Gregarious-Agency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.2%

Resolved

6,985

Trades

14,164

lifetime

Volume

$397.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-30 04:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 196 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 90% -$53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 493 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$400	404	0	+404	Down	+$4	05-04 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$400	404	0	+404	Up	+$4	05-12 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	3	$400	404	0	+404	Up	+$4	05-08 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$400	404	0	+404	Up	+$4	05-10 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$400	404	0	+404	Down	+$4	05-11 16:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 11:45 UTC	4	$400	202	202	+0	Up	+$0	04-23 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$398	404	0	+404	Down	+$6	05-09 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$397	404	0	+404	Down	+$7	05-13 14:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 19:00 UTC	2	$332	202	202	+0	Up	-$67	04-21 19:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 17:00 UTC	2	$329	202	202	+0	Down	-$71	04-24 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 15:00 UTC	2	$305	253	252	+0	Up	-$195	04-09 15:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 00:00 UTC	27	$284	480	0	+480	Up	-$44	10-17 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$257	202	202	+0	Down	-$143	04-27 12:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 13:30 UTC	4	$255	202	202	+0	Down	-$144	04-21 13:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 18:30 UTC	45	$255	540	0	+540	Up	+$15	09-27 18:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 22:15 UTC	19	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	04-07 22:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 18:00 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Down	+$3	04-09 18:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 16:30 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Down	+$3	04-09 16:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 14:45 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Down	+$3	04-08 14:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 21:30 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	04-07 21:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 11:30 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Down	+$3	04-08 11:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 12:00 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	04-09 12:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 20:15 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	04-09 20:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 21:30 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	04-09 21:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 23:15 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	04-07 23:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 12:15 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	04-07 12:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 22:00 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	04-07 22:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 13:45 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Down	+$3	04-08 13:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 21:00 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Down	+$3	04-09 21:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 22:45 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	04-07 22:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 04:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0xbf8ebe…
10-30 04:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0x9443e8…
10-30 04:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0x35229b…
10-30 04:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x819eae…
10-30 04:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xf08776…
10-30 04:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xb30ade…
10-30 04:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x2b34ee…
10-30 04:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x8db14d…
10-30 04:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x569067…
10-30 04:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x7475b9…
10-30 01:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x9bb2f9…
10-30 01:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x552fe6…
10-30 01:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x3f3fd2…
10-30 01:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0xda2349…
10-30 01:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x320014…
10-30 01:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xa8072c…
10-30 01:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0xe8d5ae…
10-30 01:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x5bd242…
10-30 01:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x870e81…
10-30 01:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0xc2b9e0…
10-30 01:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x783a1a…
10-30 01:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x876b1c…
10-30 01:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xcb64f3…
10-30 01:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0x54627d…
10-30 01:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0x879140…
10-30 01:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x965a06…
10-30 01:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x8cb1b0…
10-30 01:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0xf658b4…
10-30 01:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x235382…
10-30 01:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xcc232a…
10-30 01:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x3720c6…
10-29 22:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x19005c…
10-29 22:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x320345…
10-29 22:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0x3caa6b…
10-29 22:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	32¢	$5	0x8ad9dc…
10-29 22:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x29f61c…
10-29 22:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x032681…
10-29 22:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x68ce14…
10-29 22:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x011b76…
10-29 22:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x8c24ec…
10-29 22:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x62dff6…
10-29 22:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x0c27dd…
10-29 22:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x60c8b4…
10-29 22:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0xff9d4b…
10-29 22:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x68f6fb…
10-29 22:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x6ed21b…
10-29 22:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x52c3df…
10-29 22:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x4bb4f7…
10-29 22:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x910a71…
10-29 22:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x1ca2a8…
10-29 21:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0x45d18b…
10-29 21:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x92e04f…
10-29 21:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0xab3347…
10-29 21:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0xfe3469…
10-29 21:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x54a3ee…
10-29 21:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x88bf9d…
10-29 21:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x83943d…
10-29 21:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x3c4915…
10-29 21:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x56f3e6…
10-29 21:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xd92f11…
10-29 21:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x0088e1…
10-29 21:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x7997de…
10-29 21:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0x487b9b…
10-29 21:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x45a324…
10-29 21:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x91de75…
10-29 21:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x2a0cc4…
10-29 21:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x0ac713…
10-29 21:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xe7db13…
10-29 21:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xc5178b…
10-29 21:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xcb7a37…
10-29 21:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x1dcff9…
10-29 21:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0xfeb881…
10-29 21:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0xae6946…
10-29 21:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x443760…
10-29 21:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x528fc3…
10-29 21:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x8f273b…
10-29 21:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xd08672…
10-29 21:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x862d5f…
10-29 21:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x808837…
10-29 21:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x5c2a59…
10-29 21:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x70b530…
10-29 21:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x7c0856…
10-29 21:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0xa5c2c4…
10-29 21:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0x0a263d…
10-29 21:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x7de3bf…
10-29 21:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x50bf62…
10-29 21:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xf653dc…
10-29 21:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0xbb2163…
10-29 21:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x917538…
10-29 21:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x811ae8…
10-29 21:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xa2df1d…
10-29 15:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xfbfff3…
10-29 15:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x9c5414…
10-29 15:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x9ee4fb…
10-29 14:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xd3cf4a…
10-29 14:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x2f843c…
10-29 12:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x3dc1b0…
10-29 12:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xcc2cce…
10-29 12:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x3d5709…
10-29 12:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x8a8c09…