Pertinent-Pith — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$696

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

479

Trades

6,959

lifetime

Volume

$640.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 06-16 03:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 94% $-133

Other

17% 64% $-455

Sports

10% 25% —

Politics

8% 0% $-109

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	16	$6.5K	6,811	6,811	+0	open	—	04-28 13:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	20	$5.8K	4,049	4,295	-246	open	—	06-13 16:46
cs2 vit mouz 2026 06 13 map handicap away 1pt5	2	$5.4K	5,499	5,499	+0	open	—	06-13 13:30
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	9	$4.8K	3,401	3,790	-389	No	$-109	05-05 03:34
nba cle mem 2026 04 06	1	$4.3K	4,788	0	+4,788	open	—	04-06 18:00
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	26	$3.9K	3,767	3,680	+87	open	—	06-12 06:39
dota2 xtreme vg 2026 04 21	3	$3.7K	3,310	3,310	+0	open	—	04-21 07:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	15	$3.7K	2,462	2,462	+0	open	—	04-12 20:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	13	$3.7K	2,310	2,310	+0	open	—	05-26 06:24
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	17	$3.5K	2,099	2,099	-0	open	—	04-28 13:29
nhl lak van 2026 04 14	4	$3.5K	2,962	2,962	-0	open	—	04-14 03:34
cs2 mglz wc1 2026 04 07	2	$3.3K	1,943	1,943	+0	open	—	04-07 08:58
mlb kc cle 2026 04 07	8	$3.0K	4,835	0	+4,835	open	—	04-07 18:02
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	15	$2.9K	2,083	1,915	+169	open	—	06-01 11:56
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	4	$2.9K	3,124	3,124	+0	open	—	04-24 22:53
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	34	$2.9K	2,781	2,781	+0	open	—	06-01 01:27
dota2 sar1 mouz 2026 04 22	5	$2.9K	2,927	2,927	-0	open	—	04-22 06:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	18	$2.7K	2,087	2,082	+5	open	—	05-21 23:36
Madrid Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Chris Rodesch	7	$2.7K	2,797	2,797	+0	open	—	04-20 12:19
mlb sd pit 2026 04 06 total 8pt5	2	$2.7K	5,744	0	+5,744	open	—	04-06 21:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	14	$2.6K	2,039	2,039	+0	open	—	06-14 21:35
nhl pit stl 2026 04 14	2	$2.4K	2,734	2,734	+0	open	—	04-14 17:13
mlb sd pit 2026 04 07 total 6pt5	5	$2.4K	2,580	2,580	+0	open	—	04-07 22:10
fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 corners total 9pt5	4	$2.3K	2,360	2,360	+0	open	—	06-14 00:19
mlb atl laa 2026 04 07	1	$2.3K	5,501	0	+5,501	open	—	04-07 20:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	30	$2.3K	2,003	2,003	+0	open	—	05-21 22:10
dota2 xtreme ts8 2026 04 22	2	$2.1K	2,298	2,298	+0	open	—	04-22 02:38
lol sly gal 2026 06 15 game3	4	$2.1K	1,942	1,718	+224	open	—	06-15 14:30
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	22	$2.0K	2,584	2,580	+3	B8	$-27	05-12 04:26
will solana dip to 80 march 23 29	1	$2.0K	2,034	0	+2,034	open	—	03-29 22:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 03:50:00	will vinicius jrpt score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145257761	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xb32efa…
06-16 03:49:52	will vinicius jrpt score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145257761	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xcceb81…
06-16 03:49:48	will vinicius jrpt score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145257761	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x7c9c4e…
06-16 03:48:52	will vinicius jrpt score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145257761	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x26fe0a…
06-16 03:48:28	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	265	19¢	$50	0x4d957d…
06-16 03:48:27	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	498	65¢	$324	0x5aca61…
06-16 03:48:27	will vinicius jrpt score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145257761	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x2b9cde…
06-16 03:48:21	will aurora reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	No	SELL	347	72¢	$250	0xf28cde…
06-16 03:48:21	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0xd69eeb…
06-16 03:48:21	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	165	20¢	$33	0xaf102d…
06-16 03:48:21	will 4 matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610211249341	Yes	SELL	137	20¢	$27	0x8cc447…
06-16 03:48:21	will spain be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003081	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x85c04c…
