Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,776

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$104

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 06-12 16:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

38% — —

Crypto

25% — —

Politics

18% 0% $-0

Sports

14% 0% $-0

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	+84	$21	42¢	$35	+$14	06-12 16:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+68	$21	40¢	$27	+$6	06-11 17:39
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	+58	$21	44¢	$26	+$5	06-11 17:52
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+78	$21	14¢	$10	$-10	06-09 21:48
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	+54	$21	10¢	$5	$-16	06-10 23:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	45	$318	376	376	+0	open	—	02-17 20:36
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	34	$256	288	288	+0	open	—	02-18 11:23
bitcoin above 70k on february 15	42	$252	261	261	+0	open	—	02-15 13:30
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	33	$237	279	279	+0	open	—	02-25 12:36
atp virtane majchrz 2026 06 08	9	$234	268	223	+45	open	—	06-10 11:39
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	31	$222	288	276	+12	open	—	02-18 11:23
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	25	$215	241	262	-21	open	—	02-26 05:22
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	33	$214	300	300	+0	open	—	02-17 00:48
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	41	$208	216	204	+12	open	—	02-26 06:06
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	30	$206	153	153	+0	open	—	02-17 00:48
will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	27	$198	328	328	+0	open	—	02-18 11:23
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	40	$180	204	169	+35	open	—	02-26 13:33
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	27	$151	156	156	+0	open	—	02-26 13:33
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	29	$140	132	146	-14	open	—	02-26 06:35
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	27	$133	258	244	+14	open	—	02-25 21:22
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	16	$123	143	143	+0	open	—	02-16 13:20
will the us not strike iran by march 31 2026	30	$122	131	131	+0	open	—	02-25 18:33
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	18	$121	117	117	+0	open	—	02-14 23:28
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 220 239	17	$119	292	298	-7	open	—	02-17 00:28
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	5	$117	153	103	+50	open	—	06-11 19:48
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	31	$114	141	141	+0	open	—	03-12 12:45
sea pis mil 2026 02 13 mil	12	$112	129	129	+0	open	—	02-13 18:11
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	5	$112	165	97	+68	open	—	06-11 19:28
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 320 339	15	$111	133	133	-0	open	—	02-26 11:27
will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	22	$110	156	105	+51	open	—	02-24 15:24
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 240 259	12	$101	169	161	+7	open	—	02-17 17:04
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	16	$98	127	160	-33	open	—	02-26 11:25
fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 btts first half	5	$94	148	95	+53	open	—	06-11 20:16
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	19	$94	103	103	+0	open	—	02-24 08:49
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	16	$92	82	87	-5	open	—	02-26 13:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 16:29:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	84	25¢	$21	0x8f14d2…
06-11 20:39:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	146	14¢	$21	0x69a8c8…
06-11 20:16:34	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 btts first half	Yes	BUY	53	39¢	$21	0xb870e5…
06-11 20:16:21	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 btts first half	No	SELL	27	61¢	$17	0xab20c0…
06-11 20:11:33	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 btts first half	No	BUY	27	78¢	$21	0xf83103…
06-11 20:11:19	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 btts first half	Yes	SELL	68	22¢	$15	0x9c2520…
06-11 19:48:18	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xa68c7f…
06-11 19:48:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	SELL	41	58¢	$24	0xbb6844…
06-11 19:43:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x2d76d1…
06-11 19:43:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	62	49¢	$30	0xaec19c…
06-11 19:28:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	68	31¢	$21	0xc7638a…
06-11 19:28:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	35	69¢	$24	0xd8fef9…
06-11 18:02:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	35	60¢	$21	0xa0475d…
06-11 18:02:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	62	40¢	$24	0xea08f6…
06-11 17:52:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	58	36¢	$21	0x517ca3…
06-11 17:50:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	62	34¢	$21	0x59a723…
06-11 17:42:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	62	34¢	$21	0xceea00…
06-11 17:39:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	31¢	$21	0x99000f…
06-11 10:32:52	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 btts first half	Yes	BUY	68	31¢	$21	0xe53af8…
06-10 23:24:49	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	54	39¢	$21	0xdf63aa…
06-10 20:54:21	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	317	7¢	$21	0x28228f…
06-10 11:39:48	atp virtane majchrz 2026 06 08	Otto Virtanen	BUY	45	47¢	$21	0xc256df…
06-10 11:39:46	atp virtane majchrz 2026 06 08	Kamil Majchrzak	SELL	70	52¢	$37	0x21092d…
06-10 10:38:16	atp virtane majchrz 2026 06 08	Kamil Majchrzak	BUY	70	30¢	$21	0x4fcaab…
06-10 10:38:13	atp virtane majchrz 2026 06 08	Otto Virtanen	SELL	39	70¢	$27	0xfd5a4b…
06-10 10:15:21	atp virtane majchrz 2026 06 08	Otto Virtanen	BUY	39	54¢	$21	0x199e65…
06-10 10:15:18	atp virtane majchrz 2026 06 08	Kamil Majchrzak	SELL	70	48¢	$34	0x4f8200…
06-10 09:57:55	atp virtane majchrz 2026 06 08	Kamil Majchrzak	BUY	70	30¢	$21	0x7f4c49…
06-10 09:57:51	atp virtane majchrz 2026 06 08	Otto Virtanen	SELL	44	70¢	$31	0x765a7d…
