Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9PM ET
open
Total volume
$4,905
$2 in 24h
Trades
156
Unique wallets
69
Liquidity
$10,903
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-12 01:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+3.7¢
(top1%: 13% YES on $219
vs crowd: 10% YES on $2.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $2 | $22 | $21 |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $37 | $1.0K | $966 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 51 | $206 | $1.3K | $1.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $29 | $190 | $161 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $29 | $617 | $588 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $7 | $44 | $38 |
| Median | 10 | $8 | $210 | $202 |
| Below median | 11 | $23 | $76 | $53 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $120 | $21 | +$99 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $26 | $312 | $285 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | — | $475 | $475 |
| unranked | 6 | $2 | $374 | $373 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tan-Discrepancy 0x7496…3962 | Up | +681 | $116 | $116 | 1 | 05-12 01:28 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +401 | $372 | $372 | 21 | 05-12 01:53 |
| Corrupt-Scenery 0x1575…cc76 | Up | +400 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-12 01:54 |
| Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a | Down | +355 | $351 | $351 | 1 | 05-12 01:52 |
| Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Up | +334 | $5 | $8 | 7 | 05-12 01:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xba39…dee9 | Up | +272 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-12 01:54 |
| Biodegradable-Button 0x10d4…be13 | Up | +255 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 01:53 |
| Impassioned-Botany 0x9826…983b | Down | +239 | $237 | $237 | 1 | 05-12 01:38 |
| Close-Polyester 0xf438…de5d | Down | +210 | $107 | $107 | 1 | 05-11 20:14 |
| Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | +210 | $148 | $148 | 13 | 05-12 01:33 |
| Hot-Ceramic 0xfd39…9392 | Down | +200 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 05-12 01:38 |
| Sweltering-Incubation 0x1294…4b54 | Down | +170 | $169 | $169 | 2 | 05-12 01:38 |
| Quarterly-Ignorance 0x224f…ef71 | Down | +127 | $113 | $113 | 6 | 05-12 01:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a28…6301 | Up | +125 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-12 01:23 |
| Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Down | +116 | $115 | $115 | 1 | 05-12 01:52 |
| Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | +105 | $26 | $26 | 6 | 05-12 01:28 |
| Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Up | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 01:48 |
| Frayed-Interconnection 0xe336…45d6 | Down | +100 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 05-12 01:53 |
| Squeaky-Squeegee 0x71ce…6b6d | Down | +100 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 05-12 01:53 |
| Frugal-Warlord 0x118b…4569 | Up | +65 | $13 | $17 | 3 | 05-12 01:33 |
| Stupendous-Mozzarella 0x0b9f…d299 | Up | +52 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-12 01:38 |
| Appropriate-Roster 0xbaa8…645b | Up | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 01:23 |
| Nautical-Magic 0x6480…1d27 | Up | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 01:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x63f7…ed20 | Up | +43 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-12 01:03 |
| Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c | Down | +43 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 05-12 01:33 |
| Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Down | +35 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 05-12 01:24 |
| Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Down | +31 | $26 | $26 | 6 | 05-12 01:23 |
| Celebrated-Cribbage 0x7875…e0ef | Down | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-12 01:33 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +21 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 05-12 01:08 |
| Bountiful-Beet 0x6346…4950 | Down | +20 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-12 01:13 |
| Made-Up-Sectional 0x5cc2…0d6e | Down | +15 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 05-12 01:53 |
| Livid-Moccasins 0xd33c…a724 | Down | +12 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-12 01:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Down | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 01:24 |
| Rotating-Maize 0xd9a1…3346 | Up | +11 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 01:08 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 01:28 |
| Motherly-Socks 0x2b6b…d955 | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 23:30 |
| Aggravating-Heartwood 0x92c8…ebd8 | Down | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-12 01:28 |
| Distinct-Impediment 0x465a…6021 | Down | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 01:33 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 01:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x6507…2d2c | Up | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 01:03 |
| Watery-Forehead 0x79cc…4d02 | Down | +7 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 05-12 01:28 |
| Neat-Anywhere 0xb706…b4e4 | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 01:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Down | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 01:13 |
| Tight-Bronco 0x7fde…0ab6 | Up | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 01:18 |
| Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Up | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 01:12 |
| Neat-Anarchist 0x1018…23fe | Down | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 01:28 |
| Arctic-Performance 0x5647…de1d | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 00:58 |
| Deficient-Adaptation 0x9556…7525 | Down | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 01:23 |
| Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 00:58 |
| Dearest-Trachoma 0xab80…5ff3 | Down | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-12 01:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x6476…6df0 | Up | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 01:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x970e…92c9 | Up | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 01:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Up | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 01:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 01:59:01 | Negligible-Detector 0x2214…cf41 | Down | SELL | 32 | 100¢ | $32 | 0x73e54d… |
| 05-12 01:54:14 | (anonymous) 0xba39…dee9 | Up | BUY | 136 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x240ce3… |
| 05-12 01:54:14 | Corrupt-Scenery 0x1575…cc76 | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xdeb938… |
| 05-12 01:54:12 | Corrupt-Scenery 0x1575…cc76 | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x10bf92… |
| 05-12 01:54:12 | (anonymous) 0xba39…dee9 | Up | BUY | 136 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1a84c6… |
| 05-12 01:53:58 | Made-Up-Sectional 0x5cc2…0d6e | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x396163… |
| 05-12 01:53:56 | Made-Up-Sectional 0x5cc2…0d6e | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xeca78c… |
| 05-12 01:53:55 | Biodegradable-Button 0x10d4…be13 | Up | BUY | 255 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf350ee… |
| 05-12 01:53:55 | Made-Up-Sectional 0x5cc2…0d6e | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc68840… |
| 05-12 01:53:44 | Menacing-Everything 0x7362…12c1 | Down | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf73d31… |
| 05-12 01:53:44 | Happy-Hummus 0xb5c0…90f4 | Down | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xdf5911… |
| 05-12 01:53:44 | Exotic-Scholar 0x63ad…c072 | Down | SELL | 1,217 | 100¢ | $1,215 | 0x5cdd70… |
| 05-12 01:53:44 | Grandiose-Beauty 0x3fdc…8fe6 | Down | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x823ce4… |
| 05-12 01:53:44 | (anonymous) 0x2ecd…5d94 | Down | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x661b85… |
| 05-12 01:53:42 | Smart-Compassion 0xd189…06f4 | Down | SELL | 884 | 100¢ | $883 | 0x19b1b8… |
| 05-12 01:53:41 | (anonymous) 0x377c…b867 | Down | SELL | 31 | 100¢ | $31 | 0x22207d… |
| 05-12 01:53:41 | (anonymous) 0x377c…b867 | Down | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x2f6acb… |
| 05-12 01:53:39 | (anonymous) 0x377c…b867 | Down | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xf4789f… |
| 05-12 01:53:11 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xecae9d… |
| 05-12 01:53:11 | Frayed-Interconnection 0xe336…45d6 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x30af36… |
| 05-12 01:53:09 | Squeaky-Squeegee 0x71ce…6b6d | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x1c5423… |
| 05-12 01:52:55 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x7ddd61… |
| 05-12 01:52:52 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x84be58… |
| 05-12 01:52:52 | Linear-Chimpanzee 0xf588…c198 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa92349… |
| 05-12 01:52:52 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xee32ee… |
| 05-12 01:52:52 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x5810f8… |
| 05-12 01:52:52 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x3ab660… |
| 05-12 01:52:52 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x8cb4d5… |
| 05-12 01:52:52 | Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a | Down | BUY | 355 | 99¢ | $351 | 0xca65ff… |
| 05-12 01:52:52 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x77a67b… |
| 05-12 01:52:52 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x642853… |
| 05-12 01:52:50 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x5c8ab6… |
| 05-12 01:52:50 | Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Down | BUY | 116 | 99¢ | $115 | 0xd2f48f… |
| 05-12 01:52:50 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xf78878… |
| 05-12 01:52:50 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x482e41… |
| 05-12 01:52:50 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x16ca28… |
| 05-12 01:52:48 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x915d8c… |
| 05-12 01:52:43 | Linear-Chimpanzee 0xf588…c198 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x98747c… |
| 05-12 01:48:12 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Up | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0b19fd… |
| 05-12 01:44:14 | Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xcf466e… |
| 05-12 01:44:14 | Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x68c43c… |
| 05-12 01:44:14 | Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb3b03e… |
| 05-12 01:44:07 | Negligible-Detector 0x2214…cf41 | Down | SELL | 28 | 99¢ | $28 | 0x5c65da… |
| 05-12 01:38:48 | Sweltering-Incubation 0x1294…4b54 | Down | BUY | 69 | 100¢ | $69 | 0xd96837… |
| 05-12 01:38:34 | Impassioned-Botany 0x9826…983b | Down | BUY | 239 | 99¢ | $237 | 0xa7e9a6… |
| 05-12 01:38:24 | Hot-Ceramic 0xfd39…9392 | Down | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0x33bffa… |
| 05-12 01:38:22 | (anonymous) 0x377c…b867 | Down | BUY | 49 | 99¢ | $49 | 0x30e287… |
