Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
open
Total volume
$1,568
$89 in 24h
Trades
211
Unique wallets
96
Liquidity
$19,411
Latest YES mid
36¢
Latest NO mid
64¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 20:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.1¢
(top1%: 19% YES on $443
vs crowd: 24% YES on $1.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $49 | $148 | $99 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $40 | $313 | $273 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 81 | $258 | $633 | $375 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 14 | $84 | $359 | $275 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $34 | $80 | $46 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $22 | $156 | $135 |
| Median | 22 | $21 | $100 | $79 |
| Below median | 12 | $51 | $69 | $18 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $10 | $172 | $162 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $46 | $62 | $16 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $55 | $73 | $18 |
| unranked | 8 | $24 | $22 | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pricey-Operator 0xef17…96bf | Down | +223 | $216 | $216 | 6 | 05-10 20:41 |
| Impish-Premier 0x55e0…1141 | Up | +189 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-10 20:31 |
| Pleased-Implementation 0x115b…2291 | Down | +173 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-10 20:36 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +170 | $28 | $28 | 10 | 05-10 20:36 |
| Energetic-Threshold 0xc7bc…fec2 | Up | +162 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-10 20:41 |
| Helpful-Misplacement 0xe6c3…75c9 | Up | +115 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 20:41 |
| Chilly-Clank 0xdec3…a3d5 | Up | +111 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 20:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Down | +98 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 05-10 20:31 |
| Powerless-Hearsay 0x6c92…88eb | Up | +80 | $43 | $43 | 2 | 05-10 20:16 |
| Disguised-Airforce 0x48eb…4add | Up | +77 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 20:36 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +75 | $56 | $56 | 6 | 05-10 20:36 |
| Definitive-Pork 0x298c…90cc | Up | +74 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Up | +68 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 20:36 |
| Neat-Anarchist 0x1018…23fe | Down | +62 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 05-10 20:36 |
| Deadly-Initial 0x8abe…c3d2 | Down | +61 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 05-10 20:31 |
| Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867 | Down | +55 | $41 | $41 | 3 | 05-10 20:31 |
| Youthful-Movement 0x8da4…f3d1 | Up | +50 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 05-10 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xf440…9b2d | Up | +44 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-09 21:05 |
| Nutritious-Lake 0x9706…8613 | Up | +40 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-10 20:14 |
| Flowery-Comportment 0x17d7…9e1e | Down | +34 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 05-10 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101 | Up | +34 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-10 20:36 |
| Square-Botany 0x7048…2fbc | Down | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 20:41 |
| Outrageous-Knowledge 0xa492…adbe | Up | +31 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-10 20:15 |
| Fresh-Pledge 0x48ab…89c5 | Down | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-10 20:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 20:36 |
| Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603 | Down | +30 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 05-10 20:31 |
| Shallow-Actor 0x2df8…7c79 | Down | +30 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 05-10 20:41 |
| Descriptive-Afterlife 0x9791…3bb0 | Down | +24 | $19 | $19 | 3 | 05-10 20:31 |
| Queasy-Anesthesiology 0x610c…cb37 | Down | +22 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 05-10 20:31 |
| Comfortable-Dialect 0xbb65…b709 | Down | +21 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-10 20:41 |
| Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603 | Up | +20 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-10 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Up | +20 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-10 20:36 |
| Satisfied-Netbook-Ratio 0x1eda…c77b | Down | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-10 20:31 |
| Prestigious-Cork 0x717d…bed6 | Down | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-10 20:41 |
| Kosher-Pie 0x5fc2…d22b | Down | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-10 20:31 |
