Costly-Servitude — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$889

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-07 08:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 100% +$2

Politics

3% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET	1	$28	29	+29	Up	+$1	05-07 01:51
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on May 5?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	05-05 09:15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	06-03 09:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	1	$24	24	+24	open	—	05-18 09:18
bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	1	$24	24	+24	open	—	06-07 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4AM ET	1	$24	24	+24	Down	+$0	05-07 08:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	1	$24	24	+24	open	—	05-26 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3AM ET	1	$24	24	+24	open	—	05-26 07:46
bitcoin above 58k on june 5 2026	1	$24	24	+24	open	—	06-05 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	1	$24	24	+24	open	—	05-19 01:49
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	open	—	04-27 09:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-08 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10PM ET	1	$23	23	+23	open	—	04-30 02:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	1	$23	23	+23	open	—	05-19 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11PM ET	1	$22	23	+23	open	—	04-30 03:46
bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 9pm et	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	06-04 01:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	04-28 08:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	05-20 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	04-28 03:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4AM ET	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	05-19 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	05-19 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$21	21	+21	open	—	04-27 07:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on April 29?	1	$21	21	+21	open	—	04-29 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1AM ET	1	$21	21	+21	open	—	05-18 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET	1	$21	21	+21	open	—	05-27 01:55
bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 10pm et	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	06-05 02:47
bitcoin above 56k on june 4 2026	1	$18	18	+18	open	—	06-04 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10PM ET	1	$18	18	+18	open	—	04-28 02:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET	1	$17	17	+17	open	—	05-20 01:47
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	1	$16	16	+16	open	—	04-30 00:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 08:58:03	bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xdbb633…
06-05 09:10:55	bitcoin above 58k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x02771f…
06-05 02:47:54	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x01a511…
06-04 08:53:16	bitcoin above 56k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x16814e…
06-04 01:49:54	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xc3d3f7…
06-03 09:23:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x288dad…
06-03 05:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x27e7e7…
06-01 06:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8915e2…
05-31 09:15:37	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x26723e…
05-27 01:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4b0f66…
05-26 09:14:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xcb1784…
05-26 07:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1fce7b…
05-21 09:17:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd944f6…
05-20 09:22:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x80286e…
05-20 06:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc4d407…
05-20 01:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xc8b5d2…
05-19 09:05:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7fb0e8…
05-19 08:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd50f79…
05-19 01:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf65e90…
05-19 00:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb6ac2f…
05-18 09:18:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0d3710…
05-18 07:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x37ee73…
05-18 05:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x092bd7…
05-12 01:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x40ad62…
05-10 08:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x10ac84…
05-10 02:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x352084…
05-08 09:26:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf81557…
05-07 08:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x7c70d8…
05-07 06:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x6ba877…
05-07 03:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xf1ed30…
05-07 01:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xf742e2…
05-05 09:15:12	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x95dccb…
04-30 03:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xff85dc…
04-30 02:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x303743…
04-30 00:59:54	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xcb0f45…
04-30 00:57:46	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf032d5…
04-29 09:25:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd6b1a4…
04-29 06:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4c8e9e…
04-28 09:01:02	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbdeba3…
04-28 08:59:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x74a2f7…
04-28 06:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x881363…
04-28 03:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xc9b97c…
04-28 02:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x5783ad…
04-28 01:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x088d1d…
04-27 09:17:16	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa40f3c…
04-27 07:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x170a91…
04-27 03:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xc05d43…