Close-Polyester — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.51K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,136

lifetime

Volume

$123.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-25 12:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 55% +$122

Other

30% 100% +$1,389

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	5	$1.5K	1,716	1,631	+85	open	—	04-22 05:45
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	6	$1.5K	1,979	1,872	+107	open	—	04-22 05:42
bitcoin up or down on january 11	2	$1.2K	1,255	1,254	+0	open	—	01-11 06:23
ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 bog1	2	$1.2K	1,111	1,111	+0	open	—	02-24 21:58
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-04-25?	3	$1.1K	850	834	+16	open	—	04-25 19:37
bitcoin above 76k on april 22	5	$989	1,103	1,048	+55	open	—	04-18 15:52
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-27?	2	$975	1,041	1,014	+27	open	—	04-27 20:27
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)	2	$964	854	854	+0	Aston Villa FC	+$742	05-07 20:57
bitcoin up or down january 21 1pm et	2	$816	581	581	+0	open	—	01-21 18:46
sea tor par 2026 03 13 tor	2	$786	558	558	+0	open	—	03-13 21:37
ucl nap1 cfc 2026 01 28 cfc	2	$769	669	669	+0	open	—	01-28 21:55
bitcoin up or down february 4 1pm et	2	$743	492	492	+0	open	—	02-04 19:01
bitcoin up or down on march 31 2026	4	$734	1,251	1,231	+20	open	—	03-31 09:14
bitcoin up or down february 1 3pm et	5	$729	735	735	+0	open	—	02-01 20:17
bitcoin above 78k on april 22	5	$715	1,327	1,249	+78	open	—	04-18 15:52
atp lehecka fils 2026 03 27	2	$711	503	503	+0	open	—	03-27 20:26
bitcoin up or down on february 6	4	$677	993	993	+0	open	—	02-06 07:40
epl lee not 2026 02 06 lee	2	$668	467	467	+0	open	—	02-06 21:10
atp burruch nakashi 2026 04 02	4	$662	485	478	+7	open	—	04-02 21:28
rou1 aus aog 2026 03 23 aus	3	$647	506	506	+0	open	—	03-23 20:36
uel lud1 ftc 2026 02 19 lud1	2	$642	589	589	+0	open	—	02-19 21:32
lal lev val 2026 02 15 val	2	$641	588	588	+0	open	—	02-15 19:03
bitcoin above 80k on april 22	4	$618	2,310	2,155	+154	open	—	04-18 15:52
bun lei wol 2026 02 15 draw	2	$600	500	500	+0	open	—	02-15 18:32
bun ein dor 2026 01 09 draw	2	$589	555	555	+0	open	—	01-09 21:27
bitcoin up or down january 21 9am et	2	$588	387	387	+0	open	—	01-21 15:05
bitcoin up or down on april 4 2026	4	$579	400	386	+14	open	—	04-04 16:00
atp cerund majchrz 2026 03 30	2	$567	409	403	+6	open	—	03-31 12:33
bitcoin up or down february 6 5pm et	2	$562	400	400	+0	open	—	02-06 22:31
bitcoin up or down january 31 5am et	4	$556	451	451	+0	open	—	01-31 11:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 12:36:22	bitcoin up or down on june 25 2026	Down	SELL	774	9¢	$70	0xd59e52…
06-25 03:24:02	bitcoin up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0c0671…
06-25 03:23:28	bitcoin up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	768	31¢	$238	0x4b4fd9…
06-22 16:52:52	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	578	48¢	$278	0x6e1e06…
06-22 07:29:59	btc updown 15m 1782113400	Up	BUY	34	45¢	$15	0xa41203…
06-22 07:29:32	btc updown 15m 1782112500	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x1f9a0e…
06-22 07:06:43	btc updown 15m 1782112500	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x560d9f…
06-22 05:35:50	btc updown 15m 1782106200	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x1ae08b…
06-21 21:56:02	btc updown 15m 1782078300	Up	SELL	153	3¢	$5	0x8a1e57…
06-21 21:45:31	btc updown 15m 1782078300	Up	BUY	153	35¢	$54	0x7e4655…
06-21 21:44:07	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 5pm et	Up	SELL	228	69¢	$157	0x4e7503…
06-21 21:04:25	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	157	58¢	$91	0xe025aa…
06-21 21:03:52	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	71	57¢	$40	0x8158f6…
06-21 21:00:13	btc updown 15m 1782074700	Down	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0x73c329…
06-21 20:40:02	btc updown 15m 1782074700	Down	BUY	131	46¢	$61	0xb4430e…
06-16 06:02:15	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 1am et	Up	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0x087258…
06-16 04:49:27	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	205	54¢	$110	0x28bc1f…
06-15 20:56:28	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 4pm et	Up	SELL	283	1¢	$3	0xfad0be…
06-15 20:19:01	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	283	39¢	$109	0xf1bb82…
06-15 05:32:52	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x579e3c…
06-14 12:01:16	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x54e552…
06-10 15:46:25	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	292	49¢	$144	0xd6b5c2…
06-09 06:06:48	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xf66fec…
06-09 05:43:19	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	154	47¢	$72	0x7eb909…
06-08 20:47:06	btc updown 15m 1780951500	Up	BUY	90	50¢	$45	0x16c45c…
06-02 18:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x601466…
06-02 16:42:06	Spread: Croatia (-1.5)	Croatia	SELL	589	1¢	$6	0xf8171f…
06-02 15:35:14	Spread: Croatia (-1.5)	Croatia	BUY	589	17¢	$100	0xe99a1f…
06-02 08:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc73532…
06-02 08:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	107	3¢	$3	0x0cfcdc…
06-02 08:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	92	39¢	$36	0xc7b40e…
06-02 07:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x0c2b7a…
06-02 05:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	111	50¢	$55	0x05e092…
06-01 19:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	152	100¢	$152	0x8cffa9…
