Exotic-Vein — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

92.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 06-11 02:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 92% +$12

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Other

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ghana reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		+1	$1	98¢	$1	$-0	06-03 06:28
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No		+1	$1	87¢	$1	$-0	06-11 02:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	1	$1.6K	1,631	+1,631	open	—	03-02 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$6	7	+7	Down	+$1	05-09 07:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-08 08:34
us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	03-02 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$2	3	+3	Down	+$1	05-08 06:24
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	03-02 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$2	10	+10	Up	+$8	05-08 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$2	3	+3	Down	$-0	05-09 06:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-06 07:27
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	50	+50	open	—	03-02 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-06 07:25
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	250	+250	open	—	03-02 08:54
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	31	+31	open	—	03-02 08:54
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	167	+167	open	—	03-02 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 06:38
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-06 07:27
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	03-02 08:48
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	06-02 06:54
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	06-03 06:27
lol wb tes 2026 03 02	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	03-02 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	Up	+$0	05-09 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-08 06:29
will bret johnsen be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212483	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	06-11 02:17
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	05-07 06:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-07 06:38
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	06-11 02:15
israel closes its airspace by june 11	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	06-11 02:16
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	06-03 06:26
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	06-03 06:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	Down	+$0	05-09 06:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 02:17:24	will bret johnsen be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212483	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd3af98…
06-11 02:16:46	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc79eb1…
06-11 02:16:30	israel closes its airspace by june 11	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x727b81…
06-11 02:15:51	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3cf5fb…
06-11 02:15:25	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x59764b…
06-03 06:31:29	will austria reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134504	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb29fe7…
06-03 06:30:56	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x19f902…
06-03 06:28:38	Will Ghana reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdcb521…
06-03 06:27:54	Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	BIG	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x10fd7c…
06-03 06:27:12	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4dea3b…
06-03 06:26:48	Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Heroic	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x916084…
06-03 06:26:27	Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc75ca8…
06-02 06:54:38	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x135a30…
05-09 07:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7737e8…
05-09 07:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x382d17…
05-09 06:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd97288…
05-09 06:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0c89fa…
05-09 06:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x215d87…
05-09 06:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa2ff70…
05-09 06:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc70d0a…
05-09 06:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3a362d…
05-08 08:34:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xedc1e4…
05-08 08:33:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x091d8e…
05-08 06:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xff1c92…
05-08 06:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xdde668…
05-08 06:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x80645a…
05-08 06:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb83975…
05-08 06:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2e50c4…
05-08 06:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x113a2d…
05-07 06:38:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcb72f7…
05-07 06:32:44	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x69b64b…
05-06 07:27:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa666c3…
05-06 07:27:16	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x25d8a1…
05-06 07:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xef7de8…
05-06 06:27:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfdb6b2…
03-02 10:09:21	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	1,631	97¢	$1,579	0x0eb3b4…
03-02 09:03:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xf3bf76…
03-02 08:55:09	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x6c2aa2…
03-02 08:55:01	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x736b0d…
03-02 08:54:49	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x306124…
03-02 08:54:37	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xb50682…
03-02 08:53:37	us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2caa66…
03-02 08:49:53	lol wb tes 2026 03 02	Top Esports	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x07aafb…
03-02 08:48:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x42c622…