Worn-Conformation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$387

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.3%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$4.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-10 12:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

66% — —

Politics

29% 25% +$399

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	5	$882	611	611	+0	open	—	05-27 15:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	5	$869	1,943	1,943	+0	Yes	+$429	05-09 05:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	4	$548	696	696	+0	open	—	05-29 22:07
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	3	$341	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-06 09:08
James Comey arrested by April 29?	5	$328	437	437	+0	open	—	04-29 17:22
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	6	$171	2,083	2,083	+0	open	—	05-11 19:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$138	204	204	+0	open	—	05-06 09:47
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	3	$114	508	508	+0	open	—	05-12 19:09
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	2	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	05-15 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$99	114	0	+114	open	—	05-03 00:58
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$84	156	156	+0	open	—	05-14 06:01
will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	1	$81	141	0	+141	open	—	06-10 12:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$58	160	160	+0	No	$-12	05-05 15:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$58	38	38	+0	open	—	04-30 05:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$53	255	255	+0	Yes	$-3	05-05 15:05
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	3	$51	144	0	+144	open	—	05-09 08:15
Will Trump say "Melania" or "First Lady" at The Villages on May 1?	2	$45	31	31	+0	open	—	05-01 21:55
Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 10+ times in Michigan?	3	$43	63	63	+0	open	—	05-03 20:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	4	$40	68	68	+0	open	—	04-28 17:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$37	610	610	+0	open	—	05-08 21:51
Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" at The Villages on May 1?	2	$35	82	82	+0	open	—	05-01 21:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	2	$29	43	42	+1	open	—	04-28 13:33
James Comey arrested by May 15?	2	$29	71	71	+0	open	—	04-29 09:14
Will King Charles say "Parliament" during the joint meeting of Congress?	2	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	04-28 19:49
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	1	$22	33	0	+33	open	—	05-18 05:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	2	$21	88	88	+0	open	—	04-30 05:06
Will Bernie Sanders say "Data Center" in Michigan?	3	$20	77	77	+0	open	—	05-03 20:36
Will King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?	1	$20	35	0	+35	open	—	04-28 15:35
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx	1	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	04-28 16:04
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of April?	2	$18	25	25	+0	open	—	04-28 13:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 12:44:19	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	141	57¢	$81	0x421eae…
06-10 12:37:15	btc updown 5m 1781094900	Down	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0xa6c5fb…
06-09 08:02:00	btc updown 5m 1780992000	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x61bda1…
06-06 09:08:58	israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 7	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$21	0xe4927c…
05-30 17:19:18	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	BUY	995	32¢	$318	0xfb27bf…
05-30 14:41:41	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd8e67d…
05-29 22:07:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	386	1¢	$3	0x7e1579…
05-29 15:50:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	386	39¢	$150	0x7ff9b2…
05-28 08:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x1265f8…
05-27 15:36:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	526	98¢	$514	0xa74132…
05-21 13:46:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	526	51¢	$269	0x12528b…
05-21 06:36:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	310	79¢	$245	0xa40012…
05-19 15:05:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 19?	No	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0x617acb…
05-18 20:45:28	Will Trump say "Autism" during Healthcare Affordability Events?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x95dfb7…
05-18 20:45:23	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Healthcare Affordability Events?	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x0040ed…
05-18 19:10:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	45	59¢	$27	0x0aa952…
05-18 05:59:34	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	33	67¢	$22	0x42aa5d…
05-17 14:33:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	40	57¢	$23	0x0d4397…
05-17 14:27:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	85	58¢	$50	0x70ce38…
05-17 12:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x13ec0f…
05-17 12:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x07203f…
05-15 21:21:14	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xcff5d3…
05-15 16:57:27	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x065d92…
05-15 08:13:23	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xfb4aa9…
05-14 22:09:14	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x8b032f…
05-14 06:01:29	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	156	22¢	$34	0xf98829…
05-12 19:09:42	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	508	7¢	$37	0x0ee288…
05-12 10:59:58	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x7c4e14…
05-11 20:03:32	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	Yes	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xef828f…
05-11 19:49:35	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	1,006	6¢	$61	0xdfede3…
05-11 17:05:49	Will Trump say "World Cup" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	Yes	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0xb9961b…
05-11 14:05:24	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	147	2¢	$2	0xf21e8f…