06-16 03:48:21	will vinicius jrpt score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145257761	Yes	SELL	32	14¢	$5	0x1ba3ee…
06-16 03:48:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	9¢	$45	0xbde671…
06-16 03:48:19	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	206	96¢	$199	0x2442c8…
06-16 03:48:19	will pervis estupin score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	87	11¢	$10	0x01d4fe…
06-16 03:48:18	Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	163	41¢	$67	0x091988…
06-16 03:45:46	Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xc86511…
06-16 03:45:28	Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x32b6b6…
06-16 03:45:25	Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	29	42¢	$12	0x9f0714…
06-16 02:58:07	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	156	83¢	$129	0x17a78d…
06-16 02:57:22	will the announcers say ronaldo during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513558	No	SELL	175	62¢	$109	0x6f3962…
06-16 02:06:28	will the announcers say red card during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513562	No	BUY	29	42¢	$12	0x8bdf1b…
06-16 01:58:25	will the announcers say messi during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513557	No	SELL	227	51¢	$116	0x957a82…
06-16 01:00:57	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513552	Yes	SELL	132	45¢	$59	0xa5fac6…
06-16 00:52:42	will the announcers say messi during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513557	No	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x195ad1…
06-16 00:52:42	will the announcers say messi during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513557	No	BUY	13	81¢	$10	0x0506c0…
06-16 00:52:40	will the announcers say messi during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513557	No	BUY	204	81¢	$165	0xa0fb66…
06-16 00:46:13	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0xa1cf93…
06-16 00:07:48	will the announcers say ronaldo during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513558	No	BUY	175	81¢	$142	0x7d7320…
06-16 00:06:42	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0xdd6e96…
06-15 23:52:37	will the announcers say history during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513566	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xe9b1cd…
06-15 23:45:28	Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	202	49¢	$99	0x86bc23…
06-15 22:50:54	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	302	3¢	$9	0x8ddd8b…
06-15 22:30:40	dota2 hkr nem 2026 06 15	Hokori	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xca1f82…
06-15 22:30:36	dota2 hkr nem 2026 06 15	Hokori	SELL	151	10¢	$15	0x0b750c…
06-15 22:30:24	dota2 hkr nem 2026 06 15	Hokori	SELL	212	12¢	$26	0x5bbb8b…
06-15 21:53:52	dota2 hkr nem 2026 06 15	Hokori	SELL	19	14¢	$3	0xe3d461…
06-15 21:27:46	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	37	89¢	$33	0xc086ad…
06-15 21:27:42	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	140	89¢	$125	0x423d9f…
06-15 20:11:37	dota2 hkr nem 2026 06 15 game handicap home 1pt5	Team Nemesis	SELL	500	68¢	$340	0x0da6c8…
06-15 19:37:51	Will Valve remove Ancient from the Map Pool?	Yes	BUY	286	4¢	$11	0x54b02c…
06-15 19:16:55	dota2 hkr nem 2026 06 15	Hokori	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x6f6f3c…
06-15 18:43:21	dota2 hkr nem 2026 06 15	Hokori	BUY	424	14¢	$59	0x09b4e8…
06-15 18:24:00	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	499	44¢	$219	0xc5466a…
06-15 17:24:46	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	66	75¢	$49	0x0214ec…
06-15 17:14:12	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	188	98¢	$184	0x07c559…
06-15 17:06:28	dota2 hkr nem 2026 06 15 game handicap home 1pt5	Team Nemesis	BUY	500	70¢	$350	0x8ff05c…
06-15 17:03:43	will natus vincere reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	92	14¢	$13	0xa673ea…
06-15 15:43:42	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	394	97¢	$382	0xcab07c…
06-15 14:30:06	lol sly gal 2026 06 15 game3	Solary	SELL	1,335	54¢	$721	0xa40441…
06-15 14:28:52	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	24	75¢	$18	0x640f4a…
06-15 12:29:04	lol sly gal 2026 06 15 game3	Solary	SELL	147	55¢	$81	0x8d1815…
06-15 11:53:12	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	30	75¢	$22	0x20afa5…
06-15 10:08:49	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	224	3¢	$7	0xf1649f…
06-15 09:55:18	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xa7a2ce…
06-15 09:55:18	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x4363f3…
06-15 09:49:10	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	24¢	$6	0xdf26b4…
