Next-Exposure — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1.28K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.6%

Resolved (90d)

1,177

Trades (90d)

1,445

12,613 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$59.3K

$254.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 10-25 13:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 152 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 81% -$2,810

Other

6% 70% -$394

Sports

1% 72% +$611

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 349 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 6pm et	1	$799	800	+800	Up	+$1	07-26 22:50
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-26 20:00 UTC	2	$799	800	+800	Up	+$1	07-26 23:25
bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 9pm et	1	$799	800	+800	Up	+$1	07-30 01:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 22:00 UTC	1	$798	800	+800	Up	+$2	07-26 22:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 22:30 UTC	13	$792	800	+800	Down	+$8	07-27 22:41
bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 10pm et	2	$792	800	+800	Down	+$8	07-30 02:57
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-28 00:00 UTC	1	$790	800	+800	Down	+$10	07-28 03:05
bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 9pm et	1	$790	800	+800	Down	+$10	07-28 01:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 13:30 UTC	1	$790	800	+800	Up	+$10	07-27 13:38
ethereum up or down july 30 2026 2pm et	3	$599	600	+600	Down	+$1	07-30 19:00
ethereum up or down july 29 2026 10am et	7	$599	600	+600	Down	+$1	07-29 19:03
Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 9PM ET	2	$599	600	+600	Down	+$1	07-29 02:08
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 01:00 UTC	1	$599	600	+600	Up	+$1	07-31 01:08
bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 1pm et	1	$599	600	+600	Up	+$1	07-31 17:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 06:30 UTC	1	$599	600	+600	Down	+$1	07-31 06:42
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 13:30 UTC	4	$599	600	+600	Down	+$1	07-31 13:34
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 01:45 UTC	1	$599	600	+600	Down	+$1	07-31 01:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 03:15 UTC	1	$599	600	+600	Up	+$1	07-31 03:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 01:30 UTC	1	$599	600	+600	Down	+$1	07-31 01:40
ethereum up or down july 30 2026 4am et	1	$599	600	+600	Up	+$1	07-30 08:45
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-27 04:00 UTC	1	$599	600	+600	Up	+$1	07-27 07:47
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 22:00 UTC	1	$599	600	+600	Up	+$1	07-30 22:10
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-29 20:00 UTC	1	$599	600	+600	Up	+$1	07-29 23:46
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 12:00 UTC	3	$599	600	+600	Down	+$1	07-31 12:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 21:15 UTC	1	$599	600	+600	Up	+$1	07-26 21:25
ethereum up or down july 26 2026 1pm et	2	$599	600	+600	Down	+$1	07-26 17:56
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-27 16:00 UTC	1	$599	600	+600	Up	+$1	07-27 19:41
ethereum up or down july 29 2026 8am et	1	$599	600	+600	Down	+$1	07-29 12:50
ethereum up or down july 29 2026 8pm et	1	$599	600	+600	Down	+$1	07-30 00:45
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-27 00:00 UTC	1	$599	600	+600	Down	+$1	07-27 03:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 13:47:02	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	111	47¢	$52	0x85c51b…
10-25 11:32:08	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	125	48¢	$60	0xea57e6…
10-24 00:51:32	Canadiens vs. Blackhawks	Blackhawks	BUY	161	42¢	$68	0x3f10ab…
10-23 15:40:57	Lightning vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	115	61¢	$70	0x764f00…
10-21 23:03:27	Panthers vs. Senators	Senators	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0xb49928…
10-21 23:02:45	Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5	Under	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x8642a4…
10-21 14:52:23	Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)	Sporting CP	BUY	98	56¢	$55	0xa311a1…
10-21 14:52:03	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	102	44¢	$45	0xef8596…
10-20 22:28:39	Lightning vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x171e58…
10-20 22:27:33	Avalanche vs. Devils	Devils	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x9feae7…
10-20 22:27:23	Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets	Blue Jackets	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x43e712…
10-20 22:27:09	Kings vs. Capitals	Capitals	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x735ea6…
10-20 08:31:07	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	389	62¢	$241	0xbb1918…
10-20 08:30:22	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	111	63¢	$70	0x5640bf…
10-20 08:30:05	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	111	63¢	$70	0xc58600…
10-19 19:26:33	Ducks vs. Rangers	Rangers	BUY	424	59¢	$250	0x2fa6d8…
10-18 18:51:23	Blue Jackets vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	400	63¢	$252	0x3bd8ec…
10-17 10:50:57	Devils vs. Capitals	Capitals	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x797d21…
10-17 10:50:54	Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x7fab6f…
10-17 10:45:15	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x799ac7…
10-17 10:45:00	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xb6b6c0…
10-17 00:13:38	Bruins vs. Ducks	Bruins	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x00f238…
10-15 21:27:20	nhl nyi ott 2026 10 15	Senators	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x65de98…
10-15 21:26:53	Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)	Golden Knights	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x977393…
10-15 21:25:29	Rangers vs. Devils: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0x84ed6b…
10-15 15:46:25	uel ben cel 2026 10 15 spread home 1pt5	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	BUY	94	64¢	$60	0xbd34c9…
10-15 15:45:19	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0x9b1e67…