05-11 09:29:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	310	48¢	$150	0x20dea6…
05-10 18:25:50	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	859	1¢	$12	0xb5035a…
05-09 22:40:55	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	1,077	4¢	$40	0x81c8cd…
05-09 11:01:56	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0x90bc8f…
05-09 08:15:53	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	No	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xd7ecda…
05-09 07:32:40	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	No	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x1163c3…
05-09 06:14:49	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	No	BUY	60	35¢	$21	0x00425e…
05-09 05:29:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	605	100¢	$604	0x579832…
05-08 21:51:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	610	3¢	$18	0xf07eb0…
05-08 21:39:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	610	3¢	$19	0x20bdd7…
05-08 19:22:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	605	25¢	$150	0x420da5…
05-08 12:31:28	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	244	20¢	$50	0xb4c7aa…
05-08 08:17:26	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	417	16¢	$67	0x7d0c5b…
05-08 07:43:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,338	3¢	$45	0x43f0e2…
05-07 18:34:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	488	4¢	$20	0x736188…
05-06 09:47:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	204	25¢	$51	0x8aa3ea…
05-05 19:48:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	851	6¢	$50	0x4c96e7…
05-05 15:05:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	255	10¢	$25	0x377a43…
05-05 15:04:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	60	18¢	$11	0xc66da5…
05-04 13:27:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x1ce81d…
05-04 07:16:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x7f3ba6…
05-03 20:50:38	Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 10+ times in Michigan?	Yes	SELL	31	24¢	$8	0x5b5190…
05-03 20:50:24	Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 10+ times in Michigan?	Yes	SELL	31	35¢	$11	0x496a0b…
05-03 20:36:38	Will Bernie Sanders say "Data Center" in Michigan?	Yes	SELL	70	6¢	$4	0xcace71…
05-03 20:28:50	Will Bernie Sanders say "Data Center" in Michigan?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x5dc048…
05-03 20:16:10	Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 10+ times in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0xdfa4ff…
05-03 20:11:18	Will Bernie Sanders say "Data Center" in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	77	20¢	$15	0x520ef5…
05-03 00:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	92	97¢	$89	0x2e4360…
05-03 00:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x8c80b9…
05-02 14:28:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	88	42¢	$37	0xfbb4eb…
05-02 12:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x196fd8…
05-02 12:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x1b68d4…
05-02 08:32:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x6897db…
05-02 08:31:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x1e7971…
05-01 21:55:48	Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	SELL	82	0¢	$0	0xb33ce5…
05-01 21:55:16	Will Trump say "Melania" or "First Lady" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$30	0x827e32…
05-01 15:16:06	Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	82	43¢	$35	0x2a3786…
05-01 10:02:08	Will Trump say "Melania" or "First Lady" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x6de3de…
04-30 08:49:28	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	294	1¢	$3	0xaccd52…
04-30 08:45:04	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	235	2¢	$4	0xb8a8c4…
04-30 08:37:36	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x21dc23…
04-30 08:37:28	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x00c90f…
04-30 06:16:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	255	11¢	$28	0x196a1c…
04-30 05:06:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x4c3099…
04-30 05:06:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	SELL	88	12¢	$11	0x25f242…
04-29 20:22:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x5ac50f…
04-29 20:22:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0x457d60…
04-29 19:01:04	Will Powell say "War" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	55	27¢	$15	0x32b935…
04-29 17:22:52	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	SELL	295	97¢	$287	0xef4cfd…
04-29 09:59:36	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	BUY	138	8¢	$11	0x9c32a4…
04-29 09:15:38	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	BUY	157	7¢	$11	0xbc3f11…
04-29 09:15:06	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	SELL	143	6¢	$9	0xd17c55…
04-29 09:14:58	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	SELL	71	19¢	$14	0x5626ba…
04-29 09:14:40	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x89820d…
04-29 09:11:50	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xa8d4cf…
04-28 19:49:08	Will King Charles say "Parliament" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0xb6c036…
04-28 19:49:02	Will King Charles say "NATO" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x41536b…
04-28 17:36:10	Will King Charles say "NATO" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd6c08e…
04-28 17:35:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x340760…
04-28 16:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xcd8197…
04-28 16:04:28	Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xeb0f71…
04-28 15:53:56	Will King Charles say "Parliament" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc1a7a2…
04-28 15:35:36	Will King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x339331…
04-28 14:44:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x1be387…
04-28 13:41:14	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of April?	No	SELL	25	14¢	$4	0xd883ac…
04-28 13:34:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0x7f2af0…
04-28 13:33:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	42	37¢	$16	0xa973ef…
04-28 09:26:46	T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka	Bangladesh	SELL	21	29¢	$6	0xa3682a…