Idealistic-Fail 0x52aa14…fb42a2 Create alert
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$155
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
70.8%
Resolved (30d)
235
Trades (30d)
670
5,667 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$8.94K
$96.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$705
29 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 11-06 21:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 202 days
Categories
Other
86% 76% +$369
Crypto
8% 63% +$167
Politics
5% 64% -$90
Tech
0% 83% +$1
Sports
0% 72% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +75 $65 92¢ $69 +$4 11-05 19:33
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +72 $55 81¢ $58 +$3 11-05 07:07
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026? No +70 $50 74¢ $51 +$1 11-03 18:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? Yes +51 $45 95¢ $48 +$3 11-05 07:06
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +54 $30 79¢ $43 +$13 11-03 18:25
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +42 $40 95¢ $40 +$0 11-05 07:06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +46 $35 80¢ $36 +$1 11-05 07:06
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +37 $35 93¢ $34 -$1 11-06 18:49
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +37 $35 88¢ $32 -$3 11-06 18:48
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +32 $30 98¢ $31 +$1 11-04 19:37
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +32 $25 90¢ $29 +$4 11-01 12:25
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +26 $25 97¢ $25 $0 11-04 19:38
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 15? No +27 $25 90¢ $25 $0 11-05 02:57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +34 $20 68¢ $23 +$3 11-06 18:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +30 $21 78¢ $23 +$2 11-05 19:33
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? Yes +21 $20 97¢ $21 +$1 11-05 22:37
Will Iran target Jordan by November 30, 2026? No +33 $25 55¢ $19 -$6 11-02 18:26
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +21 $15 72¢ $15 $0 11-03 18:21
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +16 $15 91¢ $14 -$1 11-05 19:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +22 $10 64¢ $14 +$4 11-03 22:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +19 $10 59¢ $11 +$1 10-10 04:45
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? Yes +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 11-04 19:53
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +12 $10 88¢ $10 +$0 11-04 22:46
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +10 $10 93¢ $10 $0 11-05 07:06
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +7 $5 78¢ $6 +$1 10-20 19:30
Will Iran target an Arab country by November 15, 2026? No +8 $5 33¢ $3 -$2 11-03 22:53
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by November 30, 2026? No +4 $2 39¢ $1 -$1 11-04 22:50
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-07? Yes +1 $1 70¢ $1 $0 10-31 14:33
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? Yes +34 $20 0¢ $0 -$20 11-05 22:36