Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

42.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$83

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-08

last 09-24 15:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

78% 32% -$18

Politics

19% 71% +$3

Tech

3% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes		+7	$2	18¢	$1	-$1	08-13 20:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	09-08 04:26
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	09-11 10:35
will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$3	08-14 18:00
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-09 12:36
spy up or down on september 9 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Down	-$2	09-09 02:08
will coin reach 180 by august 31 2026 from september 1	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	-$2	09-01 18:10
Will Andy Burnham say "Nuclear" during the next PMQ?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-01 09:28
Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-27 10:15
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-13 12:50
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $171 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-24 02:02
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-03 13:58
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-18 17:13
will amzn reach 288 by august 10 2026	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-10 00:04
wti up or down on september 2 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Down	-$2	09-02 06:35
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-11 09:39
gety quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0pt01	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-08 17:56
will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-20 01:30
will nvda dip to 216 by august 17 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-19 08:05
will spy reach 790 by august 17 2026	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-17 04:22
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	1	$2	7	+7	open	—	08-13 20:56
will wti reach 85 in august 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-17 15:06
will mu dip to 930 by august 17 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-17 04:20
wti up or down on august 12 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Down	+$4	08-12 04:47
will nvda reach 232 by august 10 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$2	08-10 08:06
will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	1	$2	6	+6	No	+$4	08-27 02:06
will amzn dip to 264 by august 10 2026	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	+$7	08-11 20:43
iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-16 04:44
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	08-17 23:09
spy closes above 765 on august 19 2026	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	08-19 12:04
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-10 17:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 15:41:08	Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1a1d4e…
09-11 10:35:46	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xadb47f…
09-09 12:36:46	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xf853a6…
09-09 02:08:46	spy up or down on september 9 2026	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x4bba53…
09-08 04:26:34	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x755133…
09-03 13:58:15	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3ae6bf…
09-02 19:12:43	will xauusd dip to 4350 by august 31 2026 from september 2	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x564ca4…
09-02 06:35:10	wti up or down on september 2 2026	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x254234…
09-01 18:10:09	will coin reach 180 by august 31 2026 from september 1	No	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x3592ba…
09-01 09:28:13	Will Andy Burnham say "Nuclear" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x20d593…
08-27 10:15:45	Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x1161aa…
08-27 02:06:57	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	No	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xcde34b…
08-24 02:02:01	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $171 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3f81e8…
08-22 00:56:49	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x44d8bd…
08-20 01:30:39	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6b53db…
08-19 12:04:13	spy closes above 765 on august 19 2026	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xb0495d…
08-19 08:05:43	will nvda dip to 216 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0b9943…
08-18 17:13:30	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x1a8c30…
08-18 07:48:01	will pltr dip to 168 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x28a38d…
08-17 23:09:01	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xb2f804…
08-17 15:06:39	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xc9c8ab…
08-17 04:22:22	will spy reach 790 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x7e9799…
08-17 04:20:45	will mu dip to 930 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9bec04…
08-16 04:44:40	iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xb70efd…
08-14 18:00:22	will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x7ce099…
08-13 20:56:33	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x040b81…
08-13 12:50:34	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x560fcb…
08-12 04:47:48	wti up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x62dde2…
08-11 20:43:51	will amzn dip to 264 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0xce7bef…
08-11 09:39:30	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xd3dd47…
08-11 01:37:01	will amzn reach 284 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x206b71…
08-10 17:02:25	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x24b7ab…
08-10 08:06:43	will nvda reach 232 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x103af8…
08-10 00:04:48	will amzn reach 288 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x136610…
08-09 10:33:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x955082…
08-09 02:31:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xac7668…
08-08 17:56:34	gety quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0pt01	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6ce9ea…