Idealistic-Fail 0x52aa14…fb42a2
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Realized P&L (7d)
-$13
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
90.2%
Resolved (7d)
35
Trades (7d)
103
5,470 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.28K
$94.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$514
20 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 10-31 20:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 196 days
Categories
Other
86% 76% +$350
Crypto
8% 63% +$167
Politics
4% 71% +$53
Tech
0% 83% +$1
Sports
0% 72% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +97 $65 99¢ $96 +$31 10-31 08:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +66 $50 99¢ $65 +$15 10-26 09:31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No +54 $50 98¢ $53 +$3 10-31 02:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +53 $50 96¢ $51 +$1 10-31 13:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +49 $45 86¢ $43 -$2 10-31 13:54
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +35 $30 100¢ $35 +$5 10-20 00:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +44 $30 74¢ $32 +$2 10-28 14:07
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +21 $20 96¢ $20 +$0 10-31 20:41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +29 $20 70¢ $20 +$0 10-15 20:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +39 $20 50¢ $19 -$1 10-27 04:39
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +23 $10 64¢ $15 +$5 10-19 01:20
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +12 $10 94¢ $12 +$2 10-20 19:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +19 $10 59¢ $11 +$1 10-10 04:45
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +14 $10 75¢ $10 +$0 10-15 21:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +23 $10 38¢ $9 -$1 10-20 07:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +32 $10 25¢ $8 -$2 10-20 07:25
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +18 $29 32¢ $6 -$23 10-31 13:56
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +7 $5 78¢ $6 +$1 10-20 19:30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01? Yes +2 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 10-31 14:32
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01? Yes — +3 $2 74¢ $2 $0 10-31 14:35