06-01 17:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	152	54¢	$82	0x69733e…
06-01 17:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x6b6d55…
06-01 16:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	85	24¢	$20	0xe0c699…
06-01 09:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	211	53¢	$111	0xf0a770…
05-30 18:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	222	100¢	$222	0x3b2f56…
05-30 16:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	222	48¢	$106	0x177c3b…
05-29 19:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	294	97¢	$285	0x9e6c44…
05-29 18:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	294	51¢	$150	0xb7a907…
05-29 06:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	101	48¢	$48	0xca1cb1…
05-28 18:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	198	51¢	$100	0x5aac67…
05-28 15:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	180	52¢	$93	0x9cd2fb…
05-28 15:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	246	49¢	$120	0x691347…
05-28 15:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	223	99¢	$221	0xa0f96b…
05-28 13:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	172	51¢	$88	0xad0c7a…
05-28 13:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	223	52¢	$115	0xca9cc3…
05-28 13:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	191	17¢	$33	0x32e84e…
05-28 13:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	179	100¢	$179	0x04eaa9…
05-28 12:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	191	52¢	$99	0x40cb89…
05-28 12:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	179	48¢	$86	0xee22e1…
05-27 16:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x308228…
05-27 16:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	51¢	$21	0xf416d1…
05-27 15:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xc6c44b…
05-27 15:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xa5158d…
05-27 14:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	74	53¢	$39	0x9ff405…
05-27 13:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	92	59¢	$54	0x990235…
05-27 13:38:45	Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	BUY	688	8¢	$55	0x2d8f74…
05-27 13:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	112	45¢	$50	0x6ef1fe…
05-27 09:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	204	51¢	$104	0x15dea5…
05-27 09:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	199	100¢	$199	0xd0b663…
05-27 07:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	199	56¢	$112	0xab027f…
05-27 06:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	208	53¢	$111	0x5db200…
05-24 20:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	233	51¢	$119	0x034832…
05-23 15:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	195	47¢	$93	0xec5d1a…
05-12 06:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x2a4c05…
05-11 20:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	210	51¢	$107	0x8a73cc…
05-11 10:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	195	52¢	$102	0x884f5a…
05-08 17:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	74	51¢	$38	0xa85f0a…
05-08 16:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x89e6fd…
05-08 07:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	217	48¢	$104	0x4c4a3d…
05-08 07:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0xdb04f4…
05-07 21:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	191	52¢	$99	0x049950…
05-07 20:57:40	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)	Aston Villa FC	SELL	854	100¢	$853	0xe12ff6…
05-07 20:54:21	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	SELL	370	100¢	$370	0xed17a9…
05-07 20:51:47	Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	387	100¢	$386	0x8b3228…
05-07 20:44:52	Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	222	100¢	$222	0x29ded0…
05-07 18:49:57	Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	387	28¢	$108	0x30c27f…
05-07 18:49:32	Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	222	50¢	$111	0xbf0921…
05-07 18:48:12	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	854	13¢	$111	0xafe8c2…
05-07 18:47:42	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	370	30¢	$111	0xfc9e97…
05-06 21:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	189	51¢	$97	0x3e3107…
05-06 08:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	197	100¢	$197	0x49751c…
05-06 07:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	197	54¢	$107	0x42db4b…
05-06 03:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	204	100¢	$204	0xbc5a4f…
05-06 01:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	204	52¢	$107	0x5a9db6…
05-05 08:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	111	100¢	$110	0xb82a59…
05-05 07:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	111	58¢	$64	0xa91ca8…
05-02 12:47:50	Spread: SV Werder Bremen (-1.5)	SV Werder Bremen	BUY	157	28¢	$44	0xebc275…
04-29 08:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	120	42¢	$50	0x8639ce…
04-28 21:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	48	46¢	$22	0xff8f86…
04-28 21:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	87	28¢	$24	0x709a81…
04-28 21:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0x30811e…
04-28 20:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x8c5d5c…
04-28 20:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	57¢	$24	0x3a133c…
04-28 20:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x996cd2…
04-28 20:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x8c920c…
04-28 19:11:38	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	572	17¢	$97	0xaaee42…