Hospitable-Land — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

Trades

580

lifetime

Volume

$4.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 08-04 16:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

52% 67% +$0

Crypto

28% — —

Other

20% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	2	$378	208	208	+0	open	—	04-16 17:53
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	6	$291	320	320	+0	open	—	04-16 12:17
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	2	$235	141	141	+0	open	—	07-22 07:02
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners total 10pt5	2	$225	133	133	+0	open	—	07-15 20:55
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	5	$219	635	635	+0	open	—	04-15 18:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	6	$190	315	315	+0	open	—	04-07 15:18
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	9	$131	436	436	+0	open	—	04-09 19:31
atp kym tsitsip 2026 07 15	1	$100	144	0	+144	open	—	07-15 18:48
atp bicknel cassone 2026 07 15	1	$100	141	0	+141	open	—	07-16 16:04
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	1	$100	159	0	+159	open	—	07-26 05:22
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	6	$80	3,440	64	+3,376	open	—	03-26 10:30
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	5	$74	105	21	+85	open	—	04-07 15:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$61	119	100	+19	open	—	04-17 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$58	56	56	+0	open	—	05-23 23:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$55	58	58	+0	open	—	05-24 14:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	6	$44	39	39	+0	open	—	04-21 16:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$40	90	90	+0	open	—	08-04 15:37
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	7	$39	28	28	+0	open	—	03-14 16:53
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$35	38	38	+0	open	—	03-25 06:50
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	2	$33	167	167	+0	open	—	07-15 18:35
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	5	$33	56	56	+0	open	—	04-17 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$33	59	59	+0	open	—	05-24 07:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$32	86	86	+0	open	—	04-21 08:53
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?	2	$31	22	22	+0	open	—	04-15 09:42
atp bublik halys 2026 07 15	1	$30	43	0	+43	open	—	07-17 08:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	7	$29	50	50	+0	open	—	04-22 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	3	$28	120	43	+77	open	—	05-24 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	05-24 06:48
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	4	$27	46	46	+0	open	—	04-19 19:45
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$27	2,522	22	+2,500	open	—	04-22 15:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 16:31:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0x54b860…
08-04 15:37:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x693668…
08-02 07:24:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x7b2764…
08-02 03:12:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	286	3¢	$10	0x7f623e…
08-02 03:10:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	286	3¢	$10	0x8d026f…
08-02 03:03:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xff7589…
07-29 10:43:03	btc updown 5m 1785321600	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x43e53e…
07-29 10:41:50	btc updown 5m 1785321600	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x01bf94…
07-29 10:33:50	btc updown 5m 1785321300	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbe14a3…
07-26 05:25:21	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x5774a7…
07-26 05:22:04	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x5a1d4a…
07-22 07:03:09	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	Yes	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0x4cf0ca…
07-22 07:02:13	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	SELL	141	96¢	$135	0x70c4e2…
07-21 07:28:13	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xbd8a68…
07-20 17:02:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0xa7ab2f…
07-19 16:22:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x4bc8d5…
07-19 16:20:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts second half	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xaacbf5…
07-17 16:22:34	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xba31f3…
07-17 16:09:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x2216e8…
07-17 08:02:33	atp bublik halys 2026 07 15	Alexander Bublik	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x2a06f4…
07-16 16:04:16	atp bicknel cassone 2026 07 15	Murphy Cassone	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x261139…
07-15 20:55:29	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners total 10pt5	Under	SELL	133	94¢	$125	0x988a36…
07-15 18:48:22	atp kym tsitsip 2026 07 15	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	144	69¢	$100	0xef0794…
07-15 18:35:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	SELL	167	11¢	$18	0x0d7aca…
07-15 18:31:31	btc updown 5m 1784140200	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xbd6be3…
07-15 18:26:43	btc updown 5m 1784139900	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xd67f8c…
07-15 14:03:14	btc updown 5m 1784124000	Down	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x4068b5…
07-15 13:51:13	btc updown 5m 1784123400	Down	SELL	22	68¢	$15	0xeba863…
07-15 13:49:31	btc updown 5m 1784123400	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x7e4596…
07-15 13:47:52	btc updown 5m 1784123100	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x9ed400…
07-15 13:45:53	btc updown 5m 1784123100	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x1743e8…
07-15 13:36:11	btc updown 5m 1784122500	Up	SELL	22	68¢	$15	0x8e17c5…
07-15 13:33:32	btc updown 5m 1784122500	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x1ca53c…
