Muted-Finger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$84

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.6%

Resolved

Trades

518

lifetime

Volume

$1.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-21 04:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 33% $-84

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 500 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	73	$209	255	190	+65	Down	+$28	05-10 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	54	$196	200	140	+60	Down	$-14	05-10 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	53	$191	180	150	+30	Down	$-5	05-10 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	46	$140	168	140	+28	Down	+$1	05-10 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	42	$110	235	85	+150	Down	$-36	05-10 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	41	$103	170	120	+50	Up	$-6	05-10 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	24	$93	110	80	+30	Up	+$1	05-10 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	23	$92	120	100	+20	Up	$-1	05-10 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	20	$89	100	70	+30	Up	$-4	05-10 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	40	$84	145	80	+65	Down	+$15	05-10 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	30	$81	100	70	+30	Up	$-2	05-10 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	9	$71	125	25	+100	Down	$-7	05-10 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	20	$51	70	50	+20	Up	$-5	05-10 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$25	259	0	+259	Down	$-25	05-11 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	22	$23	80	60	+20	Up	$-5	05-10 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$20	13	13	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	3	$20	92	0	+92	Down	$-20	05-10 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-20 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-20 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-20 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-20 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-20 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-20 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-21 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-21 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-21 04:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 04:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0540ed…
05-21 04:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3067db…
05-21 04:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8cd043…
05-20 08:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x96ad7a…
05-20 07:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2e9fc6…
05-20 07:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x92b862…
05-20 07:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf83653…
05-20 06:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc18e71…
05-20 06:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa25687…
05-20 06:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x034fb7…
05-20 05:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbf0765…
05-11 21:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	259	10¢	$25	0x46b122…
05-11 21:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x530336…
05-11 21:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xdaae83…
05-11 21:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x249824…
05-11 21:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x6c69fd…
05-11 21:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x217043…
05-11 21:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x48f53d…
05-10 23:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xbebcff…
05-10 23:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	34¢	$9	0xa1cf12…
05-10 23:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x784107…
05-10 23:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x64267c…
05-10 23:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x61b661…
05-10 23:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x632cb7…
05-10 23:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x8ee91b…
05-10 23:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xdcb120…
05-10 23:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0xceb9ed…
05-10 23:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xbc131e…
05-10 23:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xd635f3…
05-10 23:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x672545…
05-10 23:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x264cf6…
05-10 23:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xec36cf…
05-10 23:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xdce032…
05-10 23:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x5643f9…
05-10 23:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x43c52d…
05-10 23:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x95974d…
05-10 23:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x35ba50…
05-10 23:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0xee73b3…
05-10 23:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x43d292…
05-10 23:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xcb37db…
05-10 23:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x6a0b05…
05-10 23:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x37f3f1…
05-10 23:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x37f3f1…
05-10 23:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xb8906d…
05-10 23:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x57c7b4…
05-10 23:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x57c7b4…
05-10 23:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x1cee3b…
05-10 23:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0xa10e50…
05-10 23:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xcb1b9b…
05-10 23:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xcb1b9b…
05-10 23:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0xe684fe…
05-10 23:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x5d2826…
05-10 23:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xc879e3…
05-10 23:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xa3f1b9…
05-10 23:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xb2ac3c…
05-10 23:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x1c3a06…
05-10 23:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x91f4be…
05-10 23:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x1d2fdd…
05-10 23:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x2517e1…
05-10 23:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0af82e…
05-10 23:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x3c5ce2…
05-10 23:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0xd471ab…
05-10 23:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x0a25db…
05-10 23:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2d9be2…
05-10 23:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x065df9…
05-10 23:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x4ba1ff…
05-10 23:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$4	0x0c130e…
05-10 23:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xea9afc…
05-10 23:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x2cbc19…
05-10 23:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xed98a3…
05-10 23:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xa38588…
05-10 23:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0xb50850…
05-10 23:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	49¢	$5	0x5486d5…
05-10 23:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd63416…
05-10 23:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x08c4c5…
05-10 23:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xfdf20b…
05-10 23:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdef30c…
05-10 23:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x88130b…
05-10 23:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaf0700…
05-10 23:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x9b9574…
05-10 23:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x56ef8f…
05-10 23:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1d5441…
05-10 23:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x8a5ca5…
05-10 23:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x36cfa0…
05-10 23:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0xb5bbc1…
05-10 23:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x2f15d3…
05-10 23:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x0aee92…
05-10 23:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xbf49d1…
05-10 23:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x8f372c…
05-10 23:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x88c3ad…
05-10 23:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x1d8be7…
05-10 23:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x018277…
05-10 23:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0xc6e02e…
05-10 23:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc5a901…
05-10 23:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x9cdbd4…
05-10 23:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xbf0858…
05-10 23:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xd88639…
05-10 23:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x2459a2…
05-10 23:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x7f069f…
05-10 23:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x480825…