Rough-Lookout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$70

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.4%

Resolved

342

Trades

793

lifetime

Volume

$5.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-11 16:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 18% $-70

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 279 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	3	$567	562	562	+0	Up	+$547	05-09 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	3	$271	296	296	+0	Up	+$171	05-10 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	3	$232	322	322	+0	Down	+$132	05-10 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$193	170	170	+0	Up	+$143	05-09 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	4	$155	1,260	0	+1,260	Down	$-155	05-10 02:13
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	3	$150	614	0	+614	Up	$-150	05-10 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	4	$105	316	0	+316	Up	+$5	05-06 19:39
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	4	$60	2,412	0	+2,412	Up	$-60	05-10 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	8	$55	649	0	+649	Up	$-55	05-09 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$55	485	0	+485	Down	$-55	05-09 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	3	$55	361	0	+361	Down	$-55	05-10 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$50	467	0	+467	Up	$-50	05-10 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$50	331	0	+331	Down	$-50	05-10 00:29
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$50	230	0	+230	Down	$-50	05-09 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$50	271	0	+271	Down	$-50	05-10 02:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$50	493	0	+493	Down	$-50	05-10 00:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	4	$40	492	0	+492	Up	$-40	05-10 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	4	$40	558	0	+558	Down	$-40	05-10 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	4	$40	759	0	+759	Down	$-40	05-10 00:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	4	$40	892	0	+892	Up	$-40	05-09 23:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	4	$40	309	0	+309	Up	$-40	05-10 01:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$40	431	0	+431	Down	$-40	05-10 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	3	$35	1,391	0	+1,391	Down	$-35	05-09 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	3	$35	1,093	0	+1,093	Down	$-35	05-09 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	3	$35	810	0	+810	Down	$-35	05-10 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	3	$35	463	0	+463	Up	$-35	05-10 00:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$30	389	0	+389	Down	+$259	05-10 00:04
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$30	164	0	+164	Up	$-30	05-09 22:39
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$30	206	0	+206	Down	$-30	05-09 23:08
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$30	811	0	+811	Up	$-30	05-09 23:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 16:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x7d81f6…
05-11 16:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	53	17¢	$9	0x5177ec…
05-11 16:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6c1384…
05-11 16:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0xed3b00…
05-11 16:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xeb0d6d…
05-11 16:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x42ba10…
05-11 16:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x971ee1…
05-11 16:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x78fe3b…
05-11 16:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe53889…
05-11 16:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4b1094…
05-11 16:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb7455d…
05-11 16:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x31b0e5…
05-11 16:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x9e0464…
05-11 16:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x47c3c6…
05-11 16:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xff205d…
05-11 16:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb429a1…
05-11 16:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x822600…
05-11 16:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0xac71c2…
05-11 16:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x664684…
05-11 16:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x33263f…
05-11 16:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x022115…
05-11 16:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x77c924…
05-11 15:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd30c62…
05-11 15:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd49428…
05-11 15:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x78351d…
05-11 14:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4dda7e…
05-11 14:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x418fdf…
05-11 14:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x1158c1…
05-11 14:35:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x360060…
05-11 14:35:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x89bf9e…
05-11 14:35:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x193220…
05-11 14:35:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x12fcc7…
05-11 14:35:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xe6dd8a…
05-11 14:35:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xae8bca…
05-11 14:34:53	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2f7f2c…
05-11 14:34:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9e3cf9…
05-11 14:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x44e3ac…
05-11 14:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0xf2ac8f…
05-11 14:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2b717a…
05-11 14:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x372f8a…
05-11 14:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x822c89…
05-11 14:20:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x701fff…
05-11 14:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3c2de5…
05-11 14:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8d4416…
05-11 14:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x229cba…
05-11 14:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x73a008…
05-11 14:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x35f731…
05-11 14:18:29	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x4dc8da…
05-11 14:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2fc5a6…
05-11 14:17:25	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xb801fd…
05-11 14:17:18	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xaade42…
05-11 14:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0b4d30…
05-11 14:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf4fc26…
05-11 14:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5383c7…
05-11 14:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfb3219…
05-11 14:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd36e2e…
05-11 14:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0x02571b…
05-11 14:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xb4dac5…
05-11 14:11:54	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0bdd6d…
05-11 14:11:50	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x059ab4…
05-11 14:11:49	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x199327…
05-11 14:11:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x328348…
05-11 14:11:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6c02bd…
05-11 14:11:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb92f51…
05-11 14:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x802237…
05-11 14:08:45	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x39b833…
05-11 14:08:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x002e62…
05-11 14:07:49	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe08688…
05-11 14:07:37	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xcf787f…
05-11 14:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x295980…
05-11 14:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8329e2…
05-11 14:06:39	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x16570a…
05-11 14:06:37	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6e8012…
05-11 14:06:35	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf1b09c…
05-11 14:06:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xd026f1…
05-11 14:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x98c0b4…
05-11 14:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc5ab70…
05-11 14:03:40	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x5a5f5c…
05-11 14:03:11	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1c27c9…
05-11 14:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd3b7bc…
05-11 14:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x67c316…
05-11 14:02:18	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf1da63…
05-11 14:02:13	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xfbeda5…
05-11 14:02:01	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5789f0…
05-11 14:01:57	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa8a8b3…
05-11 14:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6c6045…
05-11 14:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7e290c…
05-11 13:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x744aec…
05-11 13:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x4e3297…
05-11 13:57:56	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x442bee…
05-11 13:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x964d02…
05-11 13:56:44	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xf63cf1…
05-11 13:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9a2607…
05-11 13:52:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0xe3050d…
05-11 13:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x330c1f…
05-11 13:48:43	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x26259c…
05-11 13:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x72c4c4…
05-11 13:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x34f921…
05-11 13:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb4cd2b…
05-11 13:42:37	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x5d4133…