Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
open
Total volume
$175
$5 in 24h
Trades
38
Unique wallets
38
Liquidity
$9,233
Latest YES mid
26¢
Latest NO mid
74¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 05:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+12.7¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $4
vs crowd: 87% YES on $60)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $28 | $8 | +$20 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Median | 14 | $11 | $2 | +$9 |
| Below median | 5 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| unranked | 7 | $8 | $6 | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thorny-Halibut 0x9834…22ae | Up | +500 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 05:09 |
| Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a | Up | +400 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 05:09 |
| Nutritious-Globe 0xefe6…104b | Up | +303 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 05:09 |
| Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Up | +300 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 05:09 |
| Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0 | Up | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 05:09 |
| Agile-Outlay 0x2bd7…1ad6 | Up | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 05:09 |
| Sophisticated-Leptocephalus 0x4605…b773 | Up | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 05:09 |
| Elated-Income 0x7bdb…ed2f | Up | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 05:08 |
| Legal-Styling 0xe13a…ec43 | Up | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 05:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x8512…cb45 | Up | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 05:08 |
| Coarse-Wedding 0x4663…b80c | Up | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 05:09 |
| Stained-Contribution 0xef86…bb47 | Up | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 05:09 |
| Hopeful-Puritan 0x7fa7…836d | Up | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 05:09 |
| Babyish-Tail-Alien 0x73f8…074e | Up | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 05:09 |
| Multicolored-Aircraft 0xf00b…09e6 | Up | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 05:09 |
| Gargantuan-Oil 0x79f5…4002 | Up | +94 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 05:09 |
| Busy-Dam 0xb07a…1328 | Up | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 05:09 |
| Frizzy-Sturgeon 0x5502…4b9a | Up | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 05:09 |
| Original-Lathe-Maker 0x41d6…5a26 | Up | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 05:08 |
| Enchanting-Donor 0xe357…b709 | Up | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 05:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Up | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 05:04 |
| Equatorial-Data-Butcher 0x5dc6…3609 | Up | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 05:09 |
| Virtuous-Punch 0xa9af…dd61 | Down | +11 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 05:04 |
| Enchanted-Simvastatin 0xc35e…0ab3 | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 04:59 |
| Stark-Height 0xd616…39c1 | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 05:21 |
| Dark-Endoderm 0xdd69…fa59 | Down | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 05:04 |
| Idealistic-Fail 0x52aa…42a2 | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 05:04 |
| Well-Off-String 0x6b36…0d4b | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 05:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 05:09:26 | Alive-Marshland 0x01b1…644a | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x55d5ce… |
| 05-15 05:09:23 | Legal-Styling 0xe13a…ec43 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x5ff4a0… |
| 05-15 05:09:19 | Ajar-Sonata 0xaa57…759c | Down | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x4e409c… |
| 05-15 05:09:17 | Coarse-Wedding 0x4663…b80c | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xdc2985… |
| 05-15 05:09:17 | Hopeful-Puritan 0x7fa7…836d | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x954944… |
| 05-15 05:09:17 | Equatorial-Data-Butcher 0x5dc6…3609 | Up | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc4be27… |
| 05-15 05:09:16 | Absolute-Warlock 0x28d9…7275 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x70bbfd… |
| 05-15 05:09:14 | Babyish-Tail-Alien 0x73f8…074e | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x71acb5… |
| 05-15 05:09:12 | Agile-Outlay 0x2bd7…1ad6 | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xdb9ee5… |
| 05-15 05:09:10 | Shabby-Residence 0xa0cb…a8ba | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xa592d5… |
| 05-15 05:09:09 | Gargantuan-Oil 0x79f5…4002 | Up | BUY | 94 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xbe7dfa… |
| 05-15 05:09:05 | Thorny-Halibut 0x9834…22ae | Up | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xde7c53… |
| 05-15 05:09:05 | Stained-Contribution 0xef86…bb47 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6708e3… |
| 05-15 05:09:05 | Sweltering-Accountant 0xc784…3981 | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xd5b18e… |
| 05-15 05:09:05 | Cautious-Close 0x802e…536c | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1c0038… |
| 05-15 05:09:03 | Frizzy-Sturgeon 0x5502…4b9a | Up | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf72c24… |
| 05-15 05:09:02 | Sophisticated-Leptocephalus 0x4605…b773 | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xd3122e… |
| 05-15 05:09:02 | Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a | Up | BUY | 400 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x766159… |
| 05-15 05:09:00 | Enchanting-Donor 0xe357…b709 | Up | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb8f096… |
| 05-15 05:09:00 | Flamboyant-Velocity 0xd7ff…f4c5 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcb78b1… |
| 05-15 05:09:00 | Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0 | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x04cbaa… |
| 05-15 05:09:00 | Busy-Dam 0xb07a…1328 | Up | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf5deee… |
| 05-15 05:09:00 | Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Up | BUY | 300 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xfde9dc… |
| 05-15 05:09:00 | Tired-Fiberglass 0xd0f0…f9f9 | Down | SELL | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0xeb1fca… |
| 05-15 05:09:00 | Multicolored-Aircraft 0xf00b…09e6 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x54efd5… |
| 05-15 05:09:00 | Nutritious-Globe 0xefe6…104b | Up | BUY | 303 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xa3458e… |
| 05-15 05:08:58 | Original-Lathe-Maker 0x41d6…5a26 | Up | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x85bae3… |
| 05-15 05:08:56 | (anonymous) 0x8512…cb45 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd5b2ec… |
| 05-15 05:08:55 | Piercing-Dressing 0x9f0a…703d | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x1f3b00… |
| 05-15 05:08:55 | Cuddly-Accusation 0xcdba…e7a2 | Down | SELL | 53 | 99¢ | $53 | 0x3eed4a… |
| 05-15 05:08:51 | Elated-Income 0x7bdb…ed2f | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x500716… |
| 05-15 05:04:25 | Well-Off-String 0x6b36…0d4b | Up | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x1382f7… |
| 05-15 05:04:23 | Dark-Endoderm 0xdd69…fa59 | Down | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x400e6c… |
| 05-15 05:04:16 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Up | BUY | 20 | 52¢ | $10 | 0xcb0ef3… |
| 05-15 05:04:09 | Idealistic-Fail 0x52aa…42a2 | Up | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xb090aa… |
| 05-15 05:04:08 | Virtuous-Punch 0xa9af…dd61 | Down | BUY | 11 | 49¢ | $6 | 0x7cdd62… |
| 05-15 04:59:14 | Enchanted-Simvastatin 0xc35e…0ab3 | Up | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xaa827d… |
| 05-14 05:21:24 | Stark-Height 0xd616…39c1 | Up | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x530af1… |