Gregarious-Toque — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

155

lifetime

Volume

$1.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 05-22 15:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

56% 75% $-0

Politics

35% — —

Tech

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	4	$160	81	81	+0	open	—	02-12 18:30
trump out as president by march 31	4	$154	78	78	+0	open	—	03-23 16:39
will albin kurti be the next prime minister of kosovo	2	$119	61	61	+0	open	—	02-12 14:35
gpt 5pt5 released by april 22 2026	2	$76	38	38	+0	open	—	04-22 19:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$72	36	36	+0	open	—	04-23 05:37
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$72	36	36	+0	open	—	04-23 05:20
howard lutnick out as secretary of commerce by march 31	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	03-30 16:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-21 09:09
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-22 20:23
us ambassador to poland out by march 31	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	03-28 17:07
karoline leavitt out by march 31	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	03-27 08:46
will trump cut off trade with spain	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-23 05:38
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-01 13:17
will the south australian labor party win the most seats in the next south australian parliamentary election	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	03-12 12:53
will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-12 12:29
will manfred reyes villa win the 2026 cochabamba mayoral election 983	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-07 13:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	03-22 05:58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	04-22 18:35
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	4	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	02-23 15:06
will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-27 15:43
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-17 05:11
nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-07 14:08
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-22 15:26
epl ast bre 2026 02 01 ast	4	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	02-01 16:31
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	02-11 18:37
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	03-14 13:29
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-28 17:08
unty quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 10 2026 1pt37	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-10 07:13
lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 17 2026 0pt59	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	02-13 13:25
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	02-01 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 15:26:48	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x71027a…
05-21 13:36:39	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0x376288…
05-07 04:38:08	Will Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9b1ec9…
05-02 19:31:42	Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5a40bd…
05-02 14:49:12	Will Yelp (YELP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x631d60…
05-02 14:49:00	Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xcbc452…
05-02 14:48:12	Will eToro (ETOR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa8f6a7…
04-30 19:14:24	Will Marketaxess (MKTX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf79d07…
04-30 19:13:32	Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xfdafac…
04-24 18:47:58	Will Pfizer (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6a408a…
04-23 05:37:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xdec0fa…
04-23 05:24:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x2111a6…
04-23 05:20:12	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x3caee3…
04-23 05:10:30	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x093845…
04-22 20:29:50	Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd49dc0…
04-22 20:29:14	Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x537e89…
04-22 20:23:10	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0x413fd5…
04-22 19:59:34	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x023b5b…
04-22 19:56:44	gpt 5pt5 released by april 22 2026	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xc28312…
04-22 19:03:20	gpt 5pt5 released by april 22 2026	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xd68eaa…
04-22 18:35:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x529add…
04-21 18:15:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xaefff9…
04-21 12:09:50	hal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 21 2026 0pt51	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x708c31…
04-21 09:09:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x435ca6…
04-21 08:59:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x92cfff…
04-21 08:50:58	unh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 21 2026 6pt67	Yes	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x4de0a6…
04-16 15:28:54	ubsi quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 0pt85	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x051e29…
04-16 15:28:28	axp quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 3pt99	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xce16d4…
04-10 07:13:27	unty quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 10 2026 1pt37	Yes	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0xaa93c1…
04-08 15:44:15	will google be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 661	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5a28a9…
04-08 15:43:37	cof quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 21 2026 4pt69	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x52e085…
04-08 15:43:27	cfg quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 16 2026 1pt09	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x766507…
04-08 15:42:51	hal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 21 2026 0pt51	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xfde923…
04-08 15:42:35	unh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 21 2026 6pt67	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x01ecfc…
04-07 14:40:09	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x699387…
04-07 14:38:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xcd98a0…
04-01 13:17:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x0305a1…
03-31 18:18:55	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x09c609…
03-31 18:17:29	jnj quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 14 2026 2pt68	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8837e9…
03-31 18:16:47	jpm quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 14 2026 5pt43	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x62a04a…
03-31 18:16:29	c quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 14 2026 2pt6	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd3335f…