10-15 15:45:01	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	88	68¢	$60	0xa03efd…
10-14 12:37:06	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xc74750…
10-14 12:36:45	ucl lin2 liv 2026 10 14 spread away 1pt5	Liverpool FC	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xeac536…
10-13 18:04:52	FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0x3d9f15…
10-13 18:00:10	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0x3c8b1f…
10-13 17:59:58	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	111	54¢	$60	0x3f0257…
10-13 17:58:49	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x1bfa3b…
10-13 16:04:54	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0x043b44…
10-12 20:27:51	Senators vs. Devils	Senators	BUY	52	49¢	$25	0x020eaa…
10-12 15:28:54	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x9680fd…
10-11 20:21:25	Kraken vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x862f75…
10-11 20:14:10	Canucks vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x8a2572…
10-11 10:30:11	KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. SKA St. Petersburg	SKA St. Petersburg	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xcf1baf…
10-11 10:29:35	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	93	56¢	$52	0xe8d174…
10-11 10:29:18	Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xd81eff…
10-10 22:52:49	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xa20ce0…
10-10 22:15:24	Wild vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	52	46¢	$24	0xa37d88…
10-10 21:20:16	Lightning vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x5cb391…
10-10 21:19:45	Lightning vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	104	50¢	$52	0xbacf19…
10-10 20:34:34	Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xed6c95…
10-10 16:33:00	Flyers vs. Bruins	Bruins	BUY	98	58¢	$57	0x3955c0…
10-10 16:32:31	Will PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0x039132…
10-10 16:30:36	Flyers vs. Bruins	Bruins	BUY	107	58¢	$62	0x72ffdf…
10-10 15:44:51	Will FK Zenit win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x08bd5a…
10-10 15:41:37	Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xdc163e…
10-10 15:40:58	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xbca8de…
10-10 15:38:37	Will PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x97d353…
10-10 15:36:27	Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xe674a2…
10-10 14:40:33	Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	46	72¢	$33	0x87162a…
10-10 14:40:18	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	62	37¢	$23	0xc110ec…
10-10 11:44:15	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	108	63¢	$68	0xd3b070…
10-09 14:49:48	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xb046e1…
10-09 08:27:15	Rangers vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	156	53¢	$83	0x923285…
10-08 20:09:30	Blackhawks vs. Islanders	Islanders	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x6f61e0…
10-08 20:09:17	Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	103	62¢	$64	0x596676…
10-08 20:08:41	Wild vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	123	57¢	$70	0x89d0b3…
10-01 18:36:02	Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	121	83¢	$101	0x3c9f7b…
10-01 18:29:57	Spread: Germany (-1.5)	Germany	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x1fcd62…
09-03 22:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x56cf9a…
09-03 22:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x66ddc0…
08-24 20:52:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xc7767e…
08-24 20:52:58	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x3aec90…
08-24 20:52:55	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x8dffe2…
08-24 20:52:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x02ae0a…
08-24 20:49:31	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xa5a1f4…
08-24 20:49:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x09648a…
08-24 20:48:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x10b388…
08-24 20:48:48	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x3c20d1…
08-24 20:48:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x670d38…
08-24 20:44:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x285d04…
08-24 20:43:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x10d73b…
08-24 20:42:39	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x47e5aa…
08-24 20:42:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x1680e4…
08-24 20:42:27	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xbb7653…
08-24 20:37:43	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x37078a…
08-24 20:37:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x24c81d…
08-24 20:37:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x1d092f…
08-24 20:36:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xf25740…
08-24 20:36:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x6de56b…
08-24 20:36:06	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xe5ee5f…
08-24 20:36:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x849288…
08-24 20:33:46	XRP Up or Down - August 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x525a18…
08-24 20:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf6de3a…
08-24 20:33:43	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x268be5…
08-24 20:33:42	BNB Up or Down - August 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x0c6067…
08-24 20:33:40	Solana Up or Down - August 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x679759…
08-24 20:28:45	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xd24743…
08-24 20:27:42	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x9cd432…
08-24 20:27:39	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x006c4a…
08-24 20:27:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x2c02d9…
08-24 20:27:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x715bc0…
08-24 20:27:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x6da83f…
08-24 20:26:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x6ac184…