Cuddly-Grenade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.5%

Resolved

Trades

712

lifetime

Volume

$6.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 05-14 16:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 89% +$45

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	6	$103	59	59	+0	Up	+$14	05-11 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	8	$102	58	58	+0	open	—	05-04 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	6	$100	56	56	+0	open	—	05-14 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	6	$100	55	55	+0	Down	+$10	05-07 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	6	$95	51	51	+0	Up	+$6	05-13 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	6	$95	51	51	+0	Up	+$5	05-08 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	6	$95	50	50	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	7	$95	50	50	+0	Down	+$5	05-06 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	6	$93	49	49	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	6	$93	49	49	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	6	$93	48	48	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	6	$93	49	49	+0	Down	+$3	05-11 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	6	$93	49	49	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	7	$93	49	49	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	6	$93	48	48	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	7	$93	48	48	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	6	$92	48	48	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	6	$92	47	47	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	6	$91	47	47	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	5	$76	47	31	+16	Down	+$2	05-11 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	4	$65	35	35	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	4	$65	35	35	+0	open	—	05-04 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	4	$65	36	36	+0	open	—	05-04 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	4	$62	33	33	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	4	$62	32	32	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	4	$61	31	31	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 13:30
btc updown 15m 1771511400	12	$61	38	32	+6	open	—	02-19 14:45
btc updown 15m 1771513200	12	$60	36	30	+6	open	—	02-19 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	3	$45	33	17	+16	Up	+$4	05-06 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	3	$45	50	0	+50	open	—	05-14 13:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 16:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xba3f12…
05-14 16:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xfef9a6…
05-14 16:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xc9e51f…
05-14 16:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x756158…
05-14 15:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x964fba…
05-14 15:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xa7581a…
05-14 15:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	79¢	$14	0xf679a1…
05-14 14:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xd64e91…
05-14 14:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xc7ccea…
05-14 14:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xdda0a1…
05-14 14:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xd1be4d…
05-14 14:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x9f498a…
05-14 14:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x0c3ffb…
05-14 14:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xbb1b42…
05-14 13:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xd3783f…
05-14 13:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xe08b34…
05-14 13:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x9f1fbb…
05-14 13:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x185f44…
05-14 13:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xfbe5b7…
05-14 13:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0x275401…
05-14 13:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x13400d…
05-14 10:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	80¢	$14	0x69d522…
05-14 03:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe2ec14…
05-14 03:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xa05206…
05-14 03:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa44015…
05-14 03:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x27c1d9…
05-14 03:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x048573…
05-14 03:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xf05d1d…
05-13 14:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0xcd3497…
05-13 14:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x2ede2b…
05-13 14:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x27082b…
05-13 14:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x03743a…
05-13 14:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x637277…
05-13 14:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x51b317…
05-13 14:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xfb1867…
05-13 13:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xfd52a4…
05-13 01:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x467eaf…
05-13 01:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xd2c62a…
05-12 15:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x76e48f…
05-12 15:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x442511…
05-12 14:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xdee5e1…
05-12 14:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0xade1a9…
05-12 14:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x0cd2c8…
05-12 14:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x71939e…
05-12 14:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xa6fa6b…
05-12 14:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x39ecd1…
05-12 14:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x88c0b4…
05-12 14:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x55b4ac…
05-12 14:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x0b78d2…
05-12 14:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x967542…
05-12 14:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x895afe…
05-12 14:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x5d61ae…
05-12 13:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xaa17ff…
05-12 13:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xe94ec9…
05-12 13:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xf1b395…
05-12 13:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xdf4fa8…
05-12 13:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xd53e72…
05-12 13:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x489e8f…
05-12 13:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x5aa1cb…
05-12 13:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x80bcb5…
05-12 13:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xea5468…
05-12 00:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x1f5f7b…
05-12 00:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xb5b406…
05-11 20:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	89¢	$15	0xb46e55…
05-11 20:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x84b25b…
05-11 20:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0x35b927…
05-11 19:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x98ab29…
05-11 18:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x6e12a3…
05-11 17:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0xe2463a…
05-11 17:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2bba38…
05-11 17:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x16004a…
05-11 16:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1e4cf4…
05-11 16:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x7c9c11…
05-11 16:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0xcf2c47…
05-11 15:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x691fbb…
05-11 15:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xae6d62…
05-11 15:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x902b6c…
05-11 15:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xc75b8f…
05-11 14:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x37f083…
05-11 14:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xa4c972…
05-11 14:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x9c1c15…
05-11 14:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x57b125…
05-11 14:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x04404b…
05-11 14:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xc567e6…
05-11 14:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x558bd3…
05-11 14:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x74d836…
05-11 14:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xe90f21…
05-11 14:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xe3ab83…
05-11 14:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x0cced9…
05-11 14:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x147983…
05-11 13:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x684969…
05-11 13:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	85¢	$15	0xf6e5d5…
05-11 13:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	75¢	$15	0xd4b1f0…
05-11 02:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x427515…
05-11 01:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xc3eb4d…
05-11 01:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x21a556…
05-11 01:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x15af62…
05-11 01:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xdf3b66…
05-11 01:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x254231…
05-11 01:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xc5a2d7…