Spirited-Chaplain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.6%

Resolved

448

Trades

998

lifetime

Volume

$949

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 05-17 20:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 57% $-1

Other

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 380 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	10	$73	1,540	1,540	+0	open	—	05-17 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	6	$4	4	4	+0	Down	$-2	05-12 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	5	$4	4	3	+1	Up	$-1	05-10 22:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	4	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 06:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	Up	$-1	05-13 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-14 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	4	$3	4	2	+3	Up	+$0	05-13 18:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	4	$3	3	2	+0	Up	$-1	05-09 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-14 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	Up	$-1	05-13 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 10:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	Up	$-1	05-13 04:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	Up	$-1	05-13 04:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 08:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 04:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	Up	$-1	05-13 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	4	$3	3	2	+0	Down	$-1	05-09 04:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 16:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 20:40:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	250	1¢	$3	0x51ed56…
05-16 20:22:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x538353…
05-16 20:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1b461c…
05-16 20:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xed77c0…
05-16 20:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6995f9…
05-16 19:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x392b6d…
05-16 17:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x11ba83…
05-16 17:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x37d5b2…
05-16 17:37:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7ff263…
05-16 17:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x15b1db…
05-16 17:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe76269…
05-16 17:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcd6423…
05-16 15:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xdbf53d…
05-16 15:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5be669…
05-16 15:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x266ddd…
05-16 12:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0aea46…
05-16 12:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x212be8…
05-16 12:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7065bd…
05-16 12:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd35dbf…
05-16 12:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5c4b9d…
05-16 12:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfa1129…
05-16 12:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfc6aae…
05-16 12:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa65913…
05-16 12:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x930268…
05-16 12:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf756a9…
05-16 12:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3e45ab…
05-16 12:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd32306…
05-16 11:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3fa40f…
05-16 11:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x065e96…
05-16 11:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x628875…
05-16 11:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd59d8c…
05-16 11:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1642fa…
05-16 11:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6ca851…
05-16 09:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc89a5a…
05-16 08:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd78c53…
05-16 08:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x367705…
05-16 08:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x096468…
05-16 08:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1cd4d3…
05-16 08:35:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbfd465…
05-16 08:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x113d36…
05-16 08:22:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xaec5bc…
05-16 08:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x25effd…
05-16 08:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x79fdaa…
05-16 08:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1314ca…
05-16 07:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x496053…
05-15 22:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x513001…
05-15 22:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1bb0f6…
05-15 22:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3716be…
05-15 22:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x307e66…
05-15 22:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xcb831c…
05-15 22:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x19bca0…
05-15 21:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x810e41…
05-15 21:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x19a8c4…
05-15 21:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd69a22…
05-15 21:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf65e15…
05-15 21:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x156d96…
05-15 21:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x37b599…
05-15 20:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xedd5be…
05-15 20:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x38d77c…
05-15 20:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc592bc…
05-15 20:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcd15fa…
05-15 20:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xed81dd…
05-15 09:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x31795b…
05-15 09:22:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbffa75…
05-15 09:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xeb7268…
05-15 09:21:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf2a898…
05-15 09:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8095b8…
05-15 09:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc67182…
05-15 09:12:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa2a8a4…
05-15 08:37:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2b8bb9…
05-15 08:36:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x95b157…
05-15 08:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x132d94…
05-15 08:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1f36d2…
05-15 08:32:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2a7f0c…
05-15 08:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x125ca5…
05-15 06:48:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb195f6…
05-15 06:47:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe14e1e…
05-15 06:47:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd4a7f8…
05-15 06:47:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x35c2d4…
05-15 00:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa593e9…
05-15 00:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd62e42…
05-15 00:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x42e679…
05-15 00:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x023a19…
05-15 00:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x9ca92f…
05-15 00:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1f3cff…
05-15 00:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x0ff0dd…
05-15 00:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe285fe…
05-15 00:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	41¢	$1	0x19df3e…
05-15 00:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x01d3c7…
05-15 00:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x638ca8…
05-15 00:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	41¢	$1	0xf19257…
05-15 00:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x23465d…
05-15 00:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x986f07…
05-15 00:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x299308…
05-14 22:32:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5643ba…
05-14 22:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xaa682e…
05-14 22:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa220b7…
05-14 21:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x8b5768…
05-14 21:03:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xde804f…
05-14 21:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x90ce40…