| 05-12 01:38:18 | Stupendous-Mozzarella 0x0b9f…d299 | Up | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc20e61… |
| 05-12 01:38:13 | Sweltering-Incubation 0x1294…4b54 | Down | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x784aec… |
| 05-12 01:33:56 | Frugal-Warlord 0x118b…4569 | Up | SELL | 47 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xd9ace6… |
| 05-12 01:33:40 | Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c | Down | BUY | 21 | 94¢ | $20 | 0xe159d7… |
| 05-12 01:33:35 | Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Up | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa2cf2b… |
| 05-12 01:33:33 | Natural-Insolence 0x0ed1…0271 | Down | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xd0f961… |
| 05-12 01:33:31 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x08db1a… |
| 05-12 01:33:28 | Negligible-Detector 0x2214…cf41 | Down | BUY | 28 | 95¢ | $27 | 0xe5e286… |
| 05-12 01:33:28 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x37d43a… |
| 05-12 01:33:26 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x5ac07e… |
| 05-12 01:33:16 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xc5b2ae… |
| 05-12 01:33:16 | Gullible-Lifestyle 0xa119…2aa3 | Down | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xad446b… |
| 05-12 01:33:16 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xd30182… |
| 05-12 01:33:16 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 21 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x018431… |
| 05-12 01:33:16 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 40 | 93¢ | $37 | 0x98aabc… |
| 05-12 01:33:16 | Distinct-Impediment 0x465a…6021 | Down | BUY | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x2beba5… |
| 05-12 01:33:16 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x3d3afe… |
| 05-12 01:33:16 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 21 | 93¢ | $20 | 0xca2184… |
| 05-12 01:33:12 | Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c | Down | BUY | 22 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x461d5e… |
| 05-12 01:33:03 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x68e08c… |
| 05-12 01:33:00 | Celebrated-Cribbage 0x7875…e0ef | Down | BUY | 22 | 92¢ | $21 | 0xbc277e… |
| 05-12 01:28:43 | Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Up | SELL | 11 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x5df2fd… |
| 05-12 01:28:23 | Neat-Anarchist 0x1018…23fe | Down | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x56f6af… |
| 05-12 01:28:23 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x423523… |
| 05-12 01:28:23 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 11 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xd0a4a1… |
| 05-12 01:28:23 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 21 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x88e487… |
| 05-12 01:28:09 | (anonymous) 0x8176…709a | Down | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xddf5ce… |
| 05-12 01:28:09 | Hollow-Accent 0xd692…8b9a | Down | BUY | 4 | 84¢ | $3 | 0xb63be6… |
| 05-12 01:28:08 | Concerned-Plaintiff-Pack 0x1b71…e683 | Down | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xe83a4f… |
| 05-12 01:28:06 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xe9906f… |
| 05-12 01:28:06 | Tan-Discrepancy 0x7496…3962 | Up | BUY | 681 | 17¢ | $116 | 0x35f4c1… |
| 05-12 01:28:02 | Watery-Forehead 0x79cc…4d02 | Down | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xb67b92… |
| 05-12 01:28:02 | Aggravating-Heartwood 0x92c8…ebd8 | Down | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x06e1ba… |
| 05-12 01:27:50 | Frugal-Warlord 0x118b…4569 | Up | BUY | 32 | 15¢ | $5 | 0x151c10… |
| 05-12 01:27:47 | Neighboring-Going 0x903d…62c3 | Down | SELL | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x94d3a0… |
| 05-12 01:24:06 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Down | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xc9e65c… |
| 05-12 01:24:04 | Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Down | BUY | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0x0728fe… |
| 05-12 01:23:57 | Quarterly-Ignorance 0x224f…ef71 | Down | BUY | 15 | 89¢ | $13 | 0x9a1e87… |
| 05-12 01:23:57 | Quarterly-Ignorance 0x224f…ef71 | Down | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x9f4b5c… |
| 05-12 01:23:56 | Frugal-Warlord 0x118b…4569 | Up | BUY | 80 | 13¢ | $10 | 0x6a9cd2… |
| 05-12 01:23:56 | (anonymous) 0x2a28…6301 | Up | BUY | 125 | 12¢ | $15 | 0x595478… |
| 05-12 01:23:54 | Quarterly-Ignorance 0x224f…ef71 | Down | BUY | 12 | 89¢ | $11 | 0x4735ce… |
| 05-12 01:23:54 | Quarterly-Ignorance 0x224f…ef71 | Down | BUY | 34 | 89¢ | $30 | 0x7c6140… |
| 05-12 01:23:52 | Quarterly-Ignorance 0x224f…ef71 | Down | BUY | 26 | 89¢ | $23 | 0x5acdc6… |
| 05-12 01:23:52 | Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x737fbe… |
| 05-12 01:23:50 | Quarterly-Ignorance 0x224f…ef71 | Down | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x353eba… |
| 05-12 01:23:47 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xffed2e… |
| 05-12 01:23:40 | Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x137b27… |
| 05-12 01:23:40 | Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x081176… |
| 05-12 01:23:36 | Aggravating-Heartwood 0x92c8…ebd8 | Down | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x47dbc6… |
| 05-12 01:23:36 | Watery-Forehead 0x79cc…4d02 | Down | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x908d42… |
| 05-12 01:23:17 | Nautical-Magic 0x6480…1d27 | Up | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xa03a20… |
| 05-12 01:23:15 | Appropriate-Roster 0xbaa8…645b | Up | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xbe0c24… |