Realized P&L
+$5.82K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
14
Trades
142,993
lifetime
Volume
$20.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$142
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 04-08 00:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
46%
86%
+$36
Politics
33%
—
—
Sports
20%
86%
+$5,785
Tech
0%
—
—
Crypto
0%
—
—
Activity
No trades on file.
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 4,535 | $2.28M | 2,285,830 | 3,295 | +2,282,535 | open | — | 03-10 22:23 |
| will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 4,529 | $2.27M | 2,277,468 | 5,131 | +2,272,337 | open | — | 03-10 22:24 |
| will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 4,527 | $2.21M | 2,268,126 | 15,389 | +2,252,737 | open | — | 03-10 22:24 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 2,638 | $1.39M | 1,403,502 | 71,511 | +1,331,991 | open | — | 03-04 18:55 |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | 2,561 | $1.12M | 1,125,683 | 8,758 | +1,116,925 | open | — | 03-04 16:17 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | 2,592 | $1.02M | 1,028,499 | 164,477 | +864,022 | open | — | 03-04 16:24 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | 2,326 | $854.8K | 860,695 | 271,931 | +588,764 | open | — | 03-04 16:16 |
| Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? | 2,031 | $786.8K | 787,598 | 5,340 | +782,258 | open | — | 02-13 12:49 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting | 1,942 | $701.2K | 701,052 | 2,110 | +698,942 | open | — | 01-27 16:44 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting | 1,939 | $672.1K | 697,042 | 1,331 | +695,711 | open | — | 01-27 16:44 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | 1,744 | $529.8K | 534,257 | 287,513 | +246,744 | open | — | 03-04 16:17 |
| fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting | 1,477 | $506.1K | 506,561 | 91,339 | +415,222 | open | — | 01-27 16:44 |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? | 1,285 | $381.4K | 382,043 | 108,455 | +273,588 | open | — | 03-04 16:13 |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027? | 984 | $290.3K | 290,516 | 201,995 | +88,521 | open | — | 03-04 16:17 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | 694 | $100.3K | 100,459 | 352,440 | -251,981 | open | — | 03-03 19:04 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,229 | $99.9K | 100,079 | 76 | +100,003 | open | — | 03-11 02:31 |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,228 | $99.9K | 100,023 | 206 | +99,817 | open | — | 03-11 02:31 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,229 | $99.7K | 100,008 | 187 | +99,821 | open | — | 03-11 02:32 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,229 | $99.7K | 100,096 | 59 | +100,037 | open | — | 03-11 02:31 |
| Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,228 | $99.7K | 99,736 | 451 | +99,285 | open | — | 03-11 02:31 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,229 | $99.2K | 100,125 | 30 | +100,095 | open | — | 03-11 02:02 |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,207 | $99.1K | 99,229 | 169 | +99,060 | open | — | 03-08 01:01 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,229 | $99.0K | 100,110 | 225 | +99,885 | open | — | 03-11 02:02 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,227 | $98.9K | 100,050 | 105 | +99,945 | open | — | 03-11 02:02 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,226 | $98.8K | 99,880 | 407 | +99,473 | No | +$1,103 | 03-11 02:32 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,204 | $98.8K | 99,074 | 393 | +98,681 | open | — | 03-11 02:31 |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,229 | $98.6K | 100,155 | 0 | +100,155 | open | — | 03-11 02:02 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,228 | $98.5K | 100,084 | 71 | +100,013 | open | — | 03-11 02:02 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,225 | $98.4K | 99,221 | 934 | +98,287 | open | — | 03-11 02:31 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,228 | $97.0K | 100,056 | 99 | +99,957 | open | — | 03-11 02:02 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||