Thunderous-Octagon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$323

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-09 17:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 69% $-19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$17	21	0	+21	Down	$-17	05-09 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	4	$14	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	4	$14	19	19	+0	Down	+$4	05-07 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$13	17	0	+17	Down	+$4	05-09 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$12	13	0	+13	Down	+$1	05-09 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$12	13	0	+13	Up	+$1	05-09 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$12	12	0	+12	Down	+$0	05-09 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	6	$12	12	12	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$11	26	26	+0	Up	$-1	05-07 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$11	12	0	+12	Down	+$1	05-09 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-09 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-09 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Down	+$0	05-09 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$9	9	0	+9	Down	$-1	05-09 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Down	+$0	05-09 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Down	+$0	05-09 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$8	9	0	+9	Up	+$1	05-09 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	05-09 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	05-09 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	05-09 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	05-09 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	05-09 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$8	14	0	+14	Down	$-8	05-09 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$7	7	0	+7	Up	+$0	05-09 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$7	7	0	+7	Up	+$0	05-09 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$7	7	0	+7	Down	+$0	05-09 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$7	7	0	+7	Down	+$0	05-09 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-09 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$5	25	0	+25	Down	$-5	05-07 00:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 17:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xde2180…
05-09 17:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0f162f…
05-09 17:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x496307…
05-09 17:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9d40e0…
05-09 17:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x837284…
05-09 17:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x06c439…
05-09 03:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0x64bc26…
05-09 03:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	75¢	$13	0xc4304b…
05-09 02:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x3ae866…
05-09 02:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xcffd91…
05-09 02:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x4f9190…
05-09 02:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x67d52c…
05-09 02:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x9e5fbd…
05-09 02:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x796f48…
05-09 02:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xd8585a…
05-09 02:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x3acfa1…
05-09 02:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x87f815…
05-09 02:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x19d3da…
05-09 01:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x668373…
05-09 01:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x74997a…
05-09 01:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x93a761…
05-09 01:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x3524e3…
05-09 01:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x058b10…
05-09 01:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xd25000…
05-09 01:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x64985c…
05-09 00:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2f4bec…
05-09 00:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x27fc80…
05-09 00:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x1955b0…
05-09 00:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$2	0xbdc2db…
05-09 00:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x79c905…
05-09 00:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$2	0x8a5509…
05-09 00:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xe0cb42…
05-09 00:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb90fa3…
05-07 00:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4e6855…
05-07 00:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x273558…
05-07 00:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x595b58…
05-07 00:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0x0b0451…
05-07 00:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x6fe9ba…
05-07 00:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0x29599f…
05-07 00:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x10fcc5…
05-07 00:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf09fad…
05-07 00:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x0db80f…
05-06 23:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5c845f…
05-06 23:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x3ed5a6…
05-06 23:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4b488b…
05-06 23:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x73028f…
05-06 23:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xdfae9b…
05-06 23:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	14	54¢	$7	0x757ffd…
05-06 23:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xcb4fef…
05-06 23:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xe8df98…
05-06 23:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x56275c…
05-06 23:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xccf968…
05-06 23:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x0a0a27…
05-06 23:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6e1015…
05-06 23:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x08b594…
05-06 23:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xf8c9a8…
05-06 18:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x943c7a…
05-06 18:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xc80b04…
05-06 18:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb9745f…
05-06 18:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8ac2f0…
05-06 18:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x768b0a…
05-06 18:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1eb845…
05-06 17:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x3206a9…
05-06 17:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbe38d8…
05-06 17:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xef07ba…
05-06 17:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1c1230…
05-06 17:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x1a4d13…
05-06 17:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc751f9…
05-06 17:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7e4837…