Idealistic-Fail 0x52aa14…fb42a2
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$541
Unrealized P&L
+$33
Hit rate
73.7%
Resolved
2,269
Trades
5,394
lifetime
Volume
$93.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$625
23 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 10-27 04:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 192 days
Categories
Other
87% 76% +$332
Crypto
9% 63% +$167
Politics
4% 69% +$38
Tech
0% 83% +$1
Sports
0% 72% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +96 $81 96¢ $93 +$12 10-23 02:39
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +92 $60 86¢ $79 +$19 10-27 04:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +66 $50 92¢ $61 +$11 10-26 09:31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +63 $55 96¢ $60 +$5 10-26 09:31
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +50 $45 99¢ $49 +$4 10-23 02:40
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +42 $40 99¢ $42 +$2 10-26 09:25
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +35 $30 95¢ $33 +$3 10-20 00:24
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +28 $25 96¢ $27 +$2 10-19 01:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +29 $20 77¢ $22 +$2 10-15 20:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +39 $20 55¢ $21 +$1 10-27 04:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +30 $20 70¢ $21 +$1 10-26 09:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +16 $15 98¢ $16 +$1 10-26 09:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +19 $10 63¢ $12 +$2 10-10 04:45
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +23 $10 48¢ $11 +$1 10-19 01:20
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +12 $10 88¢ $11 +$1 10-20 19:29
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +14 $10 77¢ $11 +$1 10-15 21:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +11 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 10-20 19:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +32 $10 30¢ $10 $0 10-20 07:25
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +32 $30 28¢ $9 -$21 10-26 09:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +23 $10 40¢ $9 -$1 10-20 07:25
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +12 $10 75¢ $9 -$1 10-26 09:25
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +7 $5 74¢ $5 +$0 10-20 19:30
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +16 $15 28¢ $4 -$11 10-20 00:23