Energetic-Threshold — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$159

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.5%

Resolved

Trades

141

lifetime

Volume

$2.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-10 21:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% $-159

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	7	$504	560	560	+0	Down	+$173	05-10 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	3	$433	311	311	+0	Down	+$184	05-10 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	8	$275	1,889	0	+1,889	Down	$-275	05-10 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	6	$242	239	239	+0	Down	+$82	05-10 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$94	7,342	0	+7,342	Up	$-94	05-10 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	5	$88	242	99	+144	Up	+$8	05-10 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	7	$83	836	129	+706	Down	$-67	05-10 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	5	$75	61	61	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$73	56	56	+0	Down	+$33	05-10 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$72	200	0	+200	Up	$-72	05-10 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$45	161	0	+161	Down	$-45	05-10 19:31
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$24	19	16	+3	Down	+$8	05-10 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$22	352	0	+352	Down	$-22	05-10 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$22	21	21	+0	Down	+$12	05-10 18:54
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$21	13	12	+1	Down	+$2	05-10 19:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 20:00
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$19	12	11	+1	Up	+$2	05-10 20:08
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$18	13	10	+3	Down	$-1	05-10 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$15	46	0	+46	Up	$-15	05-10 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$15	41	0	+41	Down	$-15	05-10 19:00
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$14	12	8	+4	Down	+$2	05-10 20:14
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$14	13	8	+5	Down	$-5	05-10 19:42
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$14	17	8	+9	Up	+$4	05-10 19:41
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$14	13	7	+6	Down	+$0	05-10 20:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$14	16	9	+7	Down	$-4	05-10 19:13
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	05-09 22:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 17:35
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$13	12	7	+5	Down	$-1	05-10 20:03
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 20:33
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$13	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 19:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 21:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	875	2¢	$17	0xd89fb6…
05-10 21:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4,138	1¢	$53	0xbf3b76…
05-10 21:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2,330	1¢	$23	0x49870f…
05-10 20:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	322	0¢	$2	0x3e7ee2…
05-10 20:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	620	1¢	$5	0x255877…
05-10 20:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	620	1¢	$5	0x2dd09c…
05-10 20:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd86bf0…
05-10 20:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x634bf6…
05-10 20:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	292	7¢	$20	0xe223f7…
05-10 20:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xc00441…
05-10 20:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	211	9¢	$20	0x9d6e57…
05-10 20:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	191	10¢	$20	0xa70069…
05-10 20:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	301	33¢	$100	0x15bfce…
05-10 20:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	232	43¢	$100	0xf24af4…
05-10 20:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	249	2¢	$5	0x55c077…
05-10 20:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	363	6¢	$20	0x02b072…
05-10 20:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x0a518b…
05-10 20:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	129	6¢	$8	0x84e8b0…
05-10 20:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0xe02007…
05-10 20:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xa05555…
05-10 20:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x731461…
05-10 20:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	56	95¢	$53	0xb3a6aa…
05-10 20:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x21607d…
05-10 20:14:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x210c44…
05-10 20:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	311	99¢	$308	0x6b8876…
05-10 20:13:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xbcc863…
05-10 20:13:15	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0x300849…
05-10 20:12:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf8718a…
05-10 20:12:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x075af6…
05-10 20:12:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x00c473…
05-10 20:12:30	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x0498e5…
05-10 20:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x2f6f92…
05-10 20:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	255	39¢	$100	0x598415…
05-10 20:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	79	25¢	$20	0xd2eabf…
05-10 20:08:20	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xb0dcf6…
05-10 20:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x70d420…
05-10 20:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	70	46¢	$32	0x11b229…
05-10 20:06:05	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0x1b6df5…
05-10 20:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	95	83¢	$79	0x53e6ba…
05-10 20:03:41	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x294ac2…
05-10 20:03:31	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x034259…
05-10 20:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xa1158e…
05-10 20:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x74e8d5…
05-10 20:02:54	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xce857f…
05-10 20:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	144	58¢	$83	0x9046c7…
05-10 20:02:44	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x2f8644…
05-10 20:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xe3298d…
05-10 20:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0x860c11…
05-10 20:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x50fb41…
05-10 19:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	103	79¢	$81	0xa64f60…
05-10 19:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	103	19¢	$20	0x51c742…
05-10 19:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	457	56¢	$257	0xc23f48…
05-10 19:56:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xbc7021…
05-10 19:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	199	10¢	$20	0x3580eb…
05-10 19:52:05	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0xb7db64…
05-10 19:51:18	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x083828…
05-10 19:51:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xc333cd…
05-10 19:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0xe5ce40…
05-10 19:47:35	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xb5fe2f…
05-10 19:47:06	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x29643d…
05-10 19:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x84106f…
05-10 19:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0xd74269…
05-10 19:42:12	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x5454f2…
05-10 19:41:59	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xabc1d2…
05-10 19:41:37	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x3e056c…
05-10 19:41:12	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x48dae4…
05-10 19:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0x2c3cff…
05-10 19:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	282	7¢	$20	0x29aed5…
05-10 19:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xdf0fd5…
05-10 19:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x6dc28c…
05-10 19:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x10e10c…
05-10 19:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5bd6d9…
05-10 19:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x4ddf25…
05-10 19:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x4dbc75…
05-10 19:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x0e3fbc…
05-10 19:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe946bf…
05-10 19:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0x4e29b5…
05-10 19:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x3bc21a…
05-10 19:13:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x2db77d…
05-10 19:13:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	53¢	$9	0xc64cbc…
05-10 19:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x33c452…
05-10 19:11:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$3	0x6c0ce6…
05-10 19:11:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x1ab46a…
05-10 19:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x0b70b5…
05-10 19:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	99	49¢	$48	0x3d3de5…
05-10 19:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x069f52…
05-10 19:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xb226f3…
05-10 19:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa3adbb…
05-10 19:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x1b8616…
05-10 19:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x00c9c4…
05-10 18:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0x46bf55…
05-10 18:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xaf1f04…
05-10 18:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	21	82¢	$17	0x864255…
05-10 18:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x7be31b…
05-10 18:42:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x6dbca4…
05-10 18:41:53	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x3b9570…
05-10 18:41:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x136397…
05-10 18:26:18	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x67b19d…
05-10 18:26:09	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xe13dd6…
05-10 18:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x911ff0…