Menacing-Check — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.9%

Resolved

Trades

4,665

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 05-11 16:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 1100 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	53	$293	263	317	-54	open	—	05-01 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	25	$115	130	119	+11	open	—	05-01 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	23	$83	0	178	-178	open	—	05-02 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	36	$71	0	136	-136	open	—	04-30 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	15	$56	20	89	-69	open	—	05-02 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	11	$45	30	60	-30	open	—	05-01 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	11	$41	10	70	-60	open	—	05-01 12:32
btc updown 5m 1775248200	20	$38	75	0	+75	open	—	04-03 20:31
btc updown 5m 1775482200	14	$35	60	5	+55	open	—	04-06 13:33
btc updown 5m 1775146500	28	$35	140	0	+140	open	—	04-02 16:18
btc updown 5m 1775480700	15	$34	55	15	+40	open	—	04-06 13:07
btc updown 5m 1775464500	16	$32	55	5	+50	open	—	04-06 08:38
btc updown 5m 1775411700	16	$32	60	5	+55	open	—	04-05 17:59
btc updown 5m 1775411100	20	$31	55	5	+50	open	—	04-05 17:47
btc updown 5m 1775426100	16	$31	50	10	+40	open	—	04-05 21:57
btc updown 5m 1775411400	14	$31	45	15	+30	open	—	04-05 17:52
btc updown 5m 1775243100	17	$31	60	0	+60	open	—	04-03 19:07
btc updown 5m 1775466000	13	$31	45	15	+30	open	—	04-06 09:02
btc updown 5m 1775247900	18	$30	55	5	+50	open	—	04-03 20:26
btc updown 5m 1775409600	18	$30	55	5	+50	open	—	04-05 17:21
btc updown 5m 1775241900	15	$30	55	5	+50	open	—	04-03 18:46
btc updown 5m 1775242500	14	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	04-03 18:57
btc updown 5m 1775410800	12	$30	40	20	+20	open	—	04-05 17:41
btc updown 5m 1775487600	13	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	04-06 15:03
btc updown 5m 1775243700	16	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	04-03 19:16
btc updown 5m 1775249400	17	$30	55	10	+45	open	—	04-03 20:51
btc updown 5m 1775249700	16	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	04-03 20:57
btc updown 5m 1775459100	15	$30	58	5	+53	open	—	04-06 07:08
btc updown 5m 1775412300	14	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	04-05 18:06
btc updown 5m 1775491200	15	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	04-06 16:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 16:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xddcd13…
05-11 16:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x510448…
05-11 16:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x3c0739…
05-11 15:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$0	0xbd5ded…
05-11 15:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$7	0xa96fb4…
05-11 15:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x5f07c4…
05-11 15:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x0e7fb8…
05-11 14:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xc6f521…
05-11 14:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x9d49a7…
05-10 20:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x80430a…
05-10 20:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x58cebf…
05-10 20:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x15bfce…
05-10 20:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x9fd495…
05-10 20:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0xadc756…
05-10 20:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xde0330…
05-10 20:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x210a19…
05-10 20:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x8b06ad…
05-10 20:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xee7bb5…
05-10 20:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xa2b71e…
05-10 20:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x1eaccc…
05-10 20:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xddb90c…
05-10 20:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x1b0da1…
05-10 19:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xc00742…
05-10 19:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0xe1f856…
05-10 19:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x66c806…
05-10 19:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xcc4784…
05-10 14:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xdb1b1f…
05-10 14:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x29a0d1…
05-08 16:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xf02eae…
05-08 16:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x092707…
05-08 16:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xf6cbbf…
05-08 16:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0xcab064…
05-08 16:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x6e00cd…
05-08 13:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x5e236c…
05-08 13:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x3a0b90…
05-08 09:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x98429a…
05-08 07:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xfac519…
05-08 07:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xad8439…
05-08 07:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x937a5b…
05-08 07:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x6eaab0…
05-07 22:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xddff71…
05-07 22:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x7e6c00…
05-07 22:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x012286…
05-07 21:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xc4983f…
05-07 21:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x722573…
05-07 21:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0x5f9e63…
05-07 21:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x90d1a0…
05-07 17:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x42f78b…
05-07 17:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x2faf91…
05-07 17:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xdc1043…
05-07 17:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf63d03…
05-07 17:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xc46672…
05-07 08:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xc49453…
05-07 08:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x74a64f…
05-07 08:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$1	0x1d4daf…
05-07 08:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0x39899f…
05-06 08:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xc6d8c3…
05-04 07:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x2d553f…
05-02 21:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xe688c9…
05-02 21:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xa8ff47…
05-02 21:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x3dd424…
05-02 21:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x0e8d89…
05-02 21:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x5b9399…
05-02 21:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x92c337…
05-02 21:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x7f97c6…
05-02 21:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xfa5f0a…
05-02 21:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x2e656c…
05-02 21:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xda0172…
05-02 21:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x708768…
05-02 21:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xbc8a83…
05-02 21:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xb4491c…
05-02 21:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x8382b8…
05-02 21:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x457e7d…
05-02 21:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x7a18db…
05-02 21:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0x4a87cc…
05-02 21:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x8466aa…
05-02 21:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	39¢	$4	0xc6ba3d…
05-02 21:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	61¢	$7	0xb349c5…
05-02 21:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x0ebd29…
05-02 21:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x55ff65…
05-02 21:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x42af10…
05-02 20:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xdbaab1…
05-02 20:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x5a214c…
05-02 20:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x63a20e…
05-02 20:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0xefda7c…
05-02 20:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x42494c…
05-02 17:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xe4d767…
05-02 17:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x053fad…
05-02 17:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x5e0b9e…
05-02 17:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xe1f5c0…
05-02 17:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0xf3508b…
05-02 17:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x9e0eb7…
05-02 17:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x8904ae…
05-02 17:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x3a86c5…
05-02 17:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x66c058…
05-02 17:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xec4a41…
05-02 17:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xe712eb…
05-02 17:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	67¢	$6	0xe712eb…
05-02 17:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x83a6db…
05-02 17:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xb5f312…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	963	$2.30K	5,349	05-11 16:30
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	950	$562.8K	40,065	05-11 16:29
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	909	$154.2K	13,994	04-17 16:19
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	906	$63.8K	10,280	05-11 16:29
(anonymous) 0x7da0…6be2	894	$15.3K	18,335	04-17 16:19
(anonymous) 0xd216…eead	892	$2.78K	4,652	04-17 16:19
Altruistic-Trust 0xd9a0…dbca	888	$1.36K	3,590	04-17 16:19
Competent-Engineering 0xb313…1ce7	883	$9.49K	2,050	05-11 16:15