03-31 18:16:21	unty quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 10 2026 1pt37	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x33c027…
03-30 19:49:13	will leavitt say easter during the next white house press briefing	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x92c682…
03-30 16:24:25	Will Trump say "Disgusting" in April?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe5e793…
03-30 16:22:51	Will Trump say "Jesus" in April?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1b538a…
03-30 16:22:17	will leavitt say easter during the next white house press briefing	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe43076…
03-30 16:16:27	msm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt84	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x8c7384…
03-30 16:15:53	unty quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 10 2026 1pt37	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4d5b34…
03-30 16:15:11	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf05155…
03-30 16:13:07	howard lutnick out as secretary of commerce by march 31	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xd1b554…
03-28 17:09:53	howard lutnick out as secretary of commerce by march 31	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x665640…
03-28 17:08:03	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xea9de4…
03-28 17:07:25	will beinir johannesen be the next lgmaur of the faroe islands following the 2026 faroese general election	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x97d9df…
03-28 17:07:17	us ambassador to poland out by march 31	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x6cd06a…
03-27 08:58:05	us ambassador to poland out by march 31	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x087925…
03-27 08:46:17	karoline leavitt out by march 31	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x93689e…
03-27 08:26:07	karoline leavitt out by march 31	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xef184d…
03-23 17:16:47	will trump say border 7 times during memphis roundtable 239	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbeb24b…
03-23 16:39:35	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xd3574c…
03-23 16:21:57	will melania say husband or trump during fostering the future together event on march 24	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x208f9d…
03-23 16:19:37	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x29d380…
03-23 16:13:47	will trump say obliterated or obliteration or obliterating or obliterate during memphis roundtable 531	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xec3950…
03-23 16:12:51	will trump say border 7 times during memphis roundtable 239	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x708b9e…
03-23 05:38:35	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xad528a…
03-23 05:22:57	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf5fb60…
03-23 05:13:33	will green left win the second most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7a8a42…
03-23 05:13:09	will beinir johannesen be the next lgmaur of the faroe islands following the 2026 faroese general election	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf4cbe5…
03-22 05:58:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x28a91a…
03-22 05:16:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x7ea889…
03-22 05:15:19	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x70ca61…
03-20 17:49:45	will trump say charlie kirk in march	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x71f45d…
03-20 17:46:53	will trump say oil during memphis roundtable 567	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc24600…
03-18 19:38:05	five quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 4	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf92838…
03-17 05:11:37	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xb60be0…
03-15 07:26:01	will cristian sanabria win the 2026 sucre mayoral election	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x4f146f…
03-14 13:29:55	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x3128e6…
03-14 13:29:45	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x6253f1…
03-12 12:53:05	will the south australian labor party win the most seats in the next south australian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x75d804…
03-12 12:52:13	will dialogue for hungary prbeszd win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd96544…
03-12 12:38:01	will the south australian labor party win the most seats in the next south australian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6c63cb…
03-12 12:37:29	m quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 05 2026 1pt55	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x28bccf…
03-12 12:37:03	wb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 0pt32	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc6aa9e…
03-12 12:36:43	five quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 4	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x79ee86…
03-12 12:36:25	aso quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 17 2026 2pt05	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd35d86…
03-12 12:36:05	pxlw quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 12 2026 neg0pt64	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x130cd5…
03-12 12:32:11	dg quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 12 2026 1pt61	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x92b129…
03-10 12:54:11	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xff96d2…
03-10 12:53:03	will openai have the best ai model for math on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x714c91…
03-07 14:16:35	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9edf6c…
03-07 14:08:39	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x94550e…
03-07 13:28:55	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9e065a…
03-07 13:10:23	will manfred reyes villa win the 2026 cochabamba mayoral election 983	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x03b3fb…
03-07 12:58:41	will manfred reyes villa win the 2026 cochabamba mayoral election 983	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4a5479…
03-07 12:58:03	will cr win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xcbc260…
03-07 12:49:57	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x98dde0…
03-07 12:22:51	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xe24cc8…
03-05 16:21:41	will openai have the best ai model for math on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb992d3…
03-05 16:08:19	cpb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 04 2026 0pt57	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbc6444…
03-05 16:07:23	casy quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 09 2026 2pt92	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x942750…
03-05 16:06:59	dg quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 12 2026 1pt61	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xd664f8…