| Reflecting-Hake 0x7319…0b1d | Down | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-10 20:36 |
| Upright-Partnership 0xba15…e6a0 | Up | +18 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 20:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Up | +17 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 20:31 |
| Descriptive-Afterlife 0x9791…3bb0 | Up | +16 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-10 20:31 |
| Cuddly-Grenade 0x2cf8…37e7 | Down | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 20:41 |
| Lawful-Nightlife-Sleet 0x6c6a…4fd2 | Down | +15 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 05-10 20:31 |
| Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298 | Down | +15 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 05-10 20:31 |
| Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867 | Up | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 20:31 |
| Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a | Up | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 20:31 |
| Acclaimed-List 0xbfa3…3cb7 | Down | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-10 20:41 |
| Tangible-Snuggle 0xdc34…67f5 | Up | +13 | $4 | $9 | 3 | 05-10 20:31 |
| Truthful-Firewall 0xa923…6704 | Up | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 20:36 |
| Respectful-Swan 0x9316…c00c | Up | +12 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 20:31 |
| Tempting-Soliloquy 0x71f3…b04f | Down | +11 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-10 20:36 |
| Average-Skean 0xe130…e5bf | Down | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 20:41 |
| Silky-Thrush 0x3506…94f9 | Up | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-10 20:31 |
| Vivacious-Congressman 0x3c54…c95a | Down | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 20:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x3857…160d | Down | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 20:36 |
| Educated-Pearl 0x9c93…4bac | Up | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-10 20:36 |
| Overcooked-Maternity 0x021f…1cdf | Down | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 20:36 |
| staystilldontmove 0x98c4…5b19 | Down | +8 | $7 | $7 | 7 | 05-10 20:41 |
| Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Up | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 20:36 |
| Truthful-Firewall 0xa923…6704 | Down | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 20:36 |
| Turbulent-Corruption 0xdeb5…5f5e | Up | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 20:31 |
| Irritating-Lollipop 0xafe7…e77d | Up | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 20:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 20:42:01 | Nimble-Fledgling 0x645e…6548 | Down | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x5e4d45… |
| 05-10 20:42:01 | Stiff-Radiator 0x9919…0a5d | Down | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x682a85… |
| 05-10 20:41:59 | staystilldontmove 0x98c4…5b19 | Down | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x65dbbe… |
| 05-10 20:41:59 | Villainous-Sequel 0xb972…6c79 | Down | SELL | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0x3596c3… |
| 05-10 20:41:57 | Prestigious-Cork 0x717d…bed6 | Down | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x5ea2de… |
| 05-10 20:41:57 | Villainous-Sequel 0xb972…6c79 | Down | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x568231… |
| 05-10 20:41:57 | (anonymous) 0xe7cb…25e6 | Down | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xf0d084… |
| 05-10 20:41:56 | Villainous-Sequel 0xb972…6c79 | Down | SELL | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0x83cb5d… |
| 05-10 20:41:50 | Energetic-Threshold 0xc7bc…fec2 | Up | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x634bf6… |
| 05-10 20:41:50 | Nimble-Fledgling 0x645e…6548 | Down | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x45809a… |
| 05-10 20:41:50 | Neat-Anarchist 0x1018…23fe | Up | SELL | 32 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x550b9f… |
| 05-10 20:41:49 | Acclaimed-List 0xbfa3…3cb7 | Down | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0xfaeb0c… |
| 05-10 20:41:47 | Shallow-Actor 0x2df8…7c79 | Down | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x6da611… |
| 05-10 20:41:47 | staystilldontmove 0x98c4…5b19 | Down | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc0a846… |
| 05-10 20:41:45 | Pricey-Operator 0xef17…96bf | Down | BUY | 38 | 96¢ | $36 | 0xd53df7… |
| 05-10 20:41:43 | Fresh-Pledge 0x48ab…89c5 | Down | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x7d3c23… |
| 05-10 20:41:42 | Grimy-Power 0x4f34…18b7 | Down | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x21c38b… |
| 05-10 20:41:42 | Square-Botany 0x7048…2fbc | Down | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0xb1d62c… |
