Hot-Ceramic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.7%

Resolved

699

Trades

4,612

lifetime

Volume

$177.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-04 12:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% $-29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 249 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 12am et	13	$1.4K	800	797	+3	open	—	04-20 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5AM ET	7	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	05-25 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6PM ET	4	$1.3K	635	635	+0	open	—	05-24 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11AM ET	11	$1.2K	600	600	+0	Up	+$15	05-11 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6AM ET	6	$1.2K	600	600	+0	Down	+$20	05-13 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7PM ET	11	$1.1K	773	386	+386	open	—	05-26 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	6	$1.1K	750	375	+375	open	—	05-25 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET	6	$925	630	315	+315	Up	+$20	05-07 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET	8	$870	441	441	+0	open	—	05-15 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10PM ET	13	$856	430	460	-30	open	—	05-04 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	9	$840	850	0	+850	open	—	05-26 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	10	$813	830	0	+830	open	—	05-26 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7AM ET	10	$813	420	420	+0	open	—	05-03 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9AM ET	4	$803	410	410	+0	open	—	05-23 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	4	$795	800	0	+800	open	—	05-26 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6AM ET	6	$782	400	400	+0	open	—	05-17 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET	10	$766	781	0	+781	open	—	05-26 05:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9AM ET	10	$763	410	360	+50	open	—	05-02 13:58
bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 9pm et	4	$754	380	380	+0	open	—	04-20 01:52
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 7am et	4	$732	381	381	+1	open	—	04-21 12:44
bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 8pm et	7	$708	360	359	+1	open	—	04-20 01:22
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 1am et	6	$695	360	358	+2	open	—	04-20 05:55
bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 12pm et	10	$693	350	350	+0	open	—	04-19 16:56
bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 7am et	7	$692	350	350	+0	open	—	04-19 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	5	$684	600	100	+500	open	—	05-29 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3AM ET	7	$681	700	0	+700	open	—	05-31 07:49
bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 11am et	10	$681	341	350	-9	open	—	04-19 16:00
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 9am et	7	$675	400	398	+2	open	—	04-20 14:05
bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 5am et	7	$659	333	332	+0	open	—	04-19 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7PM ET	7	$648	674	0	+674	open	—	05-26 23:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 12:43:01	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xf8a005…
06-03 11:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xaec0a5…
06-03 11:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x9a4463…
06-03 11:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x003da2…
06-03 11:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x2e414b…
06-03 11:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	86	98¢	$84	0x238d3f…
06-03 10:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	148	99¢	$146	0xacc716…
06-03 10:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$151	0x5fdfe5…
06-02 13:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xefdd38…
06-02 13:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x3fd20e…
06-02 13:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xe5d886…
06-02 13:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x673d5f…
06-02 13:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x235d4e…
06-02 13:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x47e705…
06-02 13:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x9a95d6…
06-02 13:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xcf3a49…
06-02 12:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xe30f78…
06-02 12:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x85c08b…
06-02 12:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x2bb721…
06-02 12:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	199	51¢	$101	0x765127…
06-02 12:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xb4cb03…
06-02 12:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x7e2662…
06-02 12:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x525fae…
06-02 12:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xa207f8…
06-02 12:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x8aeebf…
06-02 12:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xe77d85…
06-02 11:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x23c902…
06-02 11:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x8f0f60…
06-02 11:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x55ec4d…
06-02 11:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$103	0x100e17…
06-02 11:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x1db241…
06-02 11:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	199	51¢	$101	0x5a8eed…
06-02 11:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x9ae686…
06-02 11:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xe58dc6…
06-02 11:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xc37ff5…
06-02 11:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x44f7e0…
06-02 11:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x2eb994…
06-02 11:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0xd9f80c…
06-02 11:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x225b60…
06-02 11:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xee0230…
06-02 11:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x799881…
06-02 11:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x8b6f0e…
06-02 10:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xe5e882…
06-02 10:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xbcb423…
06-02 10:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x101762…
06-02 10:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x1021ce…
06-02 10:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xc248ac…
06-02 10:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x58ccbc…
06-02 10:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x6903fc…
06-02 10:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x43de6e…
06-02 10:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xb5bbfa…
06-02 10:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x644471…
06-02 10:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x466c88…
06-02 09:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xeae3b9…
06-02 09:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xf5207e…
06-02 09:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x4e65a1…
06-02 09:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x050776…
06-02 09:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x3cffb7…
06-02 09:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x4d0774…
06-02 09:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x7105d8…
06-02 09:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xb4697f…
06-02 09:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x9cc3ad…
06-02 09:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x38a356…
06-02 09:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x2a804a…
06-02 09:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x2f3c18…
06-02 08:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xdb7f3f…
06-02 08:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x6348e3…
06-02 08:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xa7b655…
06-02 08:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xbf0468…
06-02 08:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0xcd6f56…
06-02 08:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x1f9db9…
06-02 08:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xb3606c…
06-02 08:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xda6c4a…
06-02 08:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xfe298d…
06-02 08:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xef050d…
06-02 07:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x9dc606…
06-02 07:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x99cca3…
06-02 06:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x0c2f83…
06-02 06:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xd9984e…
06-02 06:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x0f12c0…
06-02 06:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x5a7d8f…
06-02 06:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	52¢	$103	0x851650…
06-02 06:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x22e6fa…
06-02 06:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xc56a40…
06-02 06:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x7b137b…
06-02 06:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x3de183…
06-02 06:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x8d2a19…
06-02 06:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x6f58d9…
06-02 06:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	200	52¢	$105	0x8a42d8…
06-02 06:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$103	0x671c25…
06-02 06:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x086177…
06-02 06:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xc7a2a6…
06-02 06:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x9f7615…
06-02 06:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x57e7c7…
06-02 06:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xa96903…
06-02 05:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x7415d4…
06-02 05:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x3244d0…
06-02 05:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	53¢	$105	0x0cbae9…
06-02 05:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xe4eb4e…
06-02 05:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x1c63f6…