Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.54K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.9%

Resolved

Trades

190

lifetime

Volume

$30.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$162

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 02-27 15:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

66% 46% -$4,546

Crypto

25% 14% -$1,370

Other

9% 71% +$372

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-02-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	37	$6.3K	11,804	1,762	+10,042	No	-$4,149	01-21 16:38
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	58	$4.5K	20,432	21,581	-1,149	No	-$406	01-16 23:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 21:15 UTC	6	$3.4K	2,376	2,364	+12	Down	-$27	02-02 21:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$2.6K	1,467	1,467	+0	Yes	+$29	02-02 18:11
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	2	$2.6K	1,289	1,289	+0	Yes	+$22	02-01 11:06
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	5	$2.1K	4,250	4,250	+0	Yes	+$306	01-28 20:13
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	13	$2.1K	1,800	1,800	+0	No	+$36	01-26 12:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 23:15 UTC	3	$1.9K	1,177	883	+294	Down	-$173	02-02 23:31
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$1.8K	1,229	1,229	+0	No	+$53	01-24 21:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 00:00 UTC	2	$1.2K	1,869	1,839	+29	Down	-$644	02-03 00:04
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	20	$667	690	649	+41	No	+$98	02-02 20:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 21:00 UTC	2	$626	337	336	+1	Up	+$27	02-02 21:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 07:15 UTC	1	$254	569	0	+569	Down	-$254	02-03 07:15
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	6	$219	2,660	2,660	+0	No	+$10	01-23 19:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 22:00 UTC	2	$200	486	0	+486	Up	-$200	02-02 22:04
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	2	$196	700	700	+0	No	-$14	01-12 22:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 23:45 UTC	1	$100	1,969	0	+1,969	Down	-$100	02-02 23:56
will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	1	$99	5,800	0	+5,800	No	-$99	01-22 08:30
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$41	27	27	+0	Yes	+$3	02-22 12:51
will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	7	$34	560	560	+0	No	-$1	01-23 08:09
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	3	$31	1,236	0	+1,236	No	-$31	01-17 10:31
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	1	$19	570	0	+570	No	-$19	01-15 20:59
will there be between 18 and 21 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	2	$15	109	109	+0	No	+$2	02-18 18:07
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	1	$11	14	0	+14	Yes	-$11	02-27 15:31
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	2	$11	7	7	+0	No	+$2	02-14 09:27
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$11	32	32	+0	No	-$7	02-08 07:46
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$7	6	6	+0	No	+$3	02-13 17:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
02-27 15:31:41	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x2c8edf…
02-22 12:51:24	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0xa8e05e…
02-19 22:13:24	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x59a4ba…
02-18 21:57:40	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0x4aa7df…
02-18 18:15:42	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	13	65¢	$9	0xff285a…
02-18 18:07:42	will there be between 18 and 21 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	SELL	109	8¢	$9	0xbae845…
02-14 15:59:29	will there be between 18 and 21 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	109	6¢	$7	0xbd1031…
02-14 09:27:33	will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x036db7…
02-13 17:50:37	will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x15712f…
02-13 17:49:31	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x27aa06…
02-08 07:47:27	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x663670…
02-08 07:46:55	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	32	7¢	$2	0x33f345…
02-04 13:50:04	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	32	27¢	$9	0x179e74…
02-03 07:15:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	569	45¢	$254	0x6edf64…
02-03 00:04:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1,839	14¢	$254	0x571a5a…
02-02 23:59:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1,869	48¢	$898	0xfe86ef…
02-02 23:56:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1,969	5¢	$100	0xf2e249…
02-02 23:31:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 23:15 UTC	Down	SELL	883	100¢	$882	0xc4ee53…
02-02 23:27:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	883	97¢	$856	0xd847d2…
02-02 23:16:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0xf6e5a3…
02-02 22:04:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	308	32¢	$100	0xc19fff…
02-02 21:59:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x26ed8d…
02-02 21:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 21:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1,381	99¢	$1,367	0xbb7544…
02-02 21:29:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 21:15 UTC	Up	SELL	429	1¢	$4	0x71be38…
02-02 21:27:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1,381	97¢	$1,340	0x053e0a…
02-02 21:23:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	432	23¢	$100	0xde374f…
02-02 21:20:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 21:15 UTC	Down	SELL	554	60¢	$332	0xa7b693…
02-02 21:18:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	563	53¢	$300	0xac4d5e…
02-02 21:10:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 21:00 UTC	Up	SELL	336	97¢	$326	0x41272b…
02-02 21:05:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	337	89¢	$300	0xb7974d…
02-02 20:53:00	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	SELL	123	59¢	$73	0xc32497…
02-02 20:52:20	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	SELL	55	60¢	$33	0x68c647…
