Bad-Expectation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$185

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.2%

Resolved

354

Trades

2,730

lifetime

Volume

$159.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-18 19:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 98% $-185

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1769102100	27	$1.8K	2,670	+2,670	open	—	01-22 17:25
sol updown 15m 1769090400	11	$1.5K	1,792	+1,792	open	—	01-22 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	31	$1.5K	1,492	+1,492	Down	+$15	05-05 01:35
btc updown 15m 1768572000	18	$1.2K	2,075	+2,075	open	—	01-16 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	29	$1.2K	1,180	+1,180	open	—	05-18 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	10	$1.2K	1,177	+1,177	open	—	05-01 19:34
btc updown 15m 1769079600	31	$1.2K	1,462	+1,462	open	—	01-22 11:12
btc updown 15m 1769048100	8	$1.1K	1,459	+1,459	open	—	01-22 02:25
btc updown 15m 1769045400	14	$1.1K	1,414	+1,414	open	—	01-22 01:40
eth updown 15m 1769083200	6	$1.0K	1,183	+1,183	open	—	01-22 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	13	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-18 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-04 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	Down	+$10	05-05 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-04 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-04 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$1000	1,001	+1,001	open	—	05-04 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-04 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-01 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-01 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-04 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	Down	+$10	05-04 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-04 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$1000	1,010	+1,010	Up	+$10	05-04 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-01 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-04 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-04 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	Up	+$10	05-04 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-01 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	Up	+$10	05-04 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$1000	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-04 15:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 19:05:53	btc updown 5m 1781809500	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x775b7a…
06-18 19:05:47	btc updown 5m 1781809500	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x95d0d6…
06-18 19:02:25	btc updown 5m 1781809200	Up	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0xf2ad31…
06-18 19:02:13	btc updown 5m 1781809200	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9ed634…
06-18 18:49:04	btc updown 5m 1781808300	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xd5d674…
06-18 18:48:46	btc updown 5m 1781808300	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xac0b29…
06-18 18:48:07	btc updown 5m 1781808300	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xab8dfd…
06-18 18:48:01	btc updown 5m 1781808300	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x81d81f…
06-15 18:09:30	btc updown 5m 1781546700	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x916b4e…
06-15 18:04:51	btc updown 5m 1781546400	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8a657c…
06-15 17:34:37	btc updown 5m 1781544600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x84be61…
06-15 16:14:45	btc updown 5m 1781539800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xde7ff4…
06-15 16:14:22	btc updown 5m 1781539800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x213d4a…
06-15 16:14:21	btc updown 5m 1781539800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbbea9b…
06-15 16:14:21	btc updown 5m 1781539800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x884cd5…
06-15 16:14:19	btc updown 5m 1781539800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa78ad5…
06-15 15:54:31	btc updown 5m 1781538600	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf5fd54…
06-15 15:54:30	btc updown 5m 1781538600	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8eb8fe…
06-15 15:54:03	eth updown 5m 1781538600	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xea416e…
06-15 14:14:58	eth updown 5m 1781532600	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb4772b…
06-15 13:44:13	btc updown 5m 1781530800	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7ea058…
06-15 13:39:42	btc updown 5m 1781530500	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f1391…
06-15 13:39:34	btc updown 5m 1781530500	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1667b4…
06-15 13:34:28	eth updown 5m 1781530200	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeee78e…
06-15 13:34:28	eth updown 5m 1781530200	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1ecfd8…
06-15 13:09:18	btc updown 5m 1781528700	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5a15bf…
06-15 13:09:16	btc updown 5m 1781528700	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfbeba0…
06-15 11:35:25	eth updown 5m 1781523000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x702719…
06-15 11:09:16	eth updown 5m 1781521500	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x80e1f9…
06-15 11:09:09	eth updown 5m 1781521500	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe220a7…
06-15 11:09:09	eth updown 5m 1781521500	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd60193…
06-15 11:09:07	eth updown 5m 1781521500	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcf8b3a…
06-15 11:09:06	eth updown 5m 1781521500	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6f5814…
06-15 11:09:06	eth updown 5m 1781521500	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x42c528…
06-15 11:09:04	eth updown 5m 1781521500	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x79df56…
06-15 11:09:03	eth updown 5m 1781521500	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf66d72…
06-12 19:39:31	btc updown 5m 1781292900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x34128e…
06-12 19:39:24	btc updown 5m 1781292900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4467fb…
06-12 19:39:10	btc updown 5m 1781292900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x90939b…
06-12 19:39:10	btc updown 5m 1781292900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x471dc5…
06-12 19:39:06	btc updown 5m 1781292900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6d91c1…
06-12 16:10:33	btc updown 5m 1781280300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb1e248…
06-12 16:09:51	btc updown 5m 1781280300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa3e1e5…
06-12 16:04:19	btc updown 5m 1781280000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd51e92…
05-20 13:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9995b3…
05-20 13:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8cfbdc…
05-20 13:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3e5a09…
05-20 13:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c0e3b…
05-20 13:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x6039af…
05-20 13:29:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf5e1c4…
05-20 12:59:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3a409c…
05-20 11:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xddf530…
05-20 11:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf12eaa…
05-20 11:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xb57467…
05-20 11:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc01d91…
05-20 08:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7cda1c…
05-20 07:34:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe27e9e…
05-20 07:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf562cb…
05-20 07:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4e0fd4…
05-20 06:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf0b79b…
05-20 04:39:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a7f17…
05-20 03:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x035842…
05-20 02:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9bbebe…
05-20 02:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x27782d…
05-20 02:34:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe83624…
05-20 02:04:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf9b2f4…
05-20 01:44:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd21778…
05-20 01:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe503d1…
05-20 01:19:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x39ff24…
05-20 00:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x836934…
05-20 00:14:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x096eb1…
05-19 23:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9e41fd…
05-19 22:15:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf8f0f0…
05-19 22:09:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xff8df8…
05-19 22:04:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5577a5…
05-19 21:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd1ef25…
05-19 21:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9cff2d…
05-19 20:20:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0596d0…
05-19 20:09:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7e09a5…
05-19 19:55:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x9cf543…
05-19 19:54:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb4b517…
05-19 19:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd0e7d2…
05-19 17:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x11f688…
05-19 17:39:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1d8060…
05-19 17:29:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3889b3…
05-19 16:54:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x54b05d…
05-19 16:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x87a9a7…
05-19 15:34:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x01b340…
05-19 15:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfa9776…
05-19 14:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc5f13d…
05-19 14:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6598a4…
05-19 14:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x171e23…
05-19 14:19:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xebb738…
05-19 14:14:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc7ad4c…
05-19 14:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf40e13…
05-19 14:04:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4bc6e6…
05-19 13:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x12e777…
05-19 02:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	505	99¢	$498	0xdfe8f9…
05-19 02:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	505	98¢	$495	0xa06952…
05-19 02:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x13bcd4…