Pessimistic-Microwave — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

48.2%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

8 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$572

$572 lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

$365

1 position

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-15 07:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

99% — —

Crypto

1% 33% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No		+390	$362	94¢	$365	+$3	05-13 09:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$565	500	110	+390	open	—	05-13 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Down	+$1	05-13 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	$-2	05-11 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-15 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-11 18:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 07:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x52900e…
05-13 11:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xff1eec…
05-13 09:44:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	109	92¢	$100	0x598565…
05-13 09:42:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	387	94¢	$364	0xfda154…
05-11 20:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x1b5d71…
05-11 18:57:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x9fce9a…
05-11 18:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd201ad…
05-11 18:31:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xb334ab…