06-15 09:49:10	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	24¢	$9	0x2fe41b…
06-15 09:41:48	lol sly gal 2026 06 15 game3	Solary	SELL	236	55¢	$130	0x6bdfb1…
06-15 09:12:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	497	2¢	$12	0xe79deb…
06-15 09:02:36	will aurora reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	No	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0x791db7…
06-15 08:21:43	will kylian mbappe score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144023006	Yes	SELL	55	47¢	$26	0x0598ca…
06-15 08:21:39	lol sly gal 2026 06 15 game2	Solary	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0x23105c…
06-15 08:20:39	Will Austria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0xd8a18f…
06-15 08:20:34	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	85	67¢	$57	0x4c7537…
06-15 08:20:28	will kylian mbappe score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144023006	Yes	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0x98fba4…
06-15 08:20:27	will bosnia and herzegovina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149716	No	SELL	163	97¢	$158	0xb52017…
06-15 08:20:27	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 first half total 1pt5	Under	SELL	742	45¢	$334	0x70858b…
06-15 08:20:25	lol sly gal 2026 06 15 game2	Solary	SELL	500	58¢	$290	0xc9a9f8…
06-15 08:14:15	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 first half total 1pt5	Under	SELL	21	46¢	$10	0x748be8…
06-15 08:14:04	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 first half total 1pt5	Under	SELL	61	46¢	$28	0xe92d5d…
06-15 08:14:04	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 first half total 1pt5	Under	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0x97a6ba…
06-15 08:14:04	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 first half total 1pt5	Under	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0x9035bd…
06-15 07:08:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	83	69¢	$57	0x275afe…
06-15 07:06:28	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	2,867	46¢	$1,319	0x25a866…
06-15 07:04:09	will falcons reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	No	SELL	75	96¢	$72	0x32ab8d…
06-15 07:03:12	will falcons reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	No	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0xcebf4a…
06-15 06:27:27	lol sly gal 2026 06 15 game2	Solary	BUY	600	58¢	$348	0xf53833…
06-15 05:58:19	lol sly gal 2026 06 15 game3	Solary	BUY	1,942	60¢	$1,165	0x1adae2…
06-15 04:00:24	btc updown 15m 1781495100	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xaff559…
06-15 04:00:24	btc updown 15m 1781495100	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x0dcf9f…
06-15 03:50:31	will bitcoin reach 66k on june 14	Yes	BUY	1,155	78¢	$900	0xe57263…
06-15 03:50:31	will bitcoin reach 66k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	980	92¢	$900	0xbf79bc…
06-15 03:10:03	hype updown 5m 1781492700	Up	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x64e4bc…
06-15 03:10:01	sol updown 5m 1781492700	Up	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x8b9634…
06-15 02:55:03	xrp updown 5m 1781491800	Down	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x6419d4…
06-15 02:55:01	xrp updown 5m 1781491800	Down	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0xd98da2…
06-15 00:59:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	106	68¢	$72	0x08be27…
06-14 21:35:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	108	33¢	$36	0x9ed22f…
06-14 21:07:15	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	Yes	SELL	67	39¢	$26	0x96a423…
06-14 20:41:25	marcos llorente 20260609173616758	Yes	SELL	180	79¢	$142	0xa0c524…
06-14 20:12:57	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	40	69¢	$28	0x97d3ee…
06-14 19:33:46	Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	111	77¢	$85	0xd460fb…
06-14 19:26:04	will japan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134488	No	SELL	337	75¢	$252	0x3886ff…
06-14 17:19:18	will japan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134488	No	SELL	57	78¢	$45	0x051ee2…
06-14 16:44:07	Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	111	75¢	$83	0x0bcdb6…
06-14 16:18:09	memphis depay 20260609173030761	Yes	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xa940db…
06-14 15:57:27	will bosnia and herzegovina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149716	No	BUY	163	98¢	$159	0xd1fc1f…
06-14 15:22:51	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 first half total 1pt5	Over	SELL	141	64¢	$90	0x4354a0…