Absolute-Index — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$881

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

77.6%

Resolved

1,349

Trades

9,402

lifetime

Volume

$161.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$107

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-13 16:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% +$872

Other

0% 80% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+110	$106	97¢	$107	+$2	09-23 20:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:15 UTC	11	$596	500	200	+300	Down	+$3	02-10 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	39	$596	1,100	0	+1,100	Down	+$4	05-10 20:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 18:15 UTC	11	$595	300	300	+0	Down	+$4	01-30 18:28
bitcoin above 92k on january 21	2	$593	300	300	+0	No	+$1	01-21 15:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 18:15 UTC	15	$498	400	200	+200	Down	+$2	02-05 18:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 16:45 UTC	12	$497	400	200	+200	Up	+$2	02-05 16:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 22:15 UTC	24	$488	700	101	+599	Down	-$4	01-22 22:29
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	3	$436	220	220	+0	No	+$3	06-26 15:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 19:30 UTC	19	$401	300	200	+100	Down	-$1	04-21 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	21	$399	500	100	+400	Down	+$0	04-26 22:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 19:00 UTC	19	$399	800	0	+800	Down	+$1	04-22 19:11
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 17:30 UTC	21	$398	500	100	+400	Down	+$2	01-30 17:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 15:15 UTC	10	$397	500	0	+500	Up	+$3	01-09 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	12	$396	500	100	+400	Up	+$4	04-26 18:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 19:45 UTC	25	$396	500	100	+400	Up	+$4	01-28 19:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 15:00 UTC	30	$395	600	0	+600	Up	+$5	02-07 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 15:00 UTC	27	$395	800	0	+800	Down	+$5	01-07 15:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 18:30 UTC	9	$393	500	0	+500	Up	+$7	01-09 18:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 19:45 UTC	30	$392	799	0	+799	Up	+$7	01-15 19:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 19:30 UTC	18	$391	800	0	+800	Up	+$9	01-29 19:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 18:00 UTC	25	$390	200	200	+0	Up	+$2	01-24 18:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 19:45 UTC	14	$390	200	200	+0	Down	+$2	01-24 19:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 21:00 UTC	10	$388	200	200	+0	Down	+$2	01-24 21:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 17:00 UTC	10	$388	200	200	-0	Up	+$2	01-24 17:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 23:00 UTC	21	$386	200	200	+0	Down	+$2	01-24 23:09
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 21:30 UTC	21	$369	175	200	-25	Up	+$1	02-02 21:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 19:45 UTC	19	$365	632	32	+600	Down	-$1	02-01 19:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 00:00 UTC	18	$326	140	200	-60	Down	$0	01-23 00:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 23:45 UTC	15	$320	421	0	+421	Down	+$1	02-01 23:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 14:45 UTC	28	$315	714	0	+714	Down	-$1	02-07 14:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 16:53:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x72c938…
10-13 16:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6a8290…
10-13 16:49:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7f7076…
10-02 15:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xeba078…
10-02 15:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xba9806…
10-02 15:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb48eb0…
10-02 15:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x9ba665…
10-02 15:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x167efb…
09-23 20:34:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfb26a5…
09-23 20:29:02	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x67fec0…
09-23 19:50:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1bee23…
09-23 19:27:08	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x054d2f…
09-23 18:04:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x4dd4e3…
09-23 16:12:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0x6518a8…
09-04 11:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x02fa4a…
09-04 11:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x57e143…
09-04 11:33:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe3a089…
09-04 11:32:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa4c1f1…
09-04 11:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2b519a…
09-04 11:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x92798f…
09-04 11:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfd6e29…
09-04 11:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xb156a5…
09-04 11:08:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd8a088…
09-04 11:08:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc2198f…
09-04 11:08:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x994487…
09-04 11:08:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x452c78…
09-04 11:07:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x0955ef…
09-04 11:02:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x0d2172…
08-24 15:48:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb25e09…
08-24 15:47:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xa1ee08…
08-14 21:58:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7c2e5d…
08-14 21:58:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x3bab03…
08-14 21:53:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf196d8…
08-14 21:53:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xa1a8bf…
08-14 21:48:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xe68db0…
08-14 21:48:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x8dce39…
08-14 21:34:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7af75b…
08-14 21:34:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x3fb7a1…
08-14 21:34:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x607d0e…
08-14 21:27:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xfce574…
08-14 21:27:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x16b28b…
08-14 21:24:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xc6f881…
08-14 21:24:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x52a9f9…
08-14 21:24:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xd25c7f…
08-14 21:14:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x4b157c…
08-14 21:14:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x95ac05…
08-14 21:13:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x48311a…
08-14 21:12:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x3f5f39…
08-14 21:08:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xd8ae23…
08-14 21:08:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x34d661…
08-14 21:04:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf65dbf…
08-14 21:03:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xaa52b9…
08-14 21:03:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xa79382…
08-14 21:03:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xa35834…
08-01 17:34:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xf2133d…
08-01 17:33:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf8381d…
08-01 17:33:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x7301f2…
08-01 17:33:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x16ed86…
08-01 17:33:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xa5d946…
08-01 17:26:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xe5ee71…
08-01 17:26:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xfefc9c…
08-01 17:26:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xf6e2f3…
08-01 17:26:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x9fa008…
08-01 17:26:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x89c984…
07-28 21:49:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xfc661f…
07-28 21:49:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd4af36…
07-28 21:49:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x469565…
06-29 17:14:11	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xebfa86…
06-28 23:12:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb41019…
06-26 15:55:04	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0x82461b…
06-11 20:21:27	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x279ded…
06-11 20:21:10	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xdba4fd…
06-11 17:06:25	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xa6c8a0…
06-11 17:06:19	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x02b5f4…
06-11 17:04:36	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	45	10¢	$5	0x292682…
06-11 17:04:33	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x3cd627…
06-11 17:00:49	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x475bd7…
06-11 17:00:33	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x82a21b…
05-23 21:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xd4d340…
05-23 21:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x7ec4c6…
05-23 21:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe17d0f…
05-23 21:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbda745…
05-23 21:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x679529…
05-23 21:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xdffe65…
05-23 15:56:06	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0xbf5a70…
05-23 01:12:07	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6688ce…
05-22 16:32:40	Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Walczaki (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffs	Alliance	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x0f86d0…
05-22 16:08:34	Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Walczaki (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffs	Alliance	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xfd3fbc…
05-21 15:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x1dd7c3…
05-21 15:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xfc8fdd…
05-21 15:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xf5f0a2…
05-21 15:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xe55c4d…
05-21 15:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe2a2b3…
05-21 15:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd0ac2a…
05-21 15:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x9ff0ec…
05-21 15:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6ad703…
05-21 15:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x6425fd…
05-21 15:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x41ca3a…
05-21 15:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x3f5c7f…
05-21 15:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x3e6bfc…