Gregarious-Agency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$122

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved

7,005

Trades

14,292

lifetime

Volume

$398.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-31 23:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 197 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 90% -$122

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 493 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$400	404	0	+404	Down	+$4	05-04 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$400	404	0	+404	Up	+$4	05-12 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	3	$400	404	0	+404	Up	+$4	05-08 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$400	404	0	+404	Up	+$4	05-10 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$400	404	0	+404	Down	+$4	05-11 16:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 11:45 UTC	4	$400	202	202	+0	Up	+$0	04-23 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$398	404	0	+404	Down	+$6	05-09 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$397	404	0	+404	Down	+$7	05-13 14:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 19:00 UTC	2	$332	202	202	+0	Up	-$67	04-21 19:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 17:00 UTC	2	$329	202	202	+0	Down	-$71	04-24 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 15:00 UTC	2	$305	253	252	+0	Up	-$195	04-09 15:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 00:00 UTC	27	$284	480	0	+480	Up	-$44	10-17 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$257	202	202	+0	Down	-$143	04-27 12:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 13:30 UTC	4	$255	202	202	+0	Down	-$144	04-21 13:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 18:30 UTC	45	$255	540	0	+540	Up	+$15	09-27 18:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 22:15 UTC	19	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	04-07 22:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 18:00 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Down	+$3	04-09 18:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 16:30 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Down	+$3	04-09 16:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 14:45 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Down	+$3	04-08 14:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 21:30 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	04-07 21:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 11:30 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Down	+$3	04-08 11:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 12:00 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	04-09 12:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 20:15 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	04-09 20:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 21:30 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	04-09 21:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 23:15 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	04-07 23:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 12:15 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	04-07 12:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 22:00 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	04-07 22:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 13:45 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Down	+$3	04-08 13:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 21:00 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Down	+$3	04-09 21:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 22:45 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	04-07 22:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 23:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0xc459c0…
10-31 23:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x0e5b73…
10-31 23:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xc69fc2…
10-31 23:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x65f918…
10-31 23:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x35a72a…
10-31 23:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0x14428a…
10-31 23:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0x1f34de…
10-31 23:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x905c1c…
10-31 23:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x961c3a…
10-31 23:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0xbf7baa…
10-31 23:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x74fd3b…
10-31 23:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0xd31288…
10-31 23:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x20e954…
10-31 23:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xebb586…
10-31 23:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0xd060ae…
10-31 23:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0xe8a510…
10-31 23:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x631457…
10-31 22:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0xd4485d…
10-31 22:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x7d1f1f…
10-31 22:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xcf7c41…
10-31 22:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x0e3b9d…
10-31 22:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x76384b…
10-31 22:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0x67c997…
10-31 22:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x4e0b38…
10-31 22:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xced458…
10-31 22:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xab2833…
10-31 22:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0xf68be6…
10-31 22:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x86c0b7…
10-31 22:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x62e8aa…
10-31 22:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x4cf5c6…
10-31 22:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x77ec4d…
10-31 22:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x16ad14…
10-31 22:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xda7d24…
10-31 22:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xb2c491…
10-31 22:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x8e2227…
10-31 22:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0xf13f2f…
10-31 22:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xe3932c…
10-31 22:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x9d64f5…
10-31 22:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xdaccdc…
10-31 22:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0x1774c3…
10-31 22:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0xe0028a…
10-31 22:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x86673d…
10-31 22:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0xdfa2f4…
10-31 22:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0xb15f4c…
10-31 22:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x025ea1…
10-31 22:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xe51a62…
10-31 22:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x322e61…
10-31 22:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xf62bd5…
10-31 21:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0xaebbe4…
10-31 21:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0xfa3b82…
10-31 19:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	27¢	$5	0xa63e35…
10-31 19:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xdcbd39…
10-31 19:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0xad1a41…
10-31 19:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x036739…
10-31 19:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x193ea4…
10-31 19:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x5996a9…
10-31 19:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0xdd438d…
10-31 19:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0xfecf92…
10-31 19:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0xf6d33d…
10-31 19:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x3d66e9…
10-31 19:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xdbcd93…
10-31 19:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xb8c3a2…
10-31 19:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x3cf74d…
10-31 19:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x71e828…
10-31 19:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xc866f1…
10-31 19:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x3f6903…
10-31 19:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x2245e2…
10-31 19:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x31f403…
10-31 18:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0xabad0e…
10-31 18:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0xdbb974…
10-31 18:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x929863…
10-31 18:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xafd1c9…
10-31 18:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x040c99…
10-31 18:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xd09a57…
10-31 18:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xa1183b…
10-31 18:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xb35087…
10-31 18:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x073963…
10-31 18:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0xed2695…
10-31 18:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0xded1ae…
10-31 18:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xf54f11…
10-31 18:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x8a7452…
10-31 18:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x72cb80…
10-31 16:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0x215373…
10-31 16:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xb06d78…
10-31 16:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x07a39f…
10-31 16:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x4b65b6…
10-31 16:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0x087654…
10-31 16:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x2d7564…
10-31 16:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0xa9a341…
10-31 16:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0xfe189a…
10-31 16:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0xe974f7…
10-31 16:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x34e531…
10-31 16:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xaded67…
10-31 16:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4483f3…
10-31 16:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x742a9c…
10-31 16:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x26fefa…
10-31 14:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xa7bd19…
10-31 14:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x6bd92b…
10-31 14:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x8d3112…
10-31 13:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x075e3a…