	474	18¢	$85	0xdd3a5d…
06-18 12:15:56	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	106	27¢	$28	0x9d0c20…
06-16 23:00:44	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	41	27¢	$11	0x8e6341…
05-14 13:10:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	79	73¢	$57	0xff686d…
05-14 13:10:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0xe5027b…
05-14 13:10:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xceab15…
05-14 13:10:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x0f17c5…
05-14 13:10:49	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xd605a4…
05-06 13:35:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	244	8¢	$20	0x59b88e…
05-06 13:34:28	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x4d5d09…
04-14 14:37:11	btc updown 5m 1776177300	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x4d8df8…
04-14 14:36:37	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	315	95¢	$300	0x59f93f…
03-06 12:51:45	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	315	94¢	$296	0x199c46…
02-04 13:59:02	will hyperliquid dip to 20 in february 415	No	BUY	296	94¢	$278	0x0da846…
01-21 20:10:40	ucl bay usg1 2026 01 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1	73¢	$0	0xf90ae7…
01-21 20:09:22	ucl bay usg1 2026 01 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0xeda4ac…
01-21 20:09:20	ucl bay usg1 2026 01 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	262	73¢	$191	0x382e1b…
01-21 20:08:44	ucl bay usg1 2026 01 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xd9f431…
01-21 20:08:42	ucl bay usg1 2026 01 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xc6772a…
01-21 20:08:42	ucl bay usg1 2026 01 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc17327…
01-21 20:03:20	ucl bay usg1 2026 01 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1,466	75¢	$1,100	0xf558ba…
01-21 19:59:26	will gta 6 cost 100	No	SELL	1,020	98¢	$1,001	0x116d22…
01-15 21:46:58	will gta 6 cost 100	No	BUY	1,020	98¢	$1,000	0x0b686c…
01-11 01:18:20	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	53	36¢	$19	0x1432f9…
01-11 01:12:18	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	47	36¢	$17	0xbe35d5…
01-10 20:44:10	nhl cbj col 2026 01 10	Avalanche	BUY	114	71¢	$81	0x666250…
01-10 20:43:30	nhl cbj col 2026 01 10	Avalanche	BUY	36	71¢	$25	0x45fabd…
01-10 20:31:36	nhl cbj col 2026 01 10	Avalanche	BUY	150	72¢	$108	0xf2ff1d…
01-10 18:08:48	nhl cbj col 2026 01 10	Avalanche	BUY	203	74¢	$150	0x1442ca…