| 05-10 20:41:40 | Comfortable-Dialect 0xbb65…b709 | Down | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x033370… |
| 05-10 20:41:40 | Nimble-Fledgling 0x645e…6548 | Down | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x962465… |
| 05-10 20:41:38 | Pricey-Operator 0xef17…96bf | Down | BUY | 38 | 96¢ | $36 | 0xcf27d3… |
| 05-10 20:41:36 | Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f | Up | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x913a65… |
| 05-10 20:41:36 | staystilldontmove 0x98c4…5b19 | Down | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x5ab698… |
| 05-10 20:41:36 | Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f | Up | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbdcb46… |
| 05-10 20:41:36 | Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f | Up | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4edabc… |
| 05-10 20:41:36 | Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f | Up | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x528392… |
| 05-10 20:41:35 | Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f | Up | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x31de0c… |
| 05-10 20:41:35 | Dental-Salad 0xe8de…4cb0 | Down | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x56bf2d… |
| 05-10 20:41:35 | Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f | Up | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xba89d5… |
| 05-10 20:41:35 | Cuddly-Patron 0x2ecb…7645 | Down | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x59d52d… |
| 05-10 20:41:35 | Pricey-Operator 0xef17…96bf | Down | BUY | 38 | 95¢ | $36 | 0x96a15c… |
| 05-10 20:41:35 | Helpful-Misplacement 0xe6c3…75c9 | Up | BUY | 115 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xab8278… |
| 05-10 20:41:35 | Cuddly-Grenade 0x2cf8…37e7 | Down | BUY | 16 | 95¢ | $15 | 0xd00b39… |
| 05-10 20:41:33 | Dental-Salad 0xe8de…4cb0 | Down | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x5f427a… |
| 05-10 20:41:33 | Pricey-Operator 0xef17…96bf | Down | BUY | 37 | 98¢ | $36 | 0x0d89cc… |
| 05-10 20:41:33 | Dental-Salad 0xe8de…4cb0 | Down | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x795b0f… |
| 05-10 20:41:33 | Dental-Salad 0xe8de…4cb0 | Down | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xe38b41… |
| 05-10 20:41:31 | Fluid-Pattern 0xdc5c…808a | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xf3c62f… |
| 05-10 20:41:31 | Pricey-Operator 0xef17…96bf | Down | BUY | 37 | 98¢ | $36 | 0x2fd3f8… |
| 05-10 20:41:29 | Nimble-Fledgling 0x645e…6548 | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x68a024… |
| 05-10 20:41:29 | Fake-Ale 0x719f…3b73 | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x0334ac… |
| 05-10 20:41:29 | Pricey-Operator 0xef17…96bf | Down | BUY | 37 | 98¢ | $36 | 0x9b8532… |
| 05-10 20:41:28 | Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f | Up | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x29b7f5… |
| 05-10 20:41:28 | Lucky-Wiring 0x93d9…639f | Up | SELL | 142 | 3¢ | $5 | 0xcd096c… |
| 05-10 20:41:28 | Dental-Salad 0xe8de…4cb0 | Down | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x00282c… |
| 05-10 20:41:28 | Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f | Up | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe03a25… |
| 05-10 20:41:28 | Vivacious-Congressman 0x3c54…c95a | Down | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x07aaf1… |
| 05-10 20:41:28 | staystilldontmove 0x98c4…5b19 | Down | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x788870… |
| 05-10 20:41:26 | Dental-Salad 0xe8de…4cb0 | Down | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $3 | 0xb376ab… |
| 05-10 20:41:26 | Dental-Salad 0xe8de…4cb0 | Down | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x6ad052… |
| 05-10 20:41:26 | Dental-Salad 0xe8de…4cb0 | Down | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xea4a02… |
| 05-10 20:41:26 | Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f | Up | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x58d872… |
| 05-10 20:41:26 | Dental-Salad 0xe8de…4cb0 | Down | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x92baa8… |
| 05-10 20:41:24 | Hideous-Info 0xd25e…792b | Down | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xbd61e0… |
| 05-10 20:41:22 | Average-Skean 0xe130…e5bf | Down | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x87824f… |
| 05-10 20:41:22 | Dental-Salad 0xe8de…4cb0 | Down | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x8c63ba… |
| 05-10 20:41:22 | Dental-Salad 0xe8de…4cb0 | Down | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x967f1c… |
| 05-10 20:41:21 | Self-Assured-Guide 0xa09c…2fe5 | Down | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xd969bb… |
| 05-10 20:41:21 | Playful-Gift 0xffd8…ff26 | Down | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x14e38f… |
