Writhing-Liberty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$358

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-13 01:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$8

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No		+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	06-02 02:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	1	$1.1K	1,079	0	+1,079	Yes	+$3	05-11 00:56
ethereum above 3600 on january 18	1	$1.1K	1,077	0	+1,077	open	—	01-18 01:13
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 17	1	$1.1K	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	01-17 01:09
bitcoin above 102k on january 16	1	$1.1K	1,074	0	+1,074	open	—	01-16 01:41
bitcoin above 86k on january 15	1	$1.1K	1,073	0	+1,073	open	—	01-15 01:29
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 9?	1	$1.1K	1,072	0	+1,072	No	+$2	05-09 01:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	1	$1.1K	1,071	0	+1,071	open	—	01-14 01:32
ethereum above 3500 on january 13	1	$1.1K	1,069	0	+1,069	open	—	01-13 01:04
will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 12	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	01-12 02:16
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 11	1	$1.1K	1,067	0	+1,067	open	—	01-11 02:28
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 10	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	open	—	01-10 01:56
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	No	+$2	05-05 03:09
will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 9	1	$1.1K	1,064	0	+1,064	open	—	01-09 05:20
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on May 3?	1	$1.1K	1,054	0	+1,054	open	—	05-03 02:03
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-20 01:32
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	1	$8	1,106	0	+1,106	open	—	02-11 01:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	1	$8	1,095	0	+1,095	open	—	02-04 05:48
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 2	5	$5	5,354	0	+5,354	open	—	01-02 01:14
ethereum above 1700 on february 18	1	$3	1,095	0	+1,095	open	—	02-18 02:06
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	1	$3	1,084	0	+1,084	open	—	04-08 01:17
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-21 09:36
Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-14 02:15
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-06 11:26
ethereum above 1600 on february 25	1	$2	1,113	0	+1,113	open	—	02-25 02:16
ethereum above 1600 on march 9	1	$2	1,094	0	+1,094	open	—	03-09 02:34
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-02 02:36
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 17	1	$2	1,084	0	+1,084	open	—	04-17 00:38
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	1	$2	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	04-28 00:49
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 29	1	$2	1,066	0	+1,066	open	—	03-29 03:19
ethereum above 1800 on june 13 2026	1	$2	1,058	0	+1,058	open	—	06-13 01:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 01:06:01	ethereum above 1800 on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,058	0¢	$2	0xa52078…
06-04 06:09:19	ethereum above 1500 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0xf8b5b6…
06-02 02:36:39	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf252c4…
05-21 09:36:32	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x621676…
05-11 00:56:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1,079	100¢	$1,076	0x010c15…
05-09 01:14:20	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 9?	No	BUY	1,072	100¢	$1,070	0x5e9107…
05-05 03:09:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	BUY	1,066	100¢	$1,063	0x485685…
05-03 02:03:22	Will the price of Solana be above $50 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1,054	100¢	$1,052	0xd8384d…
04-28 00:49:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	1,075	0¢	$2	0x99b632…
04-17 00:38:26	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 17	Yes	BUY	1,084	0¢	$2	0x87e690…
04-14 02:15:27	Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x09bfac…
04-08 01:17:07	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	Yes	BUY	1,084	0¢	$3	0x09581c…
04-06 11:26:55	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd74ebb…
03-29 03:19:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 29	Yes	BUY	1,066	0¢	$2	0x543e00…
03-20 03:44:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 20	Yes	BUY	1,056	0¢	$2	0x00c533…
03-09 02:34:53	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	No	BUY	1,094	0¢	$2	0x6a1386…
02-25 02:16:10	ethereum above 1600 on february 25	No	BUY	1,113	0¢	$2	0xe31f2a…
02-18 02:06:53	ethereum above 1700 on february 18	No	BUY	1,095	0¢	$3	0x279ccd…
02-11 01:59:49	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	Yes	BUY	1,106	1¢	$8	0x1963ad…
02-04 05:48:36	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	Yes	BUY	1,095	1¢	$8	0xabe4d8…
02-02 03:50:20	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x924ec4…
01-30 06:52:56	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6d9f8b…
01-29 08:27:42	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5a3bd0…
01-28 03:50:45	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 28	Yes	BUY	1,080	0¢	$1	0xe8f005…
01-26 11:49:31	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x369e0a…
01-20 01:32:28	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3fdbb1…
01-19 02:54:44	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa2ad34…
01-18 01:13:34	ethereum above 3600 on january 18	No	BUY	1,077	100¢	$1,075	0xdd4b3c…
01-17 01:09:10	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 17	No	BUY	1,075	100¢	$1,074	0x81aeea…
01-16 01:41:26	bitcoin above 102k on january 16	No	BUY	1,074	100¢	$1,073	0x590d37…
01-15 01:29:16	bitcoin above 86k on january 15	Yes	BUY	1,073	100¢	$1,072	0x86348b…
01-14 01:32:30	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	No	BUY	1,071	100¢	$1,069	0x006242…
01-13 01:04:41	ethereum above 3500 on january 13	No	BUY	1,069	100¢	$1,068	0x0d05d0…
01-12 02:16:34	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 12	No	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,067	0x3da88b…
01-11 02:28:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 11	No	BUY	1,067	100¢	$1,066	0x7df768…
01-10 01:56:30	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 10	No	BUY	1,066	100¢	$1,065	0x4c1754…
01-09 05:20:06	will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 9	No	BUY	1,064	100¢	$1,063	0xf12728…
01-02 01:14:49	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 2	Yes	BUY	1,072	0¢	$1	0x88f2ec…
01-02 01:13:19	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 2	Yes	BUY	1,070	0¢	$1	0x6c672a…
01-02 01:11:11	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 2	Yes	BUY	1,071	0¢	$1	0xf904c0…
01-02 01:09:57	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 2	Yes	BUY	1,070	0¢	$1	0x1ab831…
01-02 01:08:11	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 2	Yes	BUY	1,071	0¢	$1	0x02312a…