06-10 09:29:15	atp virtane majchrz 2026 06 08	Otto Virtanen	BUY	44	47¢	$21	0x1cefde…
06-10 04:34:28	mlb mil oak 2026 06 09	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	150	14¢	$21	0x53de73…
06-09 21:48:21	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	27¢	$21	0xcecfd7…
06-09 15:46:42	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	350	2¢	$7	0x4a5acb…
06-09 15:46:39	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	300	4¢	$13	0x792ba4…
06-09 02:54:36	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 216pt5	Under	BUY	618	6¢	$36	0x8b22b3…
06-09 02:50:37	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	9¢	$28	0x0b650d…
06-08 18:42:49	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	175	14¢	$25	0xe55e0f…
06-08 16:48:13	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	175	13¢	$23	0xb9eedc…
06-08 13:39:19	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x815eea…
06-08 13:37:25	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x8b5908…
06-08 13:37:18	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xf8233d…
03-16 08:50:57	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	52	75¢	$39	0xa6ad41…
03-16 08:50:53	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x546f0b…
03-16 08:50:51	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x982216…
03-16 08:15:33	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x4a1563…
03-16 08:15:31	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	18	81¢	$14	0xec593a…
03-16 08:15:29	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x5de971…
03-16 08:12:49	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x24f549…
03-16 08:12:39	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0x8bfd51…
03-16 08:12:37	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	No	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0xb2a0a1…
03-16 08:08:09	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	No	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x59098c…
03-16 08:08:07	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0xfe4e24…
03-16 08:07:59	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	19	75¢	$14	0x33abd5…
03-16 08:07:57	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xcd72c9…
03-16 08:02:27	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	38	76¢	$29	0xcdf310…
03-16 08:02:21	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x7c4a2b…
03-16 08:02:17	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0x0b873a…
03-16 07:33:45	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	9	61¢	$5	0x99dde3…
03-16 07:33:41	will usa win the 2026 world baseball classic	Yes	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x3aa75d…
03-16 07:33:39	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	No	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x118cd0…
03-16 07:33:37	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0xb12f1e…
03-16 07:22:55	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	24	61¢	$14	0x046a97…
03-16 07:22:49	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	17	61¢	$11	0xf48f37…
03-16 07:22:47	will usa win the 2026 world baseball classic	Yes	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0xa8dd86…
03-16 07:22:45	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	No	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xcd11a7…
03-16 07:22:43	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0xceffda…
03-16 06:52:53	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	35	62¢	$22	0xbe019f…
03-16 06:52:51	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xd8c3be…
03-16 06:52:47	will usa win the 2026 world baseball classic	Yes	SELL	14	73¢	$11	0xee2b92…
03-16 06:52:45	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	No	SELL	14	40¢	$6	0xa011c4…
03-16 06:52:43	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x50bfa5…
03-16 06:23:01	will usa win the 2026 world baseball classic	Yes	BUY	29	75¢	$22	0x85d4d5…
03-16 06:22:51	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xfa1c76…
03-16 06:22:47	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xc247a9…
03-16 06:22:45	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	No	BUY	29	42¢	$12	0x5892db…
03-12 12:45:59	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xc66889…
03-12 12:45:55	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0xfef546…
03-12 11:30:19	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x5d5a4a…
03-12 11:30:01	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0xe190d8…
03-12 11:29:57	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x83da3a…
03-12 11:29:51	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xe30dc1…
03-12 11:24:19	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0xd52dea…
03-12 11:24:17	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xea4150…
03-12 11:24:13	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x770a9f…
03-12 11:24:09	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xfb1ec6…
03-12 11:24:09	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x416440…
03-12 11:24:07	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	9	39¢	$3	0x6a27a6…
03-12 09:55:13	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x01990a…
03-12 09:55:11	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x8a97cd…
03-12 09:55:09	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x4ee94f…
03-12 09:55:07	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0xe4e490…
03-12 09:55:03	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x401e8d…
03-12 09:17:51	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0xf65479…
03-12 09:17:49	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x692999…
03-12 09:17:43	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa68927…
03-12 09:17:39	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x434672…
03-12 09:17:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	6	74¢	$5	0xf315cc…
03-12 09:17:35	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x7502fd…
03-12 09:05:19	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xd24d26…
03-12 09:05:15	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb90e37…