Bad-Expectation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$185

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.2%

Resolved

354

Trades

2,758

lifetime

Volume

$159.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-10 02:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 98% $-185

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1769102100	27	$1.8K	2,670	+2,670	open	—	01-22 17:25
sol updown 15m 1769090400	11	$1.5K	1,792	+1,792	open	—	01-22 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	31	$1.5K	1,492	+1,492	Down	+$15	05-05 01:35
btc updown 15m 1768572000	18	$1.2K	2,075	+2,075	open	—	01-16 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	29	$1.2K	1,180	+1,180	open	—	05-18 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	10	$1.2K	1,177	+1,177	open	—	05-01 19:34
btc updown 15m 1769079600	31	$1.2K	1,462	+1,462	open	—	01-22 11:12
btc updown 15m 1769048100	8	$1.1K	1,459	+1,459	open	—	01-22 02:25
btc updown 15m 1769045400	14	$1.1K	1,414	+1,414	open	—	01-22 01:40
eth updown 15m 1769083200	6	$1.0K	1,183	+1,183	open	—	01-22 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	13	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-18 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-04 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-18 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-04 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	Up	+$10	05-05 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-01 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-01 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	Up	+$10	05-05 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-04 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-04 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-01 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-04 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-04 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-01 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-04 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	14	$1000	1,010	+1,010	Down	+$10	05-04 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	Down	+$10	05-05 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-04 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$1000	1,010	+1,010	Up	+$10	05-04 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	Down	+$10	05-04 20:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 14:19:16	btc updown 5m 1786371300	Down	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x46fa32…
08-10 14:19:13	btc updown 5m 1786371300	Down	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x4e5e59…
08-10 14:19:13	btc updown 5m 1786371300	Down	BUY	2	27¢	$0	0x2c5e8b…
08-10 13:56:52	btc updown 5m 1786370100	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xe7638a…
08-10 13:31:34	btc updown 5m 1786368600	Up	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x515570…
08-10 02:32:06	btc updown 5m 1786329000	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x3561e3…
08-10 01:15:52	btc updown 5m 1786324500	Down	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x86ff19…
08-10 01:15:42	btc updown 5m 1786324500	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xbb3d0b…
08-10 01:14:42	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7c5fb5…
08-10 01:13:55	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x3cfb13…
08-10 01:12:58	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	11	87¢	$9	0x3c0f5f…
08-10 01:12:09	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x78868c…
08-10 01:10:58	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x647aed…
08-10 01:10:07	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xffac91…
08-10 01:06:52	btc updown 5m 1786323900	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0xbba32a…
08-10 01:06:30	btc updown 5m 1786323900	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x614893…
08-10 01:06:10	btc updown 5m 1786323900	Up	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x024c9b…
08-10 01:05:48	btc updown 5m 1786323900	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe05b26…
08-10 01:04:48	btc updown 5m 1786323600	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf02a12…
08-10 01:04:21	btc updown 5m 1786323600	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8148ef…
08-10 01:04:03	btc updown 5m 1786323600	Down	SELL	62	1¢	$1	0xb918d8…
08-10 01:03:46	btc updown 5m 1786323600	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xd3f097…
08-10 00:58:36	btc updown 5m 1786323300	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x16764f…
08-10 00:54:10	btc updown 5m 1786323000	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x040d6c…
08-10 00:53:30	btc updown 5m 1786323000	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0912e5…
08-08 21:42:25	btc updown 5m 1786225200	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x6de9be…
08-08 21:42:24	btc updown 5m 1786225200	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x5541f9…
08-08 21:29:24	eth updown 5m 1786224300	Down	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x3c4004…
08-08 21:29:22	btc updown 5m 1786224300	Up	BUY	51	14¢	$7	0x5692c5…
08-08 21:25:13	eth updown 5m 1786224300	Down	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x23f210…
08-08 21:25:12	btc updown 5m 1786224300	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xa9152b…
08-08 21:21:09	eth updown 5m 1786224000	Down	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x458e7b…
08-08 21:20:06	eth updown 5m 1786224000	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xeb2b6e…
06-18 19:05:53	btc updown 5m 1781809500	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x775b7a…
06-18 19:05:47	btc updown 5m 1781809500	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x95d0d6…
