Glistening-Haircut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.74K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

61.6%

Resolved

452

Trades

1,249

lifetime

Volume

$25.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 08-16 08:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 47% -$1,418

Other

3% 29% -$321

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	+31	$1	3¢	$1	$0	05-08 12:40
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	+30	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	05-08 12:40
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	Yes	+12	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	05-08 12:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	7	$974	796	734	+63	Up	-$86	05-20 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	5	$639	729	413	+317	Down	-$61	05-13 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	4	$559	643	316	+327	Up	-$141	05-13 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	4	$542	2,831	348	+2,483	Up	-$58	05-13 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	4	$495	302	302	+0	Down	+$35	05-20 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$475	327	327	+0	Up	+$75	05-20 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	3	$439	359	359	+0	Up	+$19	05-20 21:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 15:15 UTC	4	$396	324	324	+0	Up	+$66	07-02 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	7	$330	270	270	+0	Down	+$12	05-20 19:13
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	3	$300	797	0	+797	No	-$300	06-27 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	5	$284	259	259	+0	Down	-$11	05-13 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	10	$282	386	268	+118	Up	+$20	05-10 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$280	185	185	+0	Up	+$80	05-13 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$274	210	210	+0	Down	+$74	05-13 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$267	174	174	+0	Down	+$67	05-20 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	5	$258	188	188	+0	Up	+$20	05-20 17:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 17:35 UTC	3	$256	176	176	+0	Up	+$76	07-01 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	5	$254	262	195	+67	Up	-$46	05-20 19:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 17:15 UTC	2	$253	196	196	+0	Up	+$53	07-02 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	3	$247	146	146	+0	Up	+$27	05-20 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$245	155	155	+0	Up	+$45	05-13 18:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 17:45 UTC	2	$228	152	152	+0	Down	+$28	07-02 17:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 15:30 UTC	2	$220	333	333	+0	Down	+$20	07-02 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$218	130	130	+0	Up	+$18	05-20 16:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 16:30 UTC	2	$213	141	141	+0	Up	+$13	07-02 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$206	152	152	+0	Down	+$6	05-20 16:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 18:15 UTC	2	$202	147	147	+0	Up	+$2	07-02 18:24
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	1	$200	2,500	0	+2,500	No	-$200	06-20 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	5	$198	575	141	+434	Down	-$22	05-20 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$169	104	104	+0	Down	+$9	05-13 19:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 08:25:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5dfcf5…
08-16 08:14:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5f55e6…
08-16 08:13:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x48f9ff…
07-02 18:30:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	249	40¢	$100	0x72a3d2…
07-02 18:24:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 18:15 UTC	Down	SELL	147	70¢	$102	0x40fbda…
07-02 18:19:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x9334cc…
07-02 17:49:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 17:45 UTC	Down	SELL	152	84¢	$128	0x36ca39…
07-02 17:46:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x4a18ed…
07-02 17:21:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	196	78¢	$153	0x96242c…
07-02 17:13:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xf649dd…
07-02 16:36:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	141	80¢	$113	0xb04640…
07-02 16:32:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xddc8ee…
07-02 16:19:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xf1db3f…
07-02 16:11:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	75	90¢	$67	0x27d997…
07-02 16:05:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x134f20…
07-02 15:39:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	333	36¢	$120	0x16e2c8…
07-02 15:38:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x005363…
07-02 15:26:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 15:15 UTC	Up	SELL	78	97¢	$76	0x35935f…
07-02 15:24:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	78	83¢	$65	0x959756…
07-02 15:18:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	246	63¢	$155	0x6acfc5…
07-02 15:15:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	246	41¢	$100	0xf82dcb…
07-02 14:43:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x032a21…
07-02 14:29:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 14:25 UTC	Up	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x3cd893…
07-02 14:28:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x596b14…
07-02 13:09:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:05 UTC	Up	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xcb7bde…
07-02 13:04:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x6ee662…
07-02 04:57:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x97a495…
07-01 18:53:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x2dd8c1…
07-01 18:52:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xdccde0…
07-01 18:45:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x78d7c3…
07-01 18:39:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0xa5ddc0…
07-01 18:24:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x7bfd5e…
07-01 18:18:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x15d119…
07-01 18:17:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0x096c8f…
07-01 18:12:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:10 UTC	Down	SELL	80	88¢	$70	0xaa129c…
07-01 18:08:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x817983…
07-01 17:58:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x05b60a…
07-01 17:53:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 17:50 UTC	Up	SELL	98	91¢	$89	0xfb5cb9…
07-01 17:49:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xd36ee1…
07-01 17:37:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 17:35 UTC	Up	SELL	176	94¢	$166	0xa76f09…
07-01 17:34:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x1e40c7…
07-01 17:32:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x77f96c…
07-01 17:25:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	108	46¢	$50	0xb613fa…
06-27 00:02:49	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xc47312…
06-26 23:55:22	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x09ec91…
06-26 23:54:20	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x23634d…
06-20 22:54:10	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	327	11¢	$36	0x9ee838…
06-20 19:12:17	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xad84bd…
06-20 17:28:37	Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,400	5¢	$120	0x9285dd…
06-20 17:11:49	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	2,500	8¢	$200	0xfef0ff…
05-23 17:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x12f08f…
05-23 17:28:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x9b1bc8…
05-23 17:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfdc10e…
05-22 23:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x9985b1…
05-22 23:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xad62c6…
05-22 22:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	29	87¢	$25	0x138b7f…
05-22 22:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x9e80ab…
05-22 18:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x3feb05…
05-22 18:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xd840a9…
05-22 18:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	49	71¢	$35	0x42ebba…
05-22 18:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x2cd174…
05-22 18:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	38	87¢	$33	0x7d3e9e…
05-22 18:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0xd3ac47…
05-22 18:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	71	44¢	$31	0xb2302e…
05-22 18:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xb5215c…
05-22 17:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xa80dd9…
05-22 17:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xc46e9d…
05-22 16:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	78	72¢	$56	0xde5fe6…
05-22 16:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x792d1b…
05-21 18:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xc5a9e4…
05-21 18:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	53	66¢	$35	0x320138…
05-21 17:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xd66f31…
05-21 17:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x404b1f…
05-21 17:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	74	96¢	$71	0x47b77b…
05-21 17:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	74	64¢	$47	0xaf5931…
05-21 17:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xa6947f…
05-21 17:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	44	79¢	$35	0x5238bd…
05-21 16:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x9f4023…
05-21 16:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x4b2517…
05-21 16:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	77	78¢	$60	0xb6dd95…
05-21 01:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x4f0572…
05-21 00:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xb79e72…
05-21 00:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x2a5a7c…
05-20 23:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x90d172…
05-20 23:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5bfc46…
05-20 23:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd74cd7…
05-20 22:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	45	89¢	$40	0xdbad7f…
05-20 22:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x3d8379…
05-20 21:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x5866c9…
05-20 21:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	160	62¢	$100	0x6ce1e2…
05-20 21:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	151	91¢	$137	0x8cc881…
05-20 21:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	151	86¢	$130	0x407724…
05-20 21:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	150	85¢	$128	0xf24b2f…
05-20 21:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0xa1c0ce…
05-20 21:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	359	64¢	$229	0x5d7414…
05-20 21:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0xe762a2…
05-20 21:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x677f1e…
05-20 20:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x0c2344…
05-20 20:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x5dcc2b…
05-20 19:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0xaaa804…