Ancient-Narrative — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$51

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$304

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 07-27 08:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

87% 100% +$51

Politics

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.1K	545	545	+0	open	—	05-15 08:25
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	530	530	+0	open	—	05-13 08:35
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	2	$998	515	515	+0	open	—	05-16 06:58
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$956	485	485	+0	open	—	05-10 09:15
Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)	1	$539	556	0	+556	open	—	05-15 09:07
Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)	1	$527	538	0	+538	open	—	05-14 07:55
Spread: Haras El Hodood SC (-2.5)	1	$519	525	0	+525	El Mokawloon El Arab SC	+$6	05-13 08:44
Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)	1	$506	520	0	+520	Al Ahli Saudi Club	+$14	05-11 11:55
Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)	1	$500	505	0	+505	open	—	05-16 07:03
Spread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)	1	$498	547	0	+547	open	—	05-17 05:54
Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)	1	$475	505	0	+505	RCD Mallorca	+$30	05-10 09:20
israeli forces enter choukine by july 31	4	$146	910	910	+0	open	—	07-10 02:36
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	3	$64	870	870	+0	open	—	07-10 05:29
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	07-27 08:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$2	28	28	+0	open	—	07-25 09:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 08:23:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x47d090…
07-27 08:11:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8621d5…
07-25 09:48:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0xf3e64b…
07-25 09:30:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x612411…
07-10 05:29:08	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	SELL	870	4¢	$32	0x97504b…
07-10 03:09:13	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	445	4¢	$16	0x36e09a…
07-10 03:09:05	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	425	4¢	$16	0x04310d…
07-10 02:36:31	israeli forces enter choukine by july 31	Yes	SELL	465	8¢	$37	0xd204d2…
07-10 02:26:01	israeli forces enter choukine by july 31	Yes	SELL	445	8¢	$36	0x2276dc…
07-10 02:02:29	israeli forces enter choukine by july 31	Yes	BUY	465	8¢	$37	0x57a09f…
07-10 02:02:14	israeli forces enter choukine by july 31	Yes	BUY	445	8¢	$36	0x9683fd…
05-17 05:54:07	Spread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)	CD Huachipato	BUY	547	91¢	$498	0xcdcaf9…
05-16 07:03:12	Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x011305…
05-16 06:58:18	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	515	97¢	$499	0x54eebb…
05-16 05:55:58	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	515	97¢	$499	0x850c2d…
05-15 09:07:00	Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)	Adelaide United FC	BUY	556	97¢	$539	0xba03b2…
05-15 08:25:42	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	545	99¢	$539	0x7dbff3…
05-15 07:09:26	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	545	99¢	$538	0xe7e202…
05-14 07:55:49	Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)	Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club	BUY	538	98¢	$527	0xc39126…
05-13 08:44:34	Spread: Haras El Hodood SC (-2.5)	El Mokawloon El Arab SC	BUY	525	99¢	$519	0x21eef8…
05-13 08:35:45	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	530	98¢	$520	0x129ba3…
05-13 05:59:29	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	530	99¢	$523	0x52cb29…
05-11 11:55:12	Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Ahli Saudi Club	BUY	520	97¢	$506	0x98e95a…
05-10 09:20:39	Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)	RCD Mallorca	BUY	505	94¢	$475	0x9e901b…
05-10 09:15:10	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	485	99¢	$478	0x231547…
05-10 06:42:20	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	485	99¢	$479	0x3d9daf…