Realized P&L
+$53
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
80.7%
Resolved
1,657
Trades
7,301
lifetime
Volume
$13.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$70
29 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 10-29 00:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 196 days
Categories
Other
36% 92% -$15
Politics
22% 84% -$7
Crypto
21% 94% +$11
Sports
20% 74% +$62
Tech
1% 94% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +12 $11 94¢ $11 +$0 10-17 06:52
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +7 $7 99¢ $7 +$0 10-28 10:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +6 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-26 05:24
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +6 $4 79¢ $5 +$0 09-22 07:12
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -4 -$4 98¢ $-4 $0 05-21 14:31
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 10-27 03:37
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +4 $3 70¢ $3 $0 09-22 06:20
Trump out as President before 2027? No -3 -$3 96¢ $-3 $0 08-24 03:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -3 -$2 82¢ $-3 -$1 09-21 15:44
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +3 $3 84¢ $3 $0 10-13 18:55
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 10-28 12:43
will the us confirm that aliens exist by october 31 396 No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-28 05:49
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 10-28 23:11
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 08-18 01:08
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-28 23:02
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 10-27 05:23
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +4 $4 43¢ $2 -$2 09-30 18:53
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +2 $1 92¢ $1 $0 09-16 20:21
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +1 $1 97¢ $1 $0 10-28 19:59
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 91¢ $1 +$0 10-17 07:09
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-02 03:35
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 09-04 03:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-24 01:20
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -2 $0 14¢ $-0 $0 09-29 11:06
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 08-09 19:58
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 10-25 20:55
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 86¢ $0 +$0 10-06 23:58
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -0 $0 98¢ $-0 $0 06-06 08:55
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $2 6¢ $0 -$2 08-19 21:50