06-18 19:02:25	btc updown 5m 1781809200	Up	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0xf2ad31…
06-18 19:02:13	btc updown 5m 1781809200	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9ed634…
06-18 18:49:04	btc updown 5m 1781808300	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xd5d674…
06-18 18:48:46	btc updown 5m 1781808300	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xac0b29…
06-18 18:48:07	btc updown 5m 1781808300	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xab8dfd…
06-18 18:48:01	btc updown 5m 1781808300	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x81d81f…
06-15 18:09:30	btc updown 5m 1781546700	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x916b4e…
06-15 18:04:51	btc updown 5m 1781546400	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8a657c…
06-15 17:34:37	btc updown 5m 1781544600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x84be61…
06-15 16:14:45	btc updown 5m 1781539800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xde7ff4…
06-15 16:14:22	btc updown 5m 1781539800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x213d4a…
06-15 16:14:21	btc updown 5m 1781539800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbbea9b…
06-15 16:14:21	btc updown 5m 1781539800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x884cd5…
06-15 16:14:19	btc updown 5m 1781539800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa78ad5…
06-15 15:54:31	btc updown 5m 1781538600	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf5fd54…
06-15 15:54:30	btc updown 5m 1781538600	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8eb8fe…
06-15 15:54:03	eth updown 5m 1781538600	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xea416e…
06-15 14:14:58	eth updown 5m 1781532600	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb4772b…
06-15 13:44:13	btc updown 5m 1781530800	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7ea058…
06-15 13:39:42	btc updown 5m 1781530500	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f1391…
06-15 13:39:34	btc updown 5m 1781530500	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1667b4…
06-15 13:34:28	eth updown 5m 1781530200	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeee78e…
06-15 13:34:28	eth updown 5m 1781530200	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1ecfd8…
06-15 13:09:18	btc updown 5m 1781528700	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5a15bf…
06-15 13:09:16	btc updown 5m 1781528700	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfbeba0…
06-15 11:35:25	eth updown 5m 1781523000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x702719…
06-15 11:09:16	eth updown 5m 1781521500	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x80e1f9…
06-15 11:09:09	eth updown 5m 1781521500	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe220a7…
06-15 11:09:09	eth updown 5m 1781521500	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd60193…
06-15 11:09:07	eth updown 5m 1781521500	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcf8b3a…
06-15 11:09:06	eth updown 5m 1781521500	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6f5814…
06-15 11:09:06	eth updown 5m 1781521500	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x42c528…
06-15 11:09:04	eth updown 5m 1781521500	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x79df56…
06-15 11:09:03	eth updown 5m 1781521500	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf66d72…
06-12 19:39:31	btc updown 5m 1781292900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x34128e…
06-12 19:39:24	btc updown 5m 1781292900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4467fb…
06-12 19:39:10	btc updown 5m 1781292900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x90939b…
06-12 19:39:10	btc updown 5m 1781292900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x471dc5…
06-12 19:39:06	btc updown 5m 1781292900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6d91c1…
06-12 16:10:33	btc updown 5m 1781280300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb1e248…
06-12 16:09:51	btc updown 5m 1781280300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa3e1e5…
06-12 16:04:19	btc updown 5m 1781280000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd51e92…
05-20 13:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9995b3…
05-20 13:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8cfbdc…
05-20 13:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3e5a09…
05-20 13:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c0e3b…
05-20 13:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x6039af…
05-20 13:29:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf5e1c4…
05-20 12:59:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3a409c…
05-20 11:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xddf530…
05-20 11:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf12eaa…
05-20 11:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xb57467…
05-20 11:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc01d91…
05-20 08:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7cda1c…
05-20 07:34:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe27e9e…
05-20 07:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf562cb…
05-20 07:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4e0fd4…
05-20 06:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf0b79b…
05-20 04:39:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a7f17…
05-20 03:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x035842…
05-20 02:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9bbebe…
05-20 02:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x27782d…
05-20 02:34:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe83624…
05-20 02:04:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf9b2f4…
05-20 01:44:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd21778…