Warped-Hamburger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$171

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.9%

Resolved

2,330

Trades

4,316

lifetime

Volume

$141.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 17:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 165 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 80% +$171

Other

0% 48% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 66k on february 20	5	$865	441	441	+0	Yes	+$16	02-20 17:06
bitcoin above 62k on february 24	3	$822	418	418	+0	Yes	+$14	02-24 16:37
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-16 13:00 UTC	11	$617	315	315	+0	Down	+$12	02-16 16:50
bitcoin up or down on february 23	4	$591	299	299	+0	Down	+$6	02-23 17:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 07:30 UTC	2	$582	303	303	+0	Down	-$18	02-19 07:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 03:45 UTC	11	$572	303	303	+0	Up	-$28	02-20 03:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 13:15 UTC	8	$528	272	272	+0	Down	-$11	02-16 13:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 04:15 UTC	33	$500	272	272	+0	Up	-$38	02-24 04:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 08:15 UTC	4	$465	242	242	+0	Up	-$15	02-18 08:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 04:15 UTC	2	$437	261	261	+0	Up	-$80	03-10 04:30
bitcoin above 64k on february 19	3	$399	412	0	+412	Yes	+$13	02-19 12:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 23:45 UTC	1	$319	322	0	+322	Down	+$3	01-18 23:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 03:45 UTC	16	$300	303	0	+303	Down	+$3	02-13 03:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 01:45 UTC	15	$300	303	0	+303	Down	+$3	02-24 01:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 03:45 UTC	3	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	02-19 03:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 01:45 UTC	5	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	02-19 01:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 17:15 UTC	1	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	02-16 17:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 12:00 UTC	2	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	02-20 12:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 13:00 UTC	4	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	02-18 13:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 18:30 UTC	15	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	02-13 18:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 04:15 UTC	3	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	02-18 04:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 20:15 UTC	1	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	02-18 20:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 13:00 UTC	1	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	02-24 13:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 17:15 UTC	1	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	02-12 17:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 00:45 UTC	4	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	02-22 00:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 20:15 UTC	1	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	02-17 20:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 08:15 UTC	1	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	02-24 08:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 05:15 UTC	2	$300	303	0	+303	Down	+$3	02-18 05:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 08:15 UTC	3	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	02-13 08:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 07:45 UTC	6	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	02-21 07:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 17:01:06	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x0fe786…
10-30 15:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x961ebd…
10-30 15:01:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd57765…
10-30 14:49:19	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2f96ac…
10-30 14:36:57	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xdda863…
10-29 14:00:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa391ac…
10-29 13:31:07	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xe6e018…
10-29 02:31:35	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x13ead6…
10-29 02:00:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x92a4d2…
10-29 02:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x237463…
10-29 02:00:20	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5ce68b…
10-28 22:13:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x3db38a…
10-28 20:31:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x665a88…
10-28 18:45:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xc4c80f…
10-28 18:06:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xe3621d…
10-28 18:02:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x5a0c5f…
10-28 18:01:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x71e30c…
10-28 12:15:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2cb79c…
10-28 08:40:49	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x15d22b…
10-26 13:31:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x0e1868…
10-26 03:38:27	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xc6291c…
10-26 03:16:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa785f7…
10-26 02:20:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xaae332…
10-26 01:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x00d48e…
10-26 01:46:35	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x98f1d6…
10-26 01:46:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x37541d…
10-25 15:00:57	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x39625d…
10-24 15:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xbd2c16…
10-24 15:30:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa19872…
10-24 15:16:44	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x30a24c…
10-24 15:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x416f0b…
10-24 14:30:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc14199…
10-24 14:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x7bd6b2…
10-24 14:30:11	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7c545a…
10-24 14:25:21	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x151507…
10-23 23:00:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xbba007…
10-22 13:32:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x28bc45…
10-22 10:07:11	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5fcfa2…
10-22 09:38:03	BNB Up or Down - October 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x06d4e2…
10-22 07:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9fd5c0…
10-22 07:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x9ea1e1…
10-21 19:06:03	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x6ac4b7…
10-21 19:00:42	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x3a2663…
10-21 15:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2dee31…
10-21 15:11:32	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8fae95…
10-21 15:01:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x351499…
10-21 15:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xabf3a2…
10-21 14:48:21	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x94677d…
10-21 13:45:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x1da159…
10-20 22:05:51	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x3aa558…
10-20 15:36:09	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x68cb7c…
10-20 15:25:54	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd4fde8…
10-20 15:15:39	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd2b08a…
10-20 15:00:39	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x854cf8…
10-20 14:47:29	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd87b41…
10-20 14:45:18	BNB Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9144e1…
10-20 14:20:09	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x5a8a5a…
10-20 14:15:50	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x47b128…
10-20 14:15:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x2105af…
10-20 14:15:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x43b888…
10-20 14:15:18	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd67fdc…
10-19 19:46:06	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xcf4d9d…
10-19 18:51:41	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x58a6f2…
10-19 15:16:54	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x135e46…
10-19 15:09:20	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xe0c05e…
10-19 15:00:36	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x26cfbc…
10-19 14:15:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xde5b05…
10-19 13:30:29	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x2f39dc…
10-19 09:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x8fdcbe…
10-19 09:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x70542f…
10-18 19:46:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xecd03c…
10-17 22:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x764dfc…
10-17 21:35:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9e5f8d…
10-17 21:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5226e4…
10-17 10:11:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd67903…
10-16 22:46:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5907ae…
10-16 21:57:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x12d654…
10-16 21:01:02	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xdf3089…
10-16 18:45:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd37fbc…
10-16 17:16:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x722ce1…
10-16 15:21:36	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x400d0b…
10-16 13:35:27	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xcbb338…
10-16 13:32:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xbb0d15…
10-16 13:32:00	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x2550b0…
10-16 13:31:51	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x70cb8d…
10-16 11:32:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x5b9405…
10-15 16:03:47	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x70c097…
10-15 15:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfbe785…
10-15 15:15:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x590f1d…
10-15 15:05:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa3240e…
10-15 15:05:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x0566e0…
10-15 15:04:31	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x83bed3…
10-15 15:00:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x408edd…
10-15 15:00:20	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9cb0f7…
10-15 14:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa18336…
10-15 14:15:22	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x8ecf67…
10-15 14:02:22	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xa00d1a…
10-15 14:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x43437f…
10-15 13:45:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7563bc…
10-15 13:45:11	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x674933…