Alert-Aftershave — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$185

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 08-02 11:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

73% 78% +$552

Politics

22% 24% $-357

Crypto

5% 40% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will spy reach 780 in june 2026	2	$1.1K	758	758	+0	No	+$105	06-04 06:26
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	2	$1.0K	649	649	+0	No	+$1	05-19 14:09
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	9	$882	743	743	+0	Yes	$-20	04-16 13:55
will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	2	$671	431	431	+0	No	+$71	06-15 11:02
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	2	$667	443	443	+0	No	+$67	05-28 15:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$541	0	845	-845	open	—	06-02 09:35
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$447	234	234	+0	No	+$21	04-16 05:47
will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	2	$432	241	241	+0	No	+$32	06-29 17:00
will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	2	$419	233	233	+0	No	+$19	07-13 19:38
uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 total 4pt5	2	$309	213	209	+3	Over	+$113	04-16 21:00
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$272	179	177	+3	Yes	+$84	04-08 21:02
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in June?	2	$256	233	233	+0	Yes	+$56	06-03 14:25
fif ger gha 2026 03 30 total 2pt5	2	$252	152	152	+0	Over	+$52	03-30 20:59
col az shd 2026 04 16 total 1pt5	2	$250	152	150	+2	Over	+$51	04-16 20:04
will spy reach 770 in june 2026	3	$242	200	343	-143	No	+$42	06-17 19:28
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	2	$231	133	133	+0	No	+$31	03-29 19:31
euroleague madrid efes 2026 03 26	2	$219	119	119	+0	Real Madrid	+$19	03-26 21:43
will spy dip to 720 in august 2026	1	$200	290	0	+290	open	—	08-02 11:52
will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	1	$200	274	0	+274	No	+$74	07-13 22:35
euroleague baskonia aviv 2026 03 27	2	$199	143	143	+0	Saski Baskonia	$-1	03-27 12:53
fif col fra 2026 03 29 total 3pt5	2	$139	89	89	+0	Over	+$39	03-29 20:47
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$132	96	96	+0	Yes	$-18	04-07 21:15
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$111	95	95	+0	Yes	$-9	04-07 20:16
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	2	$107	104	104	+0	No	+$7	03-28 21:37
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 28 2026	1	$100	111	0	+111	No	$-100	03-28 16:44
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	1	$100	164	0	+164	Yes	$-100	07-31 14:54
euroleague aviv1 bologna 2026 04 16	1	$100	166	0	+166	Virtus Bologna	$-100	04-16 19:05
dfb stu scf 2026 04 23 total 1pt5	1	$100	135	0	+135	Over	+$35	04-23 20:15
FC København vs. Vejle BK: O/U 1.5	1	$100	143	0	+143	Over	+$43	04-27 18:25
elc mid swe 2026 04 21 total 1pt5	1	$100	122	0	+122	Under	$-100	04-22 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 11:52:00	will spy dip to 720 in august 2026	No	BUY	290	69¢	$200	0x69381c…
08-01 17:06:29	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	123	41¢	$50	0xd31008…
07-31 14:54:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xf62ae3…
07-13 22:35:31	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	No	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0xebd709…
07-13 19:38:16	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	No	SELL	233	94¢	$219	0xc6053b…
07-12 19:00:22	nor sar vik 2026 07 12 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x1068bb…
07-02 14:30:56	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	No	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0xee14e8…
06-29 17:00:58	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	241	96¢	$232	0x6d1de1…
06-24 16:01:35	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0xd2d921…
06-17 19:28:55	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	143	14¢	$20	0x112866…
06-15 11:02:03	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	431	86¢	$371	0x9bcc5f…
06-09 13:41:46	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	BUY	431	70¢	$300	0x1bad1a…
06-05 05:11:06	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x5a798e…
06-04 23:09:22	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x27518e…
06-04 06:26:33	will spy reach 780 in june 2026	No	SELL	758	80¢	$605	0xc42671…
06-03 14:25:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in June?	Yes	SELL	233	67¢	$156	0xcc3cb3…
06-02 09:39:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?	No	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0x8c2c73…
06-02 09:37:07	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in June?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x65ae4a…
06-02 09:35:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	845	64¢	$541	0x3e4312…
05-28 15:32:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	SELL	443	83¢	$367	0x684197…
05-19 14:09:56	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	SELL	649	77¢	$501	0x13e825…
05-13 21:33:41	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	BUY	443	68¢	$300	0x59ec9f…
05-13 21:30:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	BUY	649	77¢	$500	0xe5ffa6…
05-04 17:32:50	FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x6db0ec…
04-27 18:25:54	FC København vs. Vejle BK: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x37afbc…
04-26 13:22:24	FC Fredericia vs. Odense BK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x24755a…
04-23 20:15:16	dfb stu scf 2026 04 23 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xc4f0ce…
04-22 19:59:26	elc mid swe 2026 04 21 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x535e88…
04-19 13:14:20	den sif fcf 2026 04 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x5013a2…
04-16 21:00:34	uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	209	100¢	$209	0xadcb03…
04-16 20:05:48	uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x29ddbc…
04-16 20:04:56	col az shd 2026 04 16 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x6548db…
04-16 19:05:08	euroleague aviv1 bologna 2026 04 16	Maccabi Tel Aviv	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0x4779c0…
04-16 17:15:26	col az shd 2026 04 16 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xdd14eb…