| 05-10 20:41:21 | Dental-Salad 0xe8de…4cb0 | Down | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xf15c8c… |
| 05-10 20:41:21 | Dental-Salad 0xe8de…4cb0 | Down | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x380fa7… |
| 05-10 20:41:21 | Comfortable-Dialect 0xbb65…b709 | Down | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x9ba89f… |
| 05-10 20:41:19 | Dental-Salad 0xe8de…4cb0 | Down | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xb87765… |
| 05-10 20:41:19 | Dental-Salad 0xe8de…4cb0 | Down | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x53a995… |
| 05-10 20:36:51 | Flowery-Comportment 0x17d7…9e1e | Down | BUY | 17 | 86¢ | $15 | 0x52054b… |
| 05-10 20:36:51 | Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603 | Up | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xeb7b14… |
| 05-10 20:36:51 | Mature-Clarity 0xe44a…2eac | Down | SELL | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0x2528d9… |
| 05-10 20:36:49 | Disguised-Airforce 0x48eb…4add | Up | BUY | 77 | 13¢ | $10 | 0xd21c51… |
| 05-10 20:36:49 | Neat-Anarchist 0x1018…23fe | Down | BUY | 62 | 86¢ | $53 | 0xbb9a74… |
| 05-10 20:36:49 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Up | BUY | 68 | 13¢ | $9 | 0x934c8b… |
| 05-10 20:36:49 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | BUY | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xed5a07… |
| 05-10 20:36:48 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x62b94b… |
| 05-10 20:36:48 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | BUY | 19 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xb1d298… |
| 05-10 20:36:48 | Comfortable-Surname 0x94fe…4fc1 | Down | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x69d86e… |
| 05-10 20:36:48 | Flowery-Comportment 0x17d7…9e1e | Down | BUY | 17 | 88¢ | $15 | 0x6301c0… |
| 05-10 20:36:48 | (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x8081cb… |
| 05-10 20:36:48 | Mature-Clarity 0xe44a…2eac | Down | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x0ae56c… |
| 05-10 20:36:48 | Joyful-Manservant 0x5164…6a33 | Up | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xe0e456… |
| 05-10 20:36:48 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 9 | 87¢ | $8 | 0x74cc4f… |
| 05-10 20:36:46 | Mature-Clarity 0xe44a…2eac | Down | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xf78b4c… |
| 05-10 20:36:46 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | BUY | 21 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xa199d5… |
| 05-10 20:36:46 | (anonymous) 0x4a8b…ad3f | Down | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x9ea756… |
| 05-10 20:36:46 | Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08 | Up | SELL | 0 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xc8b2b9… |
| 05-10 20:36:46 | (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Up | BUY | 13 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xcfcba1… |
| 05-10 20:36:44 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Up | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xbbd5db… |
| 05-10 20:36:44 | staystilldontmove 0x98c4…5b19 | Down | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x977d3e… |
| 05-10 20:36:44 | Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08 | Down | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x91736c… |
| 05-10 20:36:44 | Educated-Pearl 0x9c93…4bac | Up | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x99f9c1… |
| 05-10 20:36:44 | Youthful-Movement 0x8da4…f3d1 | Up | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x45ecb2… |
| 05-10 20:36:42 | Mature-Clarity 0xe44a…2eac | Down | SELL | 2 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x934c03… |
| 05-10 20:36:42 | Shallow-Actor 0x2df8…7c79 | Down | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x2d62c9… |
| 05-10 20:36:42 | Definitive-Pork 0x298c…90cc | Up | BUY | 74 | 13¢ | $10 | 0x60c7d6… |
| 05-10 20:36:41 | Truthful-Firewall 0xa923…6704 | Up | BUY | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x82b5eb… |
| 05-10 20:36:41 | Pleased-Implementation 0x115b…2291 | Down | BUY | 173 | 87¢ | $150 | 0x911018… |
| 05-10 20:36:39 | Reflecting-Hake 0x7319…0b1d | Down | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x3acb99… |
| 05-10 20:36:39 | Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08 | Down | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x291d7d… |
| 05-10 20:36:39 | Truthful-Firewall 0xa923…6704 | Down | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x3090a5… |
| 05-10 20:36:39 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x371710… |
| 05-10 20:36:39 | Mature-Clarity 0xe44a…2eac | Down | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x82db36… |
| 05-10 20:36:37 | (anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101 | Up | BUY | 16 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xda8560… |