Idealistic-Fail 0x52aa14…fb42a2
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$278
Unrealized P&L
+$37
Hit rate
75.0%
Resolved (90d)
548
Trades (90d)
1,801
5,487 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$37.2K
$94.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$614
21 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 11-01 12:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 196 days
Categories
Other
86% 76% +$350
Crypto
8% 63% +$167
Politics
4% 72% +$59
Tech
0% 83% +$1
Sports
0% 72% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +97 $65 94¢ $91 +$26 10-31 08:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +66 $50 99¢ $65 +$15 10-26 09:31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +66 $60 94¢ $62 +$2 11-01 12:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +59 $55 98¢ $57 +$2 11-01 12:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No +54 $50 98¢ $53 +$3 10-31 02:58
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +48 $45 96¢ $46 +$1 11-01 12:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +41 $35 88¢ $36 +$1 10-31 02:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +44 $30 76¢ $33 +$3 10-28 14:07
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +38 $20 64¢ $24 +$4 11-01 12:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +39 $20 57¢ $23 +$2 10-27 04:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +29 $20 74¢ $21 +$1 10-15 20:56
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +21 $20 99¢ $21 +$1 10-31 20:41
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +12 $10 96¢ $12 +$2 10-20 19:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +19 $10 59¢ $11 +$1 10-10 04:45
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +12 $12 90¢ $11 -$1 11-01 12:22
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +14 $10 76¢ $10 +$0 10-15 21:01
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +14 $10 74¢ $10 +$0 11-01 12:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +32 $10 26¢ $9 -$1 10-20 07:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +23 $10 38¢ $9 -$1 10-20 07:25
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +18 $29 32¢ $6 -$23 10-31 13:56
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +7 $5 78¢ $6 +$1 10-20 19:30