Sweltering-Incubation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.74K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

617

Trades

1,094

lifetime

Volume

$78.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-26 12:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% -$1,742

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-26).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 5 9am et	8	$6.1K	4,910	4,910	+0	Down	-$3,367	02-05 14:57
bitcoin up or down january 21 2pm et	1	$4.1K	4,097	0	+4,097	Up	+$5	01-21 19:52
bitcoin up or down january 21 9am et	1	$4.0K	4,092	0	+4,092	Up	+$55	01-21 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	96	$2.2K	3,563	0	+3,563	Down	-$2,228	05-09 10:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 17:15 UTC	4	$2.0K	2,854	0	+2,854	Down	+$854	04-08 17:22
bitcoin up or down january 31 9am et	2	$2.0K	2,072	0	+2,072	Down	+$72	01-31 14:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 13:15 UTC	3	$1.9K	2,098	1,439	+659	Down	+$277	01-11 13:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 20:00 UTC	8	$1.9K	2,205	0	+2,205	Up	+$295	03-07 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	17	$1.9K	3,522	0	+3,522	Down	+$1,653	05-05 02:46
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-02 13:00 UTC	1	$1.8K	1,784	0	+1,784	Up	+$2	03-02 16:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 15:15 UTC	44	$1.7K	2,818	0	+2,818	Up	+$1,118	03-18 15:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 09:30 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,721	0	+1,721	Down	+$65	02-25 09:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	3	$1.0K	526	516	+10	No	$0	04-28 17:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 15:00 UTC	1	$1000	1,825	0	+1,825	Up	+$825	04-08 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	28	$922	1,679	0	+1,679	Up	-$922	05-05 02:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 13:15 UTC	6	$921	1,222	600	+622	Up	+$294	01-17 13:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	4	$803	406	406	+0	Down	+$1	05-15 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	7	$739	1,300	0	+1,300	Down	-$739	05-09 09:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 10:15 UTC	4	$720	783	0	+783	Down	+$63	03-07 10:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 17:00 UTC	1	$700	1,139	0	+1,139	Up	-$700	04-08 16:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 14:45 UTC	5	$645	785	383	+402	Down	-$235	03-18 14:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 07:30 UTC	1	$640	1,204	0	+1,204	Up	+$564	01-03 07:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 15:00 UTC	2	$600	973	0	+973	Down	-$600	03-18 15:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 11:00 UTC	1	$566	1,040	0	+1,040	Up	+$474	01-17 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10AM ET	2	$528	556	0	+556	Down	+$28	05-22 14:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 12:00 UTC	2	$527	485	477	+7	Down	+$7	01-31 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$510	526	0	+526	Up	+$16	05-18 19:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 14:45 UTC	1	$500	839	0	+839	Down	-$500	04-08 14:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 12:15 UTC	6	$495	724	0	+724	Down	+$229	01-17 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	3	$469	561	276	+285	Up	-$171	05-05 02:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 12:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x243817…
05-26 10:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x3a775a…
05-24 23:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x706f15…
05-24 23:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	64	84¢	$54	0x274d23…
05-24 14:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0x7ebd78…
05-23 14:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	302	55¢	$166	0x74ed8d…
05-23 14:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0xb340b1…
05-23 14:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	163	55¢	$90	0x594ccf…
05-23 14:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x846167…
05-23 13:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xb708bc…
05-23 04:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x2bc798…
05-22 14:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x705f02…
05-22 14:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0xe5fc10…
05-18 19:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8217c9…
05-18 19:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0xef297a…
05-18 15:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x3a55ab…
05-18 13:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0x4d1748…
05-18 13:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xc69b9d…
05-18 13:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc44c44…
05-15 14:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0xc763cf…
05-15 14:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x124ead…
05-15 14:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x53ec7b…
05-15 14:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x9ee056…
05-15 13:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	241	54¢	$130	0xe56224…
05-15 13:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xccc6f9…
05-15 13:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	406	99¢	$402	0xa58a5a…
05-15 13:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe2b7ad…
05-15 13:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x2ec6e9…
05-15 13:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x5bef02…
05-12 01:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x47c53b…
05-12 01:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xd96837…
05-12 01:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x784aec…
05-09 10:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x31bcae…
05-09 10:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	72	83¢	$60	0x6508e6…
05-09 10:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	125	53¢	$66	0x3ebdb8…
05-09 10:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	125	56¢	$70	0x482c83…
05-09 10:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0xb9ebf1…
05-09 10:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	578	69¢	$400	0x23f1ba…
05-09 10:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	312	64¢	$200	0x5d8eb5…
05-09 10:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x4a8f1d…
05-09 10:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xb76269…
05-09 10:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xac789d…
05-09 10:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x506d8e…
05-09 10:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb13e04…
05-09 10:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa79d67…
05-09 10:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x910a23…
05-09 10:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x364e82…
05-09 10:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x014417…
05-09 10:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0xf7d9a6…
05-09 10:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x91418f…
05-09 10:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x66c226…
05-09 10:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x0daf1f…
05-09 10:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0baeb0…
05-09 10:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xffdc88…
05-09 10:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xabd7ed…
05-09 10:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xa946be…
05-09 10:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x5d549d…
05-09 10:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x01c596…
05-09 10:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x8a3130…
05-09 10:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x6f20a4…
05-09 10:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	71	58¢	$41	0x2a6a21…
05-09 10:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	110	58¢	$64	0x4d41c1…
05-09 10:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x4bc1f1…
05-09 10:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x359b93…
05-09 10:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1185b4…
05-09 10:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x68f72d…
05-09 10:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x5448f1…
05-09 10:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	58¢	$8	0x149cc0…
05-09 10:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd7657a…
05-09 10:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x9b5611…
05-09 10:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x6c5158…
05-09 10:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x3d0bf8…
05-09 10:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	58¢	$17	0xe9595b…
05-09 10:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xe5a36e…
05-09 10:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x016499…
05-09 10:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x4ef93e…
05-09 10:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x58fda1…
05-09 10:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x43ac75…
05-09 10:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x2f6e1b…
05-09 10:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2c9579…
05-09 10:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x109ef8…
05-09 10:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	150	58¢	$87	0xbf4979…
05-09 10:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0xb2cd35…
05-09 10:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa8a124…
05-09 10:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x74e1b0…
05-09 10:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x46c391…
05-09 10:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x2cf729…
05-09 10:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x236ee1…
05-09 10:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0xfd3f38…
05-09 10:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8c4e62…
05-09 10:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x27e046…
05-09 10:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0xccd0c2…
05-09 10:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0xc89eb2…
05-09 10:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xa7b3d3…
05-09 10:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0x086f47…
05-09 10:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0xe63546…
05-09 10:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0xcca782…
05-09 10:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x91f3e0…
05-09 10:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x01509a…
05-09 10:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x827acd…