Clumsy-Porter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$194

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-22 19:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

56% 50% +$194

Politics

44% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.1K	642	642	+0	Yes	+$203	04-12 20:25
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	2	$537	277	277	+0	open	—	05-19 08:16
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	3	$295	5,030	0	+5,030	open	—	05-22 19:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$268	270	270	+0	open	—	01-13 16:53
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	1	$243	374	0	+374	open	—	05-22 12:04
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	1	$200	306	0	+306	open	—	05-17 09:56
sidemen charity match 2026 winner	3	$181	221	221	+0	open	—	04-18 16:03
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	2	$158	326	244	+81	open	—	05-22 14:22
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	2	$143	8,560	0	+8,560	open	—	01-06 16:20
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$130	210	0	+210	open	—	05-19 08:19
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$110	561	0	+561	open	—	05-19 08:18
will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	2	$108	70	70	+0	open	—	01-13 14:08
ice shooter charged by march 31	2	$95	144	144	+0	open	—	01-12 13:25
will trump say maduro or dictator during the detroit speech on tuesday	1	$67	107	0	+107	open	—	01-13 16:54
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 11 311	2	$61	40	40	+0	open	—	01-10 12:41
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	2	$45	83	83	+0	open	—	01-10 12:42
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$30	52	52	+0	No	$-9	04-02 08:14
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	2	$28	625	625	+0	open	—	01-12 13:43
Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?	2	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	04-10 21:22
will mrbeasts next video get 110 million or more views on week 1 519	2	$11	1,145	1,145	+0	open	—	01-12 13:43
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$10	32	0	+32	open	—	05-19 08:16
will mrbeasts next video get less than 60 million views on week 1 212	1	$10	2,562	0	+2,562	open	—	01-10 02:13
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$10	154	0	+154	open	—	05-19 08:17
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	05-19 08:17
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-19 08:17
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-19 08:17
will israel strike gaza on january 12 2026	1	$9	20	0	+20	open	—	01-12 13:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$9	8,610	0	+8,610	open	—	04-10 21:22
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$5	36	0	+36	open	—	05-19 08:16
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$2	20	0	+20	open	—	05-19 08:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 19:46:36	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	3,321	5¢	$165	0x2c7573…
05-22 19:45:03	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1,288	8¢	$100	0x6577d3…
05-22 19:44:24	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	421	7¢	$30	0x99d601…
05-22 14:22:12	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	SELL	244	24¢	$58	0x0967fd…
05-22 12:04:20	LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	JD Gaming	BUY	374	65¢	$243	0xbb68a6…
05-19 08:19:07	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	205	62¢	$127	0xa6a452…
05-19 08:18:42	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	509	20¢	$100	0x000cbc…
05-19 08:17:41	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	154	6¢	$10	0x1c5b1f…
05-19 08:17:29	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x504a1f…
05-19 08:17:22	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xf16ea3…
05-19 08:17:15	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x10c10d…
05-19 08:17:10	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xa284a8…
05-19 08:17:03	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf150b6…
05-19 08:16:43	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	No	SELL	277	99¢	$273	0x22bbb1…
05-19 08:16:35	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x1838cc…
05-19 08:16:26	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x0dfed5…
05-19 08:16:17	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x2567d9…
05-19 08:16:12	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x96dfdb…
05-17 10:00:56	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	No	BUY	277	95¢	$264	0xb5da06…
05-17 09:58:50	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	326	31¢	$100	0x433008…
05-17 09:56:47	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	BUY	306	65¢	$200	0x5cc6f3…
04-18 16:03:46	sidemen charity match 2026 winner	Sidemen FC	SELL	221	23¢	$51	0x44ee8d…
04-18 14:10:30	sidemen charity match 2026 winner	Sidemen FC	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x21673f…
04-18 13:52:44	sidemen charity match 2026 winner	Sidemen FC	BUY	165	60¢	$100	0xe16b67…
04-12 20:25:01	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	642	99¢	$633	0x129186…
04-10 21:22:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	8,610	0¢	$9	0x788ba6…
04-10 21:22:47	Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?	Yes	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0xc1194e…
04-03 17:22:33	Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?	Yes	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x6efbd5…
04-03 17:19:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	Yes	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0x332539…
04-02 08:14:17	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	52	20¢	$10	0xf72c76…
03-30 10:05:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0x62d8ca…
03-30 10:05:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x74c430…
03-30 10:02:12	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	642	67¢	$430	0x553f7b…
01-13 16:54:19	will trump say maduro or dictator during the detroit speech on tuesday	Yes	BUY	107	63¢	$67	0x1ff83c…
01-13 16:53:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	160	42¢	$67	0x759c54…
01-13 15:16:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	160	41¢	$66	0x571ebe…
01-13 15:15:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	110	60¢	$66	0x18ac9f…
01-13 14:11:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	110	63¢	$69	0x9f344c…
01-13 14:08:47	will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	No	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x05a35a…
01-12 13:44:12	will israel strike gaza on january 12 2026	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x4a824b…
01-12 13:43:20	will mrbeasts next video get 110 million or more views on week 1 519	Yes	SELL	1,145	0¢	$1	0x378c12…
01-12 13:43:16	new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	Yes	SELL	625	1¢	$8	0x27f81c…
01-12 13:39:56	will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	No	BUY	70	56¢	$39	0xa21ecb…
01-12 13:25:32	ice shooter charged by march 31	Yes	SELL	144	27¢	$39	0x818b4b…
01-10 12:42:24	ice shooter charged by march 31	Yes	BUY	144	39¢	$57	0x46588e…
01-10 12:42:02	Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	No	SELL	83	30¢	$25	0xdc4852…
01-10 12:41:56	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 11 311	Yes	SELL	40	77¢	$31	0x0145cd…
01-10 11:27:42	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	SELL	103	1¢	$1	0xb351b3…
01-10 02:16:34	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 11 311	Yes	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0x280174…
01-10 02:14:08	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0x6a6d5e…
01-10 02:13:24	will mrbeasts next video get 110 million or more views on week 1 519	Yes	BUY	1,145	1¢	$10	0x413da1…
01-10 02:13:08	will mrbeasts next video get less than 60 million views on week 1 212	Yes	BUY	2,562	0¢	$10	0x392a92…
01-10 02:11:10	Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	No	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xae2906…
01-10 02:10:08	new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	Yes	BUY	625	3¢	$20	0x434482…
01-06 16:20:59	new stranger things episode released by wednesday	Yes	BUY	3,287	1¢	$43	0x659eb4…
01-06 12:48:21	new stranger things episode released by wednesday	Yes	BUY	5,274	2¢	$100	0xe1ca55…