Oblong-Gesture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$55

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$101

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 08-02 04:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

80% 100% +$55

Politics

20% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	3	$854	440	440	+0	open	—	05-08 05:26
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$830	420	420	+0	open	—	05-10 04:52
Spread: Nice (-2.5)	1	$682	710	0	+710	open	—	05-26 08:19
Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)	1	$509	0	510	-510	open	—	05-28 08:38
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 0.5	1	$479	510	0	+510	open	—	05-24 05:51
Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	1	$456	470	0	+470	RB Leipzig	+$14	05-09 08:15
Spread: ENPPI (-1.5)	1	$455	474	0	+474	open	—	04-27 07:15
Spread: FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-1.5)	1	$428	460	0	+460	FC UTA Arad	+$32	05-08 05:35
Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)	1	$421	430	0	+430	Como 1907	+$9	05-10 05:05
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	6	$156	915	915	+0	open	—	07-15 05:45
will russia enter mykhailivka by august 31	3	$155	910	910	+0	open	—	08-02 04:39
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	3	$147	920	920	+0	open	—	08-01 04:33
will russia capture kucheriv yar by august 31 20260724165221453	3	$147	920	920	+0	open	—	08-01 02:43
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260720155040249	3	$119	898	898	+0	open	—	08-02 02:44
israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	5	$111	1,010	1,010	+0	open	—	06-06 08:52
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	4	$83	870	870	+0	open	—	07-11 02:50
putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	3	$79	870	870	+0	open	—	07-15 02:49
will north korea recognize israel by december 31	6	$67	860	860	+0	open	—	07-11 05:39
will greece send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	4	$64	800	800	+0	open	—	06-28 05:14
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5	2	$50	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-06 09:06
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	5	$46	770	770	+0	open	—	06-28 06:23
Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?	4	$27	715	715	+0	open	—	04-15 06:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 04:39:08	will russia enter mykhailivka by august 31	Yes	SELL	910	9¢	$82	0x58d024…
08-02 03:07:18	will russia enter mykhailivka by august 31	Yes	BUY	450	8¢	$36	0xe70c28…
08-02 03:07:08	will russia enter mykhailivka by august 31	Yes	BUY	460	8¢	$37	0x372041…
08-02 02:44:48	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260720155040249	No	SELL	898	6¢	$58	0xaa8115…
08-02 01:52:57	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260720155040249	No	BUY	444	7¢	$30	0x8d1c49…
08-02 01:52:47	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260720155040249	No	BUY	454	7¢	$30	0x7c5fdc…
08-01 04:33:39	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	920	8¢	$74	0xb310a3…
08-01 02:52:59	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	BUY	475	8¢	$38	0xd39b45…
08-01 02:52:45	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	BUY	445	8¢	$36	0x8ab809…
08-01 02:43:42	will russia capture kucheriv yar by august 31 20260724165221453	Yes	SELL	920	8¢	$74	0x49f6f2…
08-01 02:05:20	will russia capture kucheriv yar by august 31 20260724165221453	Yes	BUY	475	8¢	$38	0xb4a46f…
08-01 02:05:11	will russia capture kucheriv yar by august 31 20260724165221453	Yes	BUY	445	8¢	$36	0xdb2936…
07-15 05:45:58	Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xfb71d2…
07-15 05:45:43	Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xcd21d1…
07-15 05:44:23	Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	470	8¢	$38	0xd3cb24…
07-15 05:44:20	Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	440	8¢	$35	0xa69b7e…
07-15 02:59:01	Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	9¢	$40	0x01af06…
07-15 02:58:49	Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	460	9¢	$41	0x11b165…
07-15 02:49:49	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	870	4¢	$37	0xc25b6b…
07-15 02:18:19	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	430	5¢	$21	0xa2c2b4…
07-15 02:17:53	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	440	5¢	$21	0x607fdd…
07-11 05:39:04	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x32f66f…
07-11 05:37:31	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	440	4¢	$17	0xfed897…
07-11 05:37:29	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x80f14c…
07-11 05:37:13	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	410	4¢	$16	0xd0e25e…
07-11 04:42:34	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	425	4¢	$17	0x12dccb…
07-11 04:42:23	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	435	4¢	$17	0x0ec895…
07-11 02:50:46	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	Yes	SELL	450	5¢	$21	0xf2af6e…
07-11 02:50:35	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	Yes	SELL	420	5¢	$20	0xbeabfe…
07-11 02:09:07	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	Yes	BUY	430	5¢	$21	0x47353e…
07-11 02:08:53	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	Yes	BUY	440	5¢	$21	0x708dc7…
06-28 06:23:44	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x7d4ca9…
06-28 06:23:35	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	Yes	SELL	380	3¢	$11	0xf9c7dc…
06-28 06:23:19	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	Yes	SELL	340	3¢	$10	0xbaa5ef…
06-28 05:23:11	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$12	0xcf03f6…
06-28 05:23:01	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	Yes	BUY	370	3¢	$11	0xf7c0d7…
06-28 05:14:07	will greece send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	395	4¢	$16	0xabf562…
06-28 05:13:56	will greece send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	405	4¢	$16	0x6392a9…
06-28 02:24:37	will greece send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	415	4¢	$17	0x1b9769…
06-28 02:24:26	will greece send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	385	4¢	$15	0xb5277d…
06-06 09:06:12	Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	505	5¢	$25	0xa2699d…
06-06 09:05:43	Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	495	5¢	$25	0x342b55…
06-06 08:52:33	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x5415f4…
06-06 08:52:03	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	Yes	SELL	520	6¢	$31	0xd60b32…
06-06 08:51:28	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	Yes	SELL	480	6¢	$29	0x165b3d…
06-06 07:36:39	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	Yes	BUY	510	5¢	$26	0x4bedec…
06-06 07:36:24	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0xe01be4…
05-28 08:38:33	Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)	IK Start	SELL	510	100¢	$509	0x0a839f…
05-26 08:19:28	Spread: Nice (-2.5)	Saint-Etienne	BUY	710	96¢	$682	0xc06d9e…
05-24 05:51:39	Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	510	94¢	$479	0xdfcc77…
05-10 05:05:27	Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)	Como 1907	BUY	430	98¢	$421	0xb31fd3…
05-10 04:52:38	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	420	99¢	$415	0x90f0df…
05-10 03:13:11	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	420	99¢	$415	0xdf74f6…
05-09 08:15:22	Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	RB Leipzig	BUY	470	97¢	$456	0x8ca61b…
05-08 05:35:21	Spread: FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-1.5)	FC UTA Arad	BUY	460	93¢	$428	0x394a22…
05-08 05:26:46	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	410	97¢	$397	0x064900…
05-08 05:23:27	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x9f0715…
05-08 03:05:40	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	440	97¢	$428	0x6a99fd…
04-27 07:15:20	Spread: ENPPI (-1.5)	Zamalek SC	BUY	474	96¢	$455	0x485d96…
04-15 06:09:22	Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	330	2¢	$8	0x067739…
04-15 06:03:50	Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	385	2¢	$9	0x33506e…
04-15 03:03:40	Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	330	2¢	$5	0x6c2d2e…
04-15 03:03:02	Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	385	2¢	$6	0xcbf1db…