Repulsive-Spending — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.6%

Resolved

240

Trades

2,397

lifetime

Volume

$21.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 06-13 11:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 51% $-11

Politics

32% 0% $-3

Other

5% 0% $-10

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 428 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran leadership change by April 30?	14	$716	2,895	2,895	+0	open	—	04-27 18:02
iran closes its airspace by june 15	9	$628	929	929	+0	open	—	06-07 20:51
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	7	$591	665	679	-14	open	—	04-27 18:02
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?	7	$569	1,243	1,243	+0	open	—	04-16 10:46
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	2	$401	8,698	8,698	+0	open	—	04-12 15:58
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	20	$398	442	442	+0	open	—	04-13 14:38
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 18corhigher	3	$387	510	0	+510	open	—	04-16 22:42
military action against iran ends by april 30 2026 239	8	$351	8,683	8,683	+0	open	—	04-12 20:18
Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?	10	$349	5,021	5,021	+0	open	—	04-12 16:52
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	4	$348	493	211	+282	open	—	04-16 13:45
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	4	$320	612	612	+0	open	—	04-15 15:09
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	7	$306	2,166	2,166	+0	open	—	04-13 19:55
houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	2	$299	233	233	+0	open	—	04-04 19:20
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$245	751	0	+751	open	—	06-13 11:23
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	4	$200	493	493	+0	open	—	04-19 22:43
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	4	$200	380	380	+0	Yes	$-8	04-16 16:01
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	3	$166	167	162	+4	open	—	04-15 20:58
Military action against Iran ends by April 18, 2026?	6	$134	3,887	3,887	+0	open	—	04-12 17:23
Military action against Iran ends by April 27, 2026?	6	$128	3,786	3,786	+0	open	—	04-12 16:51
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?	14	$124	3,401	3,401	+0	open	—	04-12 20:17
highest temperature in seoul on april 18 2026 21corhigher	2	$102	79	78	+1	open	—	04-16 13:45
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$101	119	119	+0	open	—	04-16 10:54
military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	3	$100	2,175	12	+2,164	open	—	04-12 18:43
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$94	201	201	+0	open	—	04-16 22:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$89	175	175	+0	open	—	04-15 12:30
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	2	$87	58	58	+0	open	—	04-04 19:21
us x iran ceasefire by april 10	3	$76	4,654	0	+4,654	open	—	04-07 23:31
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$75	266	266	+0	open	—	04-04 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	28	$71	87	55	+32	open	—	05-03 23:43
btc updown 5m 1776017400	6	$68	88	84	+4	open	—	04-12 18:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 11:23:33	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	220	10¢	$22	0xe5a04e…
06-10 20:58:27	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	531	42¢	$223	0x92b6be…
06-07 20:51:36	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	259	86¢	$222	0xae6a5f…
06-07 19:02:01	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xd5b878…
06-07 19:01:52	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0xa59195…
06-07 19:00:57	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	89	44¢	$39	0x4a809e…
06-07 19:00:18	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	89	47¢	$42	0x0af531…
06-07 16:14:00	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	233	18¢	$42	0xd34e77…
06-07 14:27:04	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	233	12¢	$28	0xaac404…
06-07 06:35:21	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	348	7¢	$24	0x13ffdd…
06-02 23:22:08	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	348	23¢	$80	0x022a2d…
05-15 08:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0x92b72d…
05-15 08:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xc35137…
05-15 08:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$2	0x659fc5…
05-15 08:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x3b0f9a…
05-15 07:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x8c8c08…
05-15 07:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xe20598…
05-15 07:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xc6f3ad…
05-15 07:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x56f04d…
05-15 07:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x0ee081…
05-15 07:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xab389b…
05-15 07:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x6e8b1c…
05-15 07:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x4f3f4b…
05-15 07:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x72542f…
05-15 07:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf6e177…
05-15 07:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xd299ae…
05-15 07:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x41b670…
05-15 07:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$1	0x42f1a2…
05-15 07:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x266aa8…
05-15 06:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0xbf0411…
05-15 06:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x74b490…
05-15 06:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xee2352…
05-15 06:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x8b461c…
05-15 06:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xc89c60…
05-15 06:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x272156…
05-15 06:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xf52529…
05-15 06:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x5da8dc…
05-15 06:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd2eba9…
05-15 06:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x193b87…
05-15 06:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0bf6fb…
05-15 06:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x15027b…
05-15 06:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xca7bff…
05-15 06:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xec8ed9…
05-15 06:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$1	0x82742b…
05-15 06:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x03b236…
05-15 06:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x435fc9…
05-15 06:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3a8b72…
05-15 06:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x82bcf1…
05-15 06:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8198cc…
05-15 05:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0xf56bee…
05-15 05:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xa2369b…
05-15 05:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x4728f0…
05-15 05:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x3a8295…
05-15 05:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb9c71a…
05-15 05:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x7c7db0…
05-15 05:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x984da8…
05-15 05:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xcd744c…
05-15 05:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xbd83e1…
05-15 05:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xb655e9…
05-15 05:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xb3eb29…
05-15 05:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3df387…
05-15 04:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x444ccc…
05-15 04:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x98743b…
05-15 04:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xdc9e23…
05-15 04:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x42965b…
05-15 04:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x248b50…
05-15 04:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x140c0e…
05-15 04:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x56d0d5…
05-15 04:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x8607f3…
05-15 04:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc2346f…
05-15 04:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x43dedf…
05-15 04:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x5c4e22…
05-15 04:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xcb3abf…
05-15 04:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x207912…
05-15 04:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xe66be4…
05-15 04:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xab1f43…
05-15 03:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd407cb…
05-15 03:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xadcab2…
05-15 03:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xe9244d…
05-15 03:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x531284…
05-15 03:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x7dedc5…
05-15 03:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x9506b0…
05-15 03:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xad287c…
05-15 03:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xa46628…
05-15 03:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9819c7…
05-15 03:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x04b72b…
05-15 03:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xbf5959…
05-15 03:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xcfd360…
05-15 03:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf1f945…
05-15 02:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x34116f…
05-15 02:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x396d91…
05-15 02:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x51bb15…
05-15 02:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe039a1…
05-15 02:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x717bfb…
05-15 02:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x9f5006…
05-15 02:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5fc6f9…
05-15 02:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x11116f…
05-15 02:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb2a411…
05-15 02:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x597c3c…
05-15 02:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x6ef058…