04-16 13:55:24	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	355	67¢	$236	0xc5f615…
04-16 11:00:50	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	355	66¢	$234	0xcdebfc…
04-16 05:47:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	234	100¢	$234	0x5daa13…
04-14 15:34:47	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	234	91¢	$213	0xb68dc1…
04-08 21:54:55	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	No	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0xec0e10…
04-08 21:02:43	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	SELL	177	100¢	$177	0xbe3109…
04-08 18:20:19	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	179	53¢	$95	0x7fe4d5…
04-08 18:16:13	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	149	63¢	$94	0xe1b74b…
04-08 07:43:47	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0xe8735e…
04-08 07:37:23	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0x9d641e…
04-08 07:26:51	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	97	45¢	$43	0x16bd12…
04-08 07:03:45	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	97	52¢	$50	0xd32de6…
04-07 23:27:55	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	143	40¢	$57	0xe74108…
04-07 22:56:05	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x50c1be…
04-07 21:15:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	80	56¢	$45	0x58c98f…
04-07 20:16:55	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	95	54¢	$51	0x3d345c…
04-04 17:42:43	houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	No	SELL	83	25¢	$21	0x101f3e…
04-03 08:26:15	houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	No	BUY	83	72¢	$60	0x6a9ba9…
04-01 21:05:07	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	Yes	SELL	131	8¢	$11	0x031761…
03-31 08:39:31	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	Yes	BUY	131	38¢	$50	0x0551d6…
03-30 22:01:19	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 30 2026 933	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x152326…
03-30 20:59:05	fif ger gha 2026 03 30 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	152	100¢	$152	0x59433f…
03-30 19:39:13	fif ger gha 2026 03 30 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xec434f…
03-30 15:33:27	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0xfe136b…
03-30 12:53:34	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 30 2026 933	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x5a1b4b…
03-29 20:47:06	fif col fra 2026 03 29 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x72af9f…
03-29 20:05:44	fif col fra 2026 03 29 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xa6fc71…
03-29 19:31:28	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	SELL	133	98¢	$131	0xa25887…
03-29 05:49:10	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	80	81¢	$65	0x984f98…
03-28 21:37:24	will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	Yes	SELL	104	55¢	$57	0x9a5ab6…
03-28 20:47:00	will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x50a63a…
03-28 19:34:18	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0xcc7b79…
03-28 16:44:13	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 28 2026	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xff6930…
03-27 12:56:03	btc updown 5m 1774616100	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6c63fc…
03-27 12:53:29	euroleague baskonia aviv 2026 03 27	Hapoel Tel Aviv	SELL	143	69¢	$99	0xf859ea…
03-27 11:46:31	euroleague baskonia aviv 2026 03 27	Hapoel Tel Aviv	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x324cad…
03-27 09:11:05	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 26 2026	Yes	SELL	23	17¢	$4	0x7b05e7…
03-27 00:23:51	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 26 2026	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x4ffb72…
03-26 21:43:43	euroleague madrid efes 2026 03 26	Real Madrid	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x4d4823…
03-26 21:43:29	uef ita nir 2026 03 26 ita	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xb06726…
03-26 19:22:53	uef ita nir 2026 03 26 ita	Yes	BUY	41	79¢	$32	0xf3261c…
03-26 19:20:49	uef tur rom 2026 03 26 tur	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x0ca7db…
03-26 16:52:41	euroleague madrid efes 2026 03 26	Real Madrid	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xe591e3…
03-26 16:25:33	uef tur rom 2026 03 26 tur	Yes	BUY	33	67¢	$22	0xfce7ba…
03-26 16:18:03	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	Yes	SELL	64	33¢	$21	0xcdc3d8…
03-25 22:51:19	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	144	18¢	$26	0xc568c8…
03-25 15:56:53	will iran strike jordan again in march	Yes	SELL	59	44¢	$26	0xcca4e7…
03-25 12:32:53	will iran strike jordan again in march	Yes	BUY	59	49¢	$29	0xece782…
03-25 08:55:31	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	60	49¢	$29	0xfd010b…
03-25 07:56:11	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0xd04510…
03-24 23:56:23	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xfc02f4…
03-24 06:27:37	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	Yes	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0x89919b…
03-24 00:25:27	will iran strike lebanon in march	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xdf4606…
03-23 23:46:15	will iran strike jordan again in march	No	SELL	16	61¢	$10	0x4ba49d…
03-23 23:45:29	will iran strike lebanon in march	No	SELL	42	16¢	$7	0xb166cc…
03-23 23:38:51	will iran strike lebanon in march	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xedc394…
03-23 22:15:43	will iran strike jordan again in march	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x890322…
03-23 22:11:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x244a2e…
03-23 22:07:51	btc updown 5m 1774303500	Down	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x9e4c9f…
03-23 22:06:21	btc updown 5m 1774303500	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3a99be…
03-23 22:05:49	btc updown 5m 1774303500	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4d0d7c…
03-23 21:56:51	btc updown 5m 1774302900	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe50f00…
03-23 21:51:21	btc updown 5m 1774302600	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xcf87da…
03-23 21:48:53	btc updown 5m 1774302300	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8dee52…