Hospitable-Land — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

Trades

523

lifetime

Volume

$3.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-01

last 06-11 19:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

63% 67% +$0

Crypto

27% — —

Other

10% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?	Yes		+621	$5	1¢	$7	+$2	06-09 06:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	2	$378	208	208	+0	open	—	04-16 17:53
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	6	$291	320	320	+0	open	—	04-16 12:17
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	5	$219	635	635	+0	open	—	04-15 18:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	6	$190	315	315	+0	open	—	04-07 15:18
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	9	$131	436	436	+0	open	—	04-09 19:31
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	6	$80	3,440	64	+3,376	open	—	03-26 10:30
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	5	$74	105	21	+85	open	—	04-07 15:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$61	119	100	+19	open	—	04-17 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$58	56	56	+0	open	—	05-23 23:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$55	58	58	+0	open	—	05-24 14:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	6	$44	39	39	+0	open	—	04-21 16:50
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	7	$39	28	28	+0	open	—	03-14 16:53
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$35	38	38	+0	open	—	03-25 06:50
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	5	$33	56	56	+0	open	—	04-17 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$33	59	59	+0	open	—	05-24 07:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$32	86	86	+0	open	—	04-21 08:53
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?	2	$31	22	22	+0	open	—	04-15 09:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	7	$29	50	50	+0	open	—	04-22 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	3	$28	120	43	+77	open	—	05-24 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	05-24 06:48
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	4	$27	46	46	+0	open	—	04-19 19:45
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$27	2,522	22	+2,500	open	—	04-22 15:52
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	5	$26	57	57	+0	open	—	04-13 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$25	1,162	0	+1,162	open	—	05-24 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	6	$24	21	21	+0	open	—	05-23 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	05-25 07:20
lal rea get 2026 03 02 get	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	03-02 22:36
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	04-14 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$22	19	19	+0	open	—	05-25 20:30
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	2	$22	40	40	+0	open	—	05-17 12:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 16:13:43	eth updown 15m 1781280900	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x6cf163…
06-12 16:06:57	eth updown 15m 1781280000	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x063f1d…
06-12 16:01:27	eth updown 15m 1781280000	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe23db0…
06-12 15:57:03	eth updown 15m 1781279100	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x9f86d0…
06-11 19:33:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	18	50¢	$9	0x6e66e0…
06-11 16:36:45	btc updown 5m 1781195700	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x9a0c3b…
06-11 16:34:25	btc updown 5m 1781195400	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x231a96…
06-11 16:30:12	btc updown 5m 1781195400	Down	SELL	10	63¢	$7	0x7bab8a…
06-11 16:29:30	btc updown 5m 1781195400	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x24e8fb…
06-10 07:55:00	btc updown 5m 1781078100	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x9767fa…
06-10 07:52:51	btc updown 5m 1781077800	Up	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x661682…
06-10 07:49:42	btc updown 5m 1781077800	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x78769a…
06-10 07:47:16	btc updown 5m 1781077500	Up	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0xfb4517…
06-10 07:46:58	btc updown 5m 1781077500	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x90d6a4…
06-09 15:43:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xd1b8c3…
06-09 06:34:48	btc updown 5m 1780986900	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa4cef9…
06-09 06:30:51	Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?	Yes	BUY	621	1¢	$5	0x862cdf…
06-09 06:28:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x24f2d7…
06-09 06:28:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x6d970e…
06-08 18:20:33	btc updown 5m 1780942800	Down	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xe424c3…
06-08 18:20:07	btc updown 5m 1780942800	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe2646f…
06-08 18:16:58	btc updown 5m 1780942500	Down	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x62e35b…
06-08 18:14:57	btc updown 5m 1780942500	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf4fa46…
06-08 18:13:19	btc updown 5m 1780942200	Up	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x84624e…
06-08 18:12:18	btc updown 5m 1780942200	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x76156c…
05-30 20:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x5aa0ce…
05-28 08:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0x27dce9…
05-28 08:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe609d4…
05-28 08:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5122b5…
05-27 20:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xe82a60…
05-27 20:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xa44ae6…
05-27 20:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x67fbc4…
05-27 20:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0xfe7cde…
05-27 20:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xf8c7c6…
05-27 20:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x48c27a…
05-27 20:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x003c62…
05-27 20:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x542821…
05-27 20:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	59¢	$7	0x55d58a…
05-27 20:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x761a8e…
05-27 17:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x171e5e…
05-26 18:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x17d9c0…
05-26 18:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x3e2059…
05-26 18:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd09004…
05-26 18:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x0000a9…
05-26 18:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x754182…
05-26 18:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc39ef8…
05-26 18:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x7f16d0…
05-26 18:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9593bf…
05-26 17:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x9afafd…
05-26 17:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	81¢	$7	0xd94b25…
05-26 17:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x29ec3d…
05-26 10:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	9	63¢	$5	0x446fa7…
05-26 10:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xbaf966…
05-26 10:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x367d1e…
05-26 10:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x865308…
05-26 10:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0x704c9e…
05-26 10:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x79fbde…
05-26 09:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x2449dc…
05-26 09:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x523219…
05-26 07:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0xcc8b1f…
05-26 06:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xcc4ef7…
05-25 21:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa572e3…
05-25 21:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x412b72…
05-25 20:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x9d1c38…
05-25 20:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x52427f…
05-25 20:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xf54c60…
05-25 20:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xbeec60…
05-25 20:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x476159…
05-25 20:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	13	86¢	$11	0x442839…
05-25 20:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x2ee4e3…
05-25 20:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	19	65¢	$12	0xa41293…
05-25 20:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x51b7e9…
05-25 20:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x17e60a…
05-25 20:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x84b73c…
05-25 18:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x8ebe0f…
05-25 13:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	18	59¢	$11	0x796192…
05-25 13:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x7cd37c…
05-25 10:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0xf12cc6…
05-25 09:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x94705f…
05-25 09:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xe8b494…
05-25 09:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x67c2f8…
05-25 08:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$7	0x4eb55a…
05-25 08:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbe22ac…
05-25 08:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	68¢	$7	0x0ca39c…
05-25 08:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xdd6463…
05-25 07:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	57¢	$5	0x34a4c0…
05-25 07:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc6f5c4…
05-25 07:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x59d319…
05-25 07:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x597602…
05-25 07:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x023c05…
05-25 07:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x008f2e…
05-25 07:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x02f8ac…
05-24 14:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x1cbb82…
05-24 14:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf41cf0…
05-24 14:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x4db558…
05-24 14:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x163841…
05-24 14:11:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0xd9cf48…
05-24 08:29:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x9bbb5b…
05-24 08:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc1c67d…
05-24 08:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe30d1a…