Experienced-Hearth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 09-05 06:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 96% -$1

Other

25% 100% +$1

Politics

4% 100% +$0

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2100 on april 15	1	$91	91	+91	Yes	+$0	04-15 09:41
bitcoin above 80k on april 18	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	04-18 09:28
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	04-10 11:19
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 8	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	03-08 06:45
ethereum above 2600 on march 17	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	03-17 08:58
ethereum above 2600 on march 23	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	03-22 11:15
bitcoin above 62k on march 4	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	03-04 08:51
bitcoin above 72k on march 1	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	03-01 11:16
ethereum above 1500 on march 16	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	03-14 09:27
ethereum above 1800 on march 31	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	03-31 06:47
ethereum above 1800 on march 26	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	03-26 10:51
highest temperature in nyc on march 12 2026 45forbelow	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	03-11 07:48
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 20	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	03-20 07:27
bitcoin above 60k on april 4	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	04-03 13:14
ethereum above 2800 on january 8	1	$89	89	+89	Yes	+$0	01-08 12:51
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 18	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	01-18 12:19
bitcoin above 58k on june 8 2026	1	$89	89	+89	Yes	+$0	06-08 11:32
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 220 239	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	01-04 09:13
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 26	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	01-26 07:51
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 80 99	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	01-14 06:36
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	06-02 10:43
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$89	89	+89	Yes	+$0	01-30 11:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on february 3	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	02-02 11:02
bitcoin above 76k on february 9	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	02-09 07:37
Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	05-17 11:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	05-07 12:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	05-13 10:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	05-05 06:15
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on april 24	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	04-23 13:15
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	04-27 07:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-05 06:26:49	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x996528…
08-01 11:47:54	will bitcoin reach 72k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbae3a4…
06-08 11:32:13	bitcoin above 58k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x6fee56…
06-02 10:43:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xa3a451…
05-23 08:09:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xdf495f…
05-17 11:31:03	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xbc0ed0…
05-13 10:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x1a44a5…
05-07 12:31:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xe41372…
05-05 06:15:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x7427ab…
04-27 07:03:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xfaf5c2…
04-23 13:15:04	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on april 24	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x34365f…
04-23 13:14:14	ethereum above 2100 on april 23	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x920ded…
04-18 09:28:20	bitcoin above 80k on april 18	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x4f529a…
04-15 09:41:26	ethereum above 2100 on april 15	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xc1febe…
04-10 11:19:25	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x3790d4…
04-03 13:14:37	bitcoin above 60k on april 4	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x60de5f…
03-31 06:47:01	ethereum above 1800 on march 31	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x8967b8…
03-26 10:51:33	ethereum above 1800 on march 26	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xd87ca0…
03-22 11:15:57	ethereum above 2600 on march 23	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xa746c5…
03-20 07:27:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 20	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x263247…
03-17 08:58:13	ethereum above 2600 on march 17	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x7958e2…
03-14 09:27:21	ethereum above 1500 on march 16	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xa6599d…
03-11 07:48:01	highest temperature in nyc on march 12 2026 45forbelow	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xaaf1f4…
03-08 06:45:37	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 8	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xc9f35e…
03-04 08:51:13	bitcoin above 62k on march 4	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xafb232…
03-01 11:16:37	bitcoin above 72k on march 1	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xd7528e…
02-09 07:37:55	bitcoin above 76k on february 9	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x2c5448…
02-02 11:02:32	will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on february 3	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xe0b2ea…
01-30 11:27:18	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xd9e5fd…
01-26 07:51:29	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 26	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x8a910a…
01-18 12:19:06	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 18	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xb63591…
01-14 06:36:00	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 80 99	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xe79741…
01-08 12:51:51	ethereum above 2800 on january 8	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x318813…
01-04 09:13:47	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 220 239	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xf9c70d…