07-15 07:17:16	btc updown 5m 1784099700	Down	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xfbb809…
07-15 07:15:52	btc updown 5m 1784099700	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xe1e62c…
07-15 06:50:41	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xd87960…
07-15 06:24:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	BUY	167	9¢	$15	0xe837da…
07-14 09:17:50	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc4b2de…
07-14 09:02:19	btc updown 5m 1784019600	Up	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0xd41b40…
07-14 09:01:01	btc updown 5m 1784019600	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x9df2ba…
07-14 08:54:50	btc updown 5m 1784019300	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x63ff44…
07-13 15:19:40	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xd7aace…
07-13 14:27:22	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xdebd4a…
07-08 16:34:07	btc updown 5m 1783528200	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x770417…
07-08 16:29:52	btc updown 5m 1783527900	Down	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xf9d236…
07-08 16:27:28	btc updown 5m 1783527900	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x481e3f…
07-08 16:23:19	btc updown 5m 1783527600	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xf1fb5a…
07-08 16:20:14	btc updown 5m 1783527600	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x5324cc…
07-08 16:14:11	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0x524c02…
07-08 07:50:43	btc updown 5m 1783497000	Down	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x9b1fd4…
07-08 07:49:02	btc updown 5m 1783497000	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x664992…
07-02 09:46:26	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x341715…
06-14 17:36:10	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x243132…
06-12 16:13:43	eth updown 15m 1781280900	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x6cf163…
06-12 16:06:57	eth updown 15m 1781280000	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x063f1d…
06-12 16:01:27	eth updown 15m 1781280000	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe23db0…
06-12 15:57:03	eth updown 15m 1781279100	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x9f86d0…
06-11 19:33:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	18	50¢	$9	0x6e66e0…
06-11 16:36:45	btc updown 5m 1781195700	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x9a0c3b…
06-11 16:34:25	btc updown 5m 1781195400	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x231a96…
06-11 16:30:12	btc updown 5m 1781195400	Down	SELL	10	63¢	$7	0x7bab8a…
06-11 16:29:30	btc updown 5m 1781195400	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x24e8fb…
06-10 07:55:00	btc updown 5m 1781078100	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x9767fa…
06-10 07:52:51	btc updown 5m 1781077800	Up	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x661682…
06-10 07:49:42	btc updown 5m 1781077800	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x78769a…
06-10 07:47:16	btc updown 5m 1781077500	Up	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0xfb4517…
06-10 07:46:58	btc updown 5m 1781077500	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x90d6a4…
06-09 15:43:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xd1b8c3…
06-09 06:34:48	btc updown 5m 1780986900	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa4cef9…
06-09 06:30:51	Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?	Yes	BUY	621	1¢	$5	0x862cdf…
06-09 06:28:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x24f2d7…
06-09 06:28:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x6d970e…
06-08 18:20:33	btc updown 5m 1780942800	Down	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xe424c3…
06-08 18:20:07	btc updown 5m 1780942800	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe2646f…
06-08 18:16:58	btc updown 5m 1780942500	Down	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x62e35b…
06-08 18:14:57	btc updown 5m 1780942500	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf4fa46…
06-08 18:13:19	btc updown 5m 1780942200	Up	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x84624e…
06-08 18:12:18	btc updown 5m 1780942200	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x76156c…
05-30 20:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x5aa0ce…
05-28 08:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0x27dce9…
05-28 08:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe609d4…
05-28 08:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5122b5…
05-27 20:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xe82a60…
05-27 20:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xa44ae6…
05-27 20:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x67fbc4…
05-27 20:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0xfe7cde…
05-27 20:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xf8c7c6…
05-27 20:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x48c27a…
05-27 20:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x003c62…
05-27 20:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x542821…
05-27 20:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	59¢	$7	0x55d58a…
05-27 20:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x761a8e…
05-27 17:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x171e5e…
05-26 18:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x17d9c0…
05-26 18:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x3e2059…
05-26 18:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd09004…
05-26 18:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x0000a9…
05-26 18:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x754182…
05-26 18:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc39ef8…
05-26 18:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x7f16d0…