02-02 20:48:12	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0x4bff9c…
02-02 20:47:38	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xc54b89…
02-02 20:47:38	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x61c7c8…
02-02 20:47:04	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xe67694…
02-02 20:47:04	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x8a4e6a…
02-02 20:47:02	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x81d278…
02-02 20:46:58	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x141598…
02-02 20:46:16	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	SELL	28	57¢	$16	0xdc1359…
02-02 20:46:16	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x21573e…
02-02 20:35:02	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	SELL	97	55¢	$53	0xd7176c…
02-02 20:23:54	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	SELL	69	54¢	$37	0xa530c4…
02-02 20:23:28	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0xf6bba7…
02-02 20:22:46	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xfcf66c…
02-02 20:22:32	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	SELL	51	54¢	$27	0xde8485…
02-02 20:22:30	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x4ce14f…
02-02 20:18:04	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	SELL	173	53¢	$91	0x2e190e…
02-02 19:56:50	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	BUY	122	45¢	$55	0xd37545…
02-02 18:27:54	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	BUY	568	44¢	$250	0xd5ab78…
02-02 18:11:42	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	1,467	89¢	$1,306	0xf9eec2…
02-01 11:36:34	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,467	87¢	$1,276	0x07c7fa…
02-01 11:06:16	will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	Yes	SELL	1,289	100¢	$1,286	0x810c1f…
01-31 21:14:30	will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	Yes	BUY	1,289	98¢	$1,264	0xd9a415…
01-28 20:13:28	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	2,000	28¢	$560	0xaaed1a…
01-26 18:45:03	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	550	21¢	$116	0x0f8505…
01-26 12:29:13	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	SELL	214	58¢	$124	0x88b891…
01-26 11:08:21	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,450	22¢	$319	0xba0c7f…
01-26 10:35:47	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	SELL	22	58¢	$13	0xe406f4…
01-26 09:33:01	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xadba78…
01-26 09:30:13	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	SELL	125	58¢	$72	0x80a919…
01-26 09:29:49	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x65b311…
01-26 09:23:43	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x209c6f…
01-26 09:19:33	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xcc7d33…
01-26 08:36:11	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,415	58¢	$821	0xcc4914…
01-25 14:22:10	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	BUY	246	56¢	$138	0x9d45e0…
01-25 13:46:54	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	BUY	226	56¢	$127	0x91eb5e…
01-25 13:14:18	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,101	56¢	$617	0x5c1984…
01-25 10:43:22	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	BUY	53	56¢	$30	0x55c0fa…
01-25 10:39:06	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	BUY	174	56¢	$97	0xb9e87a…
01-24 22:27:50	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	2,250	28¢	$630	0xc52672…
01-24 22:01:52	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	2,250	20¢	$450	0x12e820…
01-24 21:52:54	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	SELL	1,229	75¢	$921	0xc2edb8…
01-23 23:39:16	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	84	66¢	$55	0x50edb7…
01-23 19:59:08	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	SELL	1,460	4¢	$55	0x2d7468…
01-23 19:58:20	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	1,144	71¢	$813	0x132905…
01-23 10:18:42	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x7913c5…
01-23 08:19:22	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	BUY	560	2¢	$14	0xfe46dc…
01-23 08:09:18	will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	Yes	SELL	560	3¢	$17	0x695111…
01-23 08:08:24	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	BUY	800	2¢	$20	0x32371f…
01-22 11:13:40	will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	Yes	BUY	210	3¢	$7	0x4ed42a…
01-22 08:50:48	will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x31cae8…
01-22 08:50:38	will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x50cedc…
01-22 08:50:02	will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xd43b8d…
01-22 08:49:38	will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	Yes	BUY	120	3¢	$4	0xa32829…
01-22 08:49:20	will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	Yes	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0x7c074f…
01-22 08:30:54	will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	Yes	BUY	5,800	2¢	$99	0x13dff7…
01-21 16:38:14	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	26¢	$130	0xd5927f…
01-20 22:09:46	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	SELL	1,200	5¢	$59	0x88df18…
01-20 20:38:32	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	21¢	$84	0xb141aa…
01-20 20:23:54	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	BUY	1,200	6¢	$68	0xd89e78…
01-20 19:44:34	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,170	23¢	$499	0xd505de…
01-18 21:03:58	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,262	74¢	$934	0xdd3f83…
01-18 13:48:38	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	21¢	$105	0x79d21b…
01-18 13:47:08	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	24¢	$96	0x2576e5…
01-18 13:47:00	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xff64ee…
01-18 13:45:34	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	25¢	$5	0x048fcb…
01-18 13:34:42	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	25¢	$18	0xa7bc6c…
01-17 14:42:34	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	78¢	$41	0x194c5b…
01-17 14:42:26	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	78¢	$53	0xc33538…