Idealistic-Fail 0x52aa14…fb42a2 Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$116
Unrealized P&L
+$37
Hit rate
75.0%
Resolved (90d)
575
Trades (90d)
1,918
5,657 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$37.9K
$96.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$735
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 11-05 22:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 200 days
Categories
Other
86% 76% +$351
Crypto
8% 63% +$167
Politics
5% 64% -$76
Tech
0% 83% +$1
Sports
0% 72% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +75 $65 92¢ $68 +$3 11-05 19:33
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +72 $55 82¢ $59 +$4 11-05 07:07
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026? No — +70 $50 74¢ $51 +$1 11-03 18:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? Yes +51 $45 94¢ $47 +$2 11-05 07:06
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +42 $40 97¢ $41 +$1 11-05 07:06
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +54 $30 72¢ $39 +$9 11-03 18:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +46 $35 76¢ $35 $0 11-05 07:06
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +32 $30 99¢ $32 +$2 11-04 19:37
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +33 $30 94¢ $31 +$1 11-05 11:53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? Yes +32 $30 97¢ $31 +$1 11-05 22:32
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +32 $30 96¢ $31 +$1 11-05 07:06
us x yemen ceasefire continues through november 30 Yes +32 $25 90¢ $29 +$4 11-01 12:25
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +26 $25 98¢ $25 +$0 11-04 19:38
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +26 $25 96¢ $25 +$0 11-05 19:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +30 $21 78¢ $23 +$2 11-05 19:33
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? Yes +34 $20 56¢ $19 -$1 11-05 22:36
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? Yes +21 $20 90¢ $19 -$1 11-05 22:37
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +21 $15 74¢ $15 +$0 11-03 18:21
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +16 $15 94¢ $15 $0 11-05 19:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +22 $10 60¢ $13 +$3 11-03 22:51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +20 $10 67¢ $13 +$3 11-03 22:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +19 $10 59¢ $11 +$1 10-10 04:45
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? Yes +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 11-04 19:53
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +12 $10 88¢ $10 +$0 11-04 22:46
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 11-05 07:06
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +14 $10 70¢ $10 +$0 11-05 19:34
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? Yes +12 $10 78¢ $10 $0 11-05 22:36
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +7 $5 73¢ $5 +$0 10-20 19:30
Will Iran target an Arab country by November 15, 2026? No +8 $5 32¢ $3 -$2 11-03 22:53
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by November 30, 2026? No +4 $2 43¢ $2 $0 11-04 22:50