Imperturbable-Archer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 05-11 09:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% 25% $-2

Crypto

45% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	04-16 06:51
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	1	$197	197	0	+197	open	—	04-16 06:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	3	$189	200	200	+0	open	—	05-11 09:17
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	2	$178	100	100	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 08:26
will solana reach 200 in january 2026	1	$116	116	0	+116	open	—	01-26 08:35
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	1	$95	98	0	+98	open	—	02-07 08:04
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	2	$72	200	200	+0	open	—	03-12 03:24
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	3	$62	50	50	+0	Down	$-2	05-11 08:40
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$59	100	200	-100	open	—	03-12 02:24
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	2	$53	50	50	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 08:29
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	02-07 08:04
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-26 08:33
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?	2	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	03-12 02:29
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	02-07 08:03
will the us next strike iran on february 7 2026 et	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	02-07 08:03
will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the february 2026 meeting	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	01-26 08:35
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 200 219	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	01-26 08:35
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	01-26 08:34
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	02-07 08:03
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	02-07 08:03
Will the US strike Venezuela next?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	01-26 08:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-16 06:50
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-16 06:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-16 06:47
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-16 06:51
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	05-11 07:24
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	2	$5	20	20	+0	open	—	03-12 03:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 09:17:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	132	46¢	$61	0x19b1fd…
05-11 09:00:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	68	48¢	$33	0xb4c17d…
05-11 08:40:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	45	60¢	$27	0xb7e399…
05-11 08:39:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x4aa803…
05-11 08:29:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x57ade8…
05-11 08:26:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0x9e7374…
05-11 08:22:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x9ddf82…
05-11 08:15:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x1c5163…
05-11 08:14:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x50e7d8…
05-11 07:27:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x7bf64b…
05-11 07:24:19	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x5179ef…
05-11 07:13:37	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xb778df…
04-16 06:51:30	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0x32f1c3…
04-16 06:51:22	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x7d83f7…
04-16 06:51:04	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x92cd8d…
04-16 06:50:52	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x45396d…
04-16 06:50:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87e2c4…
04-16 06:47:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ef9ce…
03-12 03:24:37	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xa4326e…
03-12 03:24:31	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	Yes	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0x259806…
03-12 02:45:59	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x8ec110…
03-12 02:35:01	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x4bdae5…
03-12 02:29:29	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x6b10f8…
03-12 02:28:39	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xb403aa…
03-12 02:24:51	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0x3dc7bc…
03-12 02:18:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xe895a9…
02-07 08:04:21	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	98	98¢	$95	0x1a995f…
02-07 08:04:09	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x99d522…
02-07 08:03:43	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x05bc1a…
02-07 08:03:31	will the us next strike iran on february 7 2026 et	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x33258b…
02-07 08:03:21	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xade107…
02-07 08:03:11	us strikes iran by february 8 2026	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x78daa4…
01-26 08:35:45	will solana reach 200 in january 2026	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x7b01a4…
01-26 08:35:23	will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the february 2026 meeting	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7d6a35…
01-26 08:35:01	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 200 219	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x884246…
01-26 08:34:41	Will the US strike Venezuela next?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x335065…
01-26 08:34:25	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x059138…
01-26 